plays for 12/14-12/15

[AR182]

2*under 37(130) jax/n.e.--pats have held 5 teams to 10 points or less, while jax ranks in the top 5 on defense. here is a trend to support this play:

play under - any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (new england) - with a good rushing defense - allowing 3.5 or less rushing yards/carry, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games. ats record over the last 5 years is 29-9==76.3%

good luck

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

I've been looking at this play myself. I just havent decided. Good Luck to you

 

[AR182]

good luck to you also, 60 second assassin.



2*denver-9.5(130)--i have seen many people state that since denver exerted so much energy last week vs. kc chiefs, this will be a flat spot for denver. i don't buy that reasoning. this is a must game for denver so i think that they will be focused vs. cleve.
this is a match up of cleveland's #29 offense vs. denver's #3 rated defense & denver's #7 rated offense vs. cleve's. #10 rated defense. but on the road cleveland has been pretty bad. in their 6 road games this year, cleve.has averaged a very poor 3.9 yppl on offense vs. teams that allow an average of 4.8 yppl on defense. cleve's defense have given up an average of 5.5 yppl on defense to teams that average 5.2 yppl on offense. with portis & plummer in the lineup, denver's offense has averaged close to a very good 6 yppl on offense, while their defense yields a very good 4.7 yppl. imo, cleveland's offense does very little & their defense will get worn down as denver should control this game from start to finish & i see denver winning this game by 14-17 points.


good luck

 

[gardenweasel]

i was waiting

i was waiting

on the titan/bill o/u to post.....and am hoping it posts high.....bills "d has been solid and i believe that there are some trends that might point to the under.....

you are the trend and angle guru....does anything present itself for this match-up?....

thanks and g.l.

 

[ajoytoy]

gl this weekend AR!


toy

 

[AR182]

2*chicago+4(130)--minn. is 5-15-2 (0-2 this year) as grass road favorites. they also allow 125 yds. per carry on defense. chicago is 4-1 su & 5-0 ats in their last 5 home games& the dog in this series is 18-6 ats. think the bears hang within the number & wouldn't be surprised with them winning outright.

2*jax+8(138)--something interesting that i read about these two teams: n.e.,11-3 this year is +30 net yards per game. jax, 4-9 this year is +50 net yards this game. a trend supporting this playlay against any nfl home team who won at home last week & scored less than 14 points. since 1982 ats record is 34-17 (66.6%) play against new england.

good luck


gw, i just read that buffalo has gone under in 21 of last 22 games.

thanks, toy. good luck to you also.

 

[AR182]

2*under 38.5 tenn/buff.---buffalo games have gone under 21 of their last 23 games plus with mcnair being injured think tenn. will go relatively conservative.


good luck

 

[gardenweasel]

nice card

nice card

waffling a bit on denver after the big win last week....but,it does look like the browns have folded their tent.....and that brown rushing "d' can be had.....

nice,logical plays with solid analysis.....g.l.

 

[AR182]

2*seattle+8(130)--despite seattle's problems on the road, they are still 4-0-1 ats in their last 5 road dogs of 3 or points or more & they've lost 2 of their 6 road losses by more than 7 points.

good luck