Early Peek at Week 15

Senor Capper

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Taking an early look into week 15......
A few games this week seem to fall on the score of 20-17.
Currently there are 5 Favs and 4 Dogs that grabbed my attention.


Jacksonville at New England -7

Line appears to be a little steep at least in my eyes.
1st thought would be to take the 7 with the Jags who are 6-0 ATS on the December road & on a current 5-0 spread run.

Patsies 20-17 ???
Early lean Jags +7 ;)

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Pittsburgh at New York JETS -3

Line appears to be right on the money. A trend that sticks out here is that the Steelers are a perfect 10-0 ATS in this series. While NY is 3-13-1 as a Favorite in December.
Too close for comfort.

JETS 20-17 ???
Pass

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Dallas at Washington +1

LW there were no less than a dozen teams seeking same season revenge. This week there are only 3. Da Bears, Da Rams and Da 'Skins.
Looking at Dallas on the road they have scored 0, 0, & 10 pts in their last 3. & are 2-13 ATS on the December road.

'Skins 20-17 ???
Still a pass

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San Francisco at Cincinnati -2.5

Now we are talking "play on".
49ers have dropped their 4 non-division RGs by an average score of 36-7.Bengals are a stellar 13-1 ATS as a December host off a SU loss.

Cincy 31-21 ???
BIG Play BENGALS -2.5 :yup

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Atlanta at Indianapolis -7.5

I'm liking the Birds here, as the dog in this series is on a 7-1-1 spread run with the only miss by a single point.
The hook makes it even sweeter.

I need a little coaxing here. :poke Ok...
Colts 27-24 ???
Lean on Falcons +7.5

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Minnesota at Chicago +1.5

Trends point to Da Bears who are only 10 pts from a 10-0 ATS run. They are also 13-5 ATS at home off GB & 12-6 ATS at home of DD SU loss.
Still too close for me.
Da Bears 26-24 ???

Currently passing

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Houston at Tampa Bay

OFF BOARD

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Buffalo at Tennessee -6.5

Titans are 13-4 ATS hosting non-division foes & 10-3 ATS at home off SU loss by more than 4 pts.
Tennessee is ticked & takes it out on the Bills.
Starting to see 7s out there.

Titans 30-13 ???
Play on Titans -6.5 :thumb:

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Seattle at St. Louis -6.5

Chopping a the bit here.
'Hawks catch Rams off their Monday Nighter with the Brownies, but that is one of the rare plusses as far as Seattle is concerned.
'Hawks routed the'Cards 38-0 in their road opener but have been taken apart on the road ever since.
Check out the past 2 weeks which is a prime example of Seattle's site dichotomy.
A 34-7 home win & an identical 34-7 azz whipp'in on the road.
Host in this series is an eye-catching 8-1 ATS.
Rams have scored 27,36,34,33 & 48 points in their last 5 at home. 'Hawlks won't be able to play catch-up.

Rams 41-23 ???
BIG play on :142hail: RAMS -6.5

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Detroit at Kansas City -14

Hiltons #1 play comes in BIG.
Chiefs fresh off getting their asses handed to them by division rival Broncos. Now way in hell I would play the dog here.
Lions have only topped 17 pts in 1 of their last 11 RGs *& managed only 100 RYs twice all season. Good new for my boyz that can't stop the run.
Chiefs are 16-3-2 ATS at home afetr ceding at least 30 pts & 9-3 ATS as a December chalk.

Chiefs 37-10 ???
Strong lean on Chiefs -14 if anything

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Cleveland at Denver -9.5

Not yet interested into looking at this affair quite yet.

Line is up to 10.5 -Passing at this time

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Baltimore at Oakland +6

Lickig my chops at this game.
Ravens continue as one of the very best chalk plays in the NFL. The favorite stands 11-2-1 ATS in Baltimore games of late.

Ravens 28-13 ???
Play on :director: Ravens -6

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Carolina at Arizona +6

Real quick look here, at the 'Cards getting 6 at home. Dog is a solid 10-3 spread play in Panther tilts.

Nsane Play of the Week ??

'Cards 20-17 ??? :shocked:

I see at 6.5 already 'Cards + 6.5

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Green Bay at San Diego +5

SD is 0-6-0 ATS in December vs a for off a home win & 4-12 ATS hosting the NFC.
GB is 17-7-1 ATS in December off a SU home win.
This one maybe closer than we think.Packers 26-20 ??

Pass

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New York Giants at New Orleans -7.5

Not at all interested.

Pass

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Philadelphia at Miami Pick

Line dictates a tight game here & I believe Vegas is right. Visitor is 9-1 ATS in Eagles Monday Nighters.

Eagles 24-21 ??? :thinking:
Line now has Eagles getting 2 pts. Maybe more by gametime ?
Gimme points but now I'll just lie in wait.

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Best to all

SC

67-47-4
 
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vanbasten

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san fran...

san fran...

niners can't be happy about b2b east coast trips the next 2 weeks this time of year. first to cinncy, then back to philly. already circled the birds for the 21st. all dependant on how the cinncy/san fran and the philly/miami games play out this week.

if eagles are to lose one of their last 3, i could see it being in miami. can't afford to lose any if they want home field, but if there is a letdown spot it could be monday night. on the road, out of conference, against a team that just got shut out.

lots to think about this week.

good luck to you.
 

Schouest

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Looks like Blake is out and McCown is in for AZ...so if it were at all possible that a team get worse than one that just lost 50-7 ...I think AZ has done just that !!
 

Senor Capper

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Blake is out ?

Blake is out ?

I will definitely yank my 'Cards pick if that's truly the case.


As far as fading the Faders. I have faded them but NOT every week. Sometimes there were actually better fish in the sea ;)
 

Senor Capper

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No dogs in sight.

No dogs in sight.

WTF ???

All my doggies are gone.

Both Da Bears and Cards using rookie QBs. Both are scratched plays.

Already played

Ravens -6
Titans -6
Bengals -2.5
Rams -6.5


Maybe talking myself out of Jax already talked myself out Atlanta. :(

Oh here's a puppy......Chargers + whatever??? Insane Play ??

Not only that I'm starting to lean towards the Fins :eek:

When you look at a card and only see favorites you better start worrying.
 
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Senor Capper

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Pssstt.....

Pssstt.....

You want trends ???

I'll give ya trends.....

Play AGAINST any defending Super Bowl LOSER in Game 9 or later if they are <.500 and are playing a foe off a SU & ATS win.

PLAY AGAINST OAKLAND !!!

12-2-1 ATS since 1980

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Cincy is 18-2 SU & 17-3 ATS in their final 2 HGs when off a SU & ATS loss.

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Helmet Head I like 'em HUGE !!! ;)
 
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Pujo21

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Senor as always great info man..

Senor as always great info man..

LIKE DEM BENGALS RAVENS..

I like the Falcons, and still like Bears and Cards..
these teams have nothing to lose and can start playing loose as a goose with all kinds of gimmicks.

I'll either pass on loose as goose teams, but I am not giving them teams points..that's for sure !

:D
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Psstt....

Psstt....

New England dropped to 6.5 :idea:

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Did you know ??
How rich would you be if you played a simple 3-Team Parlay the last 8 weeks taking the Eagles, Patsies, and any team against Da Raiders.
With just 3 weeks left in the regular season I recommend this play AT LEAST once.

I played Philly +2, Patsies -6.5 and Ravens -6. :D


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Last Week NFL chalk went 11-4 ATS and College plays went 5-2.
Sure hope history repeats itself this weekend. I have alot at stake. :cool:

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Tidbits....

Denver has played back-to-back HGs twice this year.
First time, they were lucky to beat Detroit by 4,
Second time, they lost outright to Da Bears by 9.

Let downs.

Beware, beware, be a very wary Bear. :yup

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Titans have lost 2 in a row. Amazing. Will they make it 3??
Homie don't think so. Titans "D" will shut down Henry and make life miserable for Drew who has struggled 5 of the last 6 weeks. ;)

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Monday Nighter.

I'm bouncing back to Da Eagles. Miami has show too many weaknesses of late. They struggled at home vs the Skins & Ravens. Eagles have won 8 straight & I'm willing to bet they make it 9 (RAYMOND). :rolleyes:

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grooven

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The dark side of the Moon
i waited too late and had to take the hook in the ravens/oakland game but found this tid bit :idea:

The betting public is correct when moving the money line in OAKLAND games 76.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (26-8)Edge=BALTIMORE;)
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Final Plays..........

Final Plays..........

All Vegas opening lines ('cept for Titans)


Ravens -6
Rams -6.5
Bengals -2.5
Titans -6 (line change play)


New England / Jacksonville UNDER 36.5


Best to all

SC
 

AR182

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senor capper,

imo, the bears are not that big of an insane play. i think that they actually have a chance to win su.


good luck & appreciate your posts.
 

gardenweasel

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senor

senor

looks like a big day for you(hopefully)....very sharp looking card....i`m not even gonna post...you already took care of it...

best of luck,today;)
 

Senor Capper

is feeling it
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Ravens -6 pending
Rams -6.5 Fricken Safety LOSER!!!
Bengals -2.5 Winner
Titans -6 (line change play) LOSER


New England / Jacksonville UNDER 36.5 (I hate totals)LOSER




Sides 2-2
Totals 0-1


69-50-4

Forgot about Da Bears WINNER !!!
 
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