overnight lines:
2 units.....ohio state (+3.5) over georgia tech
2 units.....miami,oh (+11) over dayton
1 unit.....duke moneyline (+135) over michigan state
upgrade: 2 unit.....washington (+6) over gonzaga
(1 unit at +6, the second unit is at +5)
*hatred for osu runs deep, but like em in this spot. actually really like em in this spot. bucks off a mediocre trip in maui. nothing to write home about. a bad loss to fisher's sdsu group which i faded the shit outta the bucks. a couple of nothing-special wins vs central michigan and villanova. thats fine. gives em some value coming hom to play in columbus for the first time this year where theyre traditionally pretty decent. as far as tech goes, has anyone been more impressive early on this season? jackets are hitting on all cylinders right now. but keep in mind this team is very much the same team from last year in terms of personnel. and for those that have forgotten, gtech was somewhere in the ballpark of 1-13 straight up on the road last season (reg season). how could anyone be in a hurry to lay chalk away from atlanta with hewitt's guys? tech couldnt beat lame-ass clemson or florida state on the road last season when their ncaa lives were on the line. easy to perform well at home and (in tech's case), easy to perform well in a neutral site game (the garden) when youre the underdog and the crowd will pull for you if you can stay close. different mindset to be playing a legitimate road game where the only people in your corner are the 13 or 14 guys on the team, the coaching staff, and the team manager and waterboy. tech hasnt shown they can get it done in hostile environments. great spot for ohio state in what i think is a pick 'em kind of game.
*big rivalry down in southern ohio for miami and dayton. both teams very solid this year. dayton's been awfully impressive this year with a nice cross-country road win in pepperdine and then a maui title. flyers once again gonna be a force in the a-10. but miami quietly gonna be a player in the mac this year. lots of veterans on this miami team with a good mix of talented sophomores. i know charlie coles-coached team get better as the season progresses and sometimes suffer inexplicable losses early on (only to ALWAYS be a force in the mac tourney), but theres way to much value in this number to pass up. miami returning to the site of disaster from two years ago, when dayton laid an absurd ass-whooping on the redhawks (60-23) (yes, that score is correct). gotta think miami would like to atone for that debacle. redhawks need to control the tempo. dayton by 6-7 points sounds about right. line seems a little soft since daytons had some national exposure this year already and miami has played a couple mutants. but i think a lot of ohioans and mac guys are expecting miami to be a solid team this year.
*just playing some value on duke. they werent particularly impressive in alaska. actually they were pretty lame. but just have a feeling theyll respond here. devils played 3 gms in 3 nights, but thats offset a little because msu just got done playing b2b over the weekend. obviously duke did it 1,000 miles away while spartans did it in their own gym. still think duke wins this game. devils shooting has been brutal and msu defense will be no cupcake, but grabbing duke moneyline and betting they find a way to win. reddick due to breakout at some point. hes been brutal to start the season.
*gonzagas dominated this in-state early season rivalry game for the last 5 years. but i still think huskies have some nice athletes on that team. for whatever reason, they made me some nice money to close out last season, especially at home. theyre a brutal road team, but they had their moments at home. hoping some of that carries over. game is sold out and although gonzaga is loaded this year, still think uw hangs in this one. washington coming off some cupcake games to gain some confidence and nothing on their schedule in the coming weeks in terms of power teams. good spot for washington to lay it on the line and go balls out vs the powerful zags. (open to feedback from the west coast guys. ive had pretty good success in the WCC the lasy few seasons. pac-10 always a crapshoot. washington the only team i really made some money with LY)
2 units.....ohio state (+3.5) over georgia tech
2 units.....miami,oh (+11) over dayton
1 unit.....duke moneyline (+135) over michigan state
upgrade: 2 unit.....washington (+6) over gonzaga
(1 unit at +6, the second unit is at +5)
*hatred for osu runs deep, but like em in this spot. actually really like em in this spot. bucks off a mediocre trip in maui. nothing to write home about. a bad loss to fisher's sdsu group which i faded the shit outta the bucks. a couple of nothing-special wins vs central michigan and villanova. thats fine. gives em some value coming hom to play in columbus for the first time this year where theyre traditionally pretty decent. as far as tech goes, has anyone been more impressive early on this season? jackets are hitting on all cylinders right now. but keep in mind this team is very much the same team from last year in terms of personnel. and for those that have forgotten, gtech was somewhere in the ballpark of 1-13 straight up on the road last season (reg season). how could anyone be in a hurry to lay chalk away from atlanta with hewitt's guys? tech couldnt beat lame-ass clemson or florida state on the road last season when their ncaa lives were on the line. easy to perform well at home and (in tech's case), easy to perform well in a neutral site game (the garden) when youre the underdog and the crowd will pull for you if you can stay close. different mindset to be playing a legitimate road game where the only people in your corner are the 13 or 14 guys on the team, the coaching staff, and the team manager and waterboy. tech hasnt shown they can get it done in hostile environments. great spot for ohio state in what i think is a pick 'em kind of game.
*big rivalry down in southern ohio for miami and dayton. both teams very solid this year. dayton's been awfully impressive this year with a nice cross-country road win in pepperdine and then a maui title. flyers once again gonna be a force in the a-10. but miami quietly gonna be a player in the mac this year. lots of veterans on this miami team with a good mix of talented sophomores. i know charlie coles-coached team get better as the season progresses and sometimes suffer inexplicable losses early on (only to ALWAYS be a force in the mac tourney), but theres way to much value in this number to pass up. miami returning to the site of disaster from two years ago, when dayton laid an absurd ass-whooping on the redhawks (60-23) (yes, that score is correct). gotta think miami would like to atone for that debacle. redhawks need to control the tempo. dayton by 6-7 points sounds about right. line seems a little soft since daytons had some national exposure this year already and miami has played a couple mutants. but i think a lot of ohioans and mac guys are expecting miami to be a solid team this year.
*just playing some value on duke. they werent particularly impressive in alaska. actually they were pretty lame. but just have a feeling theyll respond here. devils played 3 gms in 3 nights, but thats offset a little because msu just got done playing b2b over the weekend. obviously duke did it 1,000 miles away while spartans did it in their own gym. still think duke wins this game. devils shooting has been brutal and msu defense will be no cupcake, but grabbing duke moneyline and betting they find a way to win. reddick due to breakout at some point. hes been brutal to start the season.
*gonzagas dominated this in-state early season rivalry game for the last 5 years. but i still think huskies have some nice athletes on that team. for whatever reason, they made me some nice money to close out last season, especially at home. theyre a brutal road team, but they had their moments at home. hoping some of that carries over. game is sold out and although gonzaga is loaded this year, still think uw hangs in this one. washington coming off some cupcake games to gain some confidence and nothing on their schedule in the coming weeks in terms of power teams. good spot for washington to lay it on the line and go balls out vs the powerful zags. (open to feedback from the west coast guys. ive had pretty good success in the WCC the lasy few seasons. pac-10 always a crapshoot. washington the only team i really made some money with LY)
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