The plays had their first losing week in a month last week, going a combined 8-10.
This week's big play: Cleveland on Monday Night Football. Yes, it's time to risk your hard-earned money on a team that appears to have given up for the season. You know, the team that plays better on the road than at home....better meaning losing by "only" 27. The team that outright released their best receiver and got nothing for him. The team that watched in amusement as their running back and his psycho wife played tag with steak knives while running up stairs. The team that has had almost as many starting QB changes as games played. Ahh, those wacky Cleveland Browns. Maybe the fact it's their first Monday night home game in 8 years will be inspirational. Or...maybe not. Word has it William Green is so excited that he's already bought a "special" bag of party treats to enjoy while watching the game at home. No steak on the menu though.
Anyways.... the Browns appear five times in the system plays, so it should warrant some consideration.
New England and Minnesota also come up somewhat strong - "up to" 3 times each (though Minnesota will somehow have to go off as a dog to qualify for a couple of those plays...I don't see that happening, but I've listed the potential plays anyways just in case).
Baltimore and Cincinnati play each other, and each comes up once in different systems.
============================================
Here we go for Week 14:
System #1 - Play on a home dog that allowed 40 or more points last week (40-17, 70.1% since '87).
Play on: Minnesota (if they become the dog)
System #2 - Play on a road dog of 9 or more if both teams lost on the road last week (15-8, 65.2% since '90).
Play on: Arizona
System #4 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games, both on the road (59-36-5, 62.1% since '89).
Play on: New England
System #5 - Play on the home team when both teams have won 2 straight SU (74-47-2, 61.2% since '89).
Play on: Baltimore, New England
System #7 - Play on a home favorite of 3 or less that won outright on the road last week (61-37-7, 62.2% since '91).
Play on: New Orleans, Buffalo, New England, Denver (in all cases line must be -3 or less, or no play)
System #9 - Play on the home dog on Monday Night football (58-36, 61.7% since '83).
Play on: Cleveland
System #12 - Play on a Monday Night home team that was on the road last week if their opponent was at home last week (84-46-2, 64.6% since '80).
Play on: Cleveland
System #13 - Play on a Monday Night home team whose opponent won it's last game SU @ home (60-34-2, 63.8% since '85).
Play on: Cleveland
System #18 - Play the Under when the road team is playing their second road game in a row (Since the start of '01: O/U 64-96-5, 60.0% Unders --- O/U 31-51-3, 62.2% Unders when the road team covered the spread in the prior game). **updated**
Play the Under on the games involving: Cincinnati, Tampa Bay, Arizona, Miami, Kansas City - (In Cinci's case, this is their 3rd straight road game)
System #21 - Play against a road favorite on a 4+ game win streak. (51-31 ATS, 62.2% since '92). **updated**
Play on: Cleveland
System #24 - Play on the home underdog when both teams have winning records, or both teams have losing records (~70% since ???)
Play on: Minnesota (if they become the dog)
System #36 - Play against any team that has scored more than 90 pts in it's past three games.
Play on: Cincinnati, Minnesota, Cleveland
=============================================
And a couple that are close, but don't quite qualify...
System #35 - Play on any team that has scored fewer than 30 pts in it's past three games.
Almost a play on: NY Giants, Jacksonville (both have scored exactly 30 pts in their past 3 games)
Good luck.
This week's big play: Cleveland on Monday Night Football. Yes, it's time to risk your hard-earned money on a team that appears to have given up for the season. You know, the team that plays better on the road than at home....better meaning losing by "only" 27. The team that outright released their best receiver and got nothing for him. The team that watched in amusement as their running back and his psycho wife played tag with steak knives while running up stairs. The team that has had almost as many starting QB changes as games played. Ahh, those wacky Cleveland Browns. Maybe the fact it's their first Monday night home game in 8 years will be inspirational. Or...maybe not. Word has it William Green is so excited that he's already bought a "special" bag of party treats to enjoy while watching the game at home. No steak on the menu though.
Anyways.... the Browns appear five times in the system plays, so it should warrant some consideration.
New England and Minnesota also come up somewhat strong - "up to" 3 times each (though Minnesota will somehow have to go off as a dog to qualify for a couple of those plays...I don't see that happening, but I've listed the potential plays anyways just in case).
Baltimore and Cincinnati play each other, and each comes up once in different systems.
============================================
Here we go for Week 14:
System #1 - Play on a home dog that allowed 40 or more points last week (40-17, 70.1% since '87).
Play on: Minnesota (if they become the dog)
System #2 - Play on a road dog of 9 or more if both teams lost on the road last week (15-8, 65.2% since '90).
Play on: Arizona
System #4 - Play on a home team that won it's last two games, both on the road (59-36-5, 62.1% since '89).
Play on: New England
System #5 - Play on the home team when both teams have won 2 straight SU (74-47-2, 61.2% since '89).
Play on: Baltimore, New England
System #7 - Play on a home favorite of 3 or less that won outright on the road last week (61-37-7, 62.2% since '91).
Play on: New Orleans, Buffalo, New England, Denver (in all cases line must be -3 or less, or no play)
System #9 - Play on the home dog on Monday Night football (58-36, 61.7% since '83).
Play on: Cleveland
System #12 - Play on a Monday Night home team that was on the road last week if their opponent was at home last week (84-46-2, 64.6% since '80).
Play on: Cleveland
System #13 - Play on a Monday Night home team whose opponent won it's last game SU @ home (60-34-2, 63.8% since '85).
Play on: Cleveland
System #18 - Play the Under when the road team is playing their second road game in a row (Since the start of '01: O/U 64-96-5, 60.0% Unders --- O/U 31-51-3, 62.2% Unders when the road team covered the spread in the prior game). **updated**
Play the Under on the games involving: Cincinnati, Tampa Bay, Arizona, Miami, Kansas City - (In Cinci's case, this is their 3rd straight road game)
System #21 - Play against a road favorite on a 4+ game win streak. (51-31 ATS, 62.2% since '92). **updated**
Play on: Cleveland
System #24 - Play on the home underdog when both teams have winning records, or both teams have losing records (~70% since ???)
Play on: Minnesota (if they become the dog)
System #36 - Play against any team that has scored more than 90 pts in it's past three games.
Play on: Cincinnati, Minnesota, Cleveland
=============================================
And a couple that are close, but don't quite qualify...
System #35 - Play on any team that has scored fewer than 30 pts in it's past three games.
Almost a play on: NY Giants, Jacksonville (both have scored exactly 30 pts in their past 3 games)
Good luck.
Last edited:
