week 15 plays

[vanbasten]

last week 5-1 (+9.70 units)
overall 64-42-3 (+41.50 units)

5* 4-1
3* 21-15-2
2* 22-16
1* 17-9-1
1/2* 0-1

we're at a point in the season where lines are way out of wack if you are a number cruncher. bad teams getting points because...they are bad teams. just need to figure out which teams will still come to play and which teams have packed it up for the season. aside from that you need to look at which teams are due for a letdown or are in a bad spot. ANY HELP WITH THIS IS APPRECIATED.

i have good ats advantages on the following games...

atl +
chi +
det +
oak +
az +
sd +

these lines are at least 2-3 points off according to my numbers. obviously for good reason, but would like to think at least 3 of these 6 cover.

so far my lean is atl, chi, det, and sd.

more work to do.

good luck to all

 

[TheItalianguy]

I might be wrong but from watching them the past 2 weeks I feel like Oakland is one of those teams that have packed up

 

[Spreader]

atl + liked them until they fired Reeves - players are sad about it and may be unmotivated here on out - wade phillips is a go against

chi + liked it until they decided to start Rex Grossman. still like it, but not nearly as much.

det + poor road team that can't keep up, no thanks - needs high draft picks

oak + ugly team playing for 1st pick of draft, Rick Mirer solid go against, but balt has 30 pt trends against them (remember superbowl ravens on the road winning by only 3 at AZ - same situation practically minus being superbowl bound)

az + blake not starting... watch out kids... McCown the clown is in town - need high draft picks

sd + is flutie benched?, what is breezy going to do? pack may play well if minny loses. saw a strong trend on sd for this one and they need strong draft picks.

Bears look to be the cream of that crop.

I am leaning to the Seahawks & Bills for dogs with biting potential. GL!

 

[vanbasten]

thanks for the thoughts...spreader, i have a real small advantage (1 1/2 points) with both seattle and buff. good luck if you play them.

worked all sides out and came up with some strong advantages. they follow in order of strength...

chi + definite play (7)
det + definite play (7)
wash pk definite play (6)
oak + (4.5)
sd + (4)
atl + (3.5)
cle + (3.5)
phi + (3)

will be posting all plays friday night,using the best lines i can get at that time. taking my little one to disneyworld saturday for three days and won't be around. she's four and looking forward to breakfast with cinderella at the castle. i hope cinderella's a hottie

i will try to work totals tonight.

good luck to all

 

[emmitt]

vanbasten

vanbasten

thanks for the post bol this weekend!!!!
always read your stuff enjoy your weekend at disneyworld with your little girl emmitt

 

[vanbasten]

worked the totals and advantages look like this, in order...

az/car O - definite play
sf/cinn O
sea/sl U
wash/dal O
phi/mia U
cle/den U
ne/jax U
atl/indy U

slammed busy with work and vacation, below are my definite plays that i can post. won't be able to post the rest of the week, so here's what i'm doing for sunday, as i know right now.

det +14.5 3*
az/car O 38.5 3*

chi +3 (+100) 2*
wash +1 2*

cle +10.5 1*

that's it. i know...some ugly stuff. if i do have a positive day, i will be playing philly + for 1* monday night.

thanks emmitt, bol to you.


good luck to all

 

[vanbasten]

adding...

adding...

another unit to chi +

now chi +3 (+100) 3*

looks like grossman is throwing the ball extremely well this week. veterans are impressed. also team morale is good as the players like jauron and want to win for him. atrain will be back in form as well. over the flu, he'll get the ball more than the nine times he carried last week. like them to get the outright at home.

good luck to all

 

[Wolftaz]

Might want to keep an eye on the weather for the SF/Cincy O play. Could get nasty.

 

[ajoytoy]

gl Sunday Vanbasten!!!


toy