Are there any sports no matter what you do you can't cap ?

[hogman14]

Scott.

I think a lot of it has to do with interest, in a sense.
I think the answer is within, if we dig deeper. We must also ask...Why bet on (insert sport)? We'll take football, the most popular sport for wagering. The reason...some do it to make money, others just to root for a team, others for bragging rights in the office pool, for some it's an addiction...which is another issue completely. But regardless, those who play the pool, call a bookie, bet online, etc...they bet/buy into the pool, etc. BECAUSE they think they have an edge. Whether it is real, or just psychological (sp?) is a different story. I mean, with the pointspread, it's technically a 50/50 play. If one is not betting with confidence in their plays, then they shouldn't be betting...ok..straying off topic...

So, you get your foots player, who maybe has turned a profit...better yet, has made a lot of money playing football, and now needs something to feed his craving for action. Enter the NBA. Just because he understands pointspreads, and trends in the NFL does not make him a good NBA handicapper. I think the good cappers, as a whole, stick with one sport....Maybe this is too broad a generalization, and I certainly don't mean to offend anyone here who has success in multi sports...in these cases, more power to you! But regardless...I often see friends, who do alright in football, turn some profit for the year, maybe even have some really big weeks, then turn around and start betting buckets....then say to themselves/me "I suck at the NBA."

Then there's the player who's itching for the NBA to start. He's analyzed, and overanalyzed every team from the starting lineup, to the bench strength. Although he understands that there are a bunch of "thugs" in games, and that some players just decide to take nights off at a time, he has become accustomed to that, after consistent handicapping of the sport. Just like the NFL handicapper who tries to find "soft" lines, "easy" totals, letdown spots, trends, etc, etc, etc...this player has an understanding of the line set by Vegas for the NBA. Probably more so than the guy who hops on board after the Super Bowl.

All in all, I think you get out what you put in. Countinguy has it right, everyone has their specialties...it's just a matter of where you want to put in the most research and time, and also how much time you have. I have season tix to the Celtics, and I've bet 2 hoop games this year....Would rather just stick to one sport. I also think it is tough to jump on midseason, but that's also another topic....

GL.

 

[countinguy]

Scott,

The best thread on Madjacks that enuff people don't pay attention to that always makes money as long as use money management is the NBA Halftime Thread. It is not me that is good or anybody else in particular about 40 diff. people work this on rotating nites and if u just play the consensus u almost cant lose. Like i said it all comes down to money management on the plays. but it is one hell of a thread for madjack to be proud of!!!

 

[countinguy]

....................................................................
counting

I agree with everything you said. Ok one more question.

Lets just say that all sports stopped except hockey and we
were all forced to just wager on it.

It would be a total lost cause ?

thats discouraging.

KOD

Oh Shiit don't go there that would destroy me!!! LOL!!!

I only like Hockey when I am at the games w/beer in hand, just waiting for the next fight. Kinda like Wrassslin' LOL!!! :thefinger :thefinger

Please don't bash me Hockey Fans, just joking!! LOL!

 

[ego74]

The NBA is a bit tricky. I've done better than usual this season basically by riding streaks. Finding the hot and cold teams in the right situations, if you can find it.

For example....I bet against Orlando for about 7 straight games when they were like 1-11. got off that after they fired Rivers.Also, The clippers have been a money maker the past 2 wks.

Over/Unders in the pros are something to take advantage of if you can spot the easier ones. They are probably easier than sides.

The NBA halftime thread here at Jack's is a great tool also, some great cappers there.


Baseball, on the other hand, wasn't very kind to me last summer. I had my best plays, though, by playing streaks. go against teams on 3 or more game losing streaks in paticular. It's just hard to get a good moneyline on those teams ( detroit, cincy, ny mets, ect...)

 

[british bulldog]

I love all the sports but each requires different approaches. That is all the difference is. You are not capping a game any differently as capping ensues the whole circle and not just different segaments.

now I am not the best capper in the world and nor do I claim to be. There are plenty of you out there that are way to good for me, but I hope that what I am about to post will help someone.

Baseball.

Lines are usually set on starting pitchers and then other factors are worked into the price. To me the bull pen has as much significance and if not more in baseball. If the bullpen has seen quite a bit of action in the teams last five games, then sure they will be tired. I look to oppose teams who's bullpen has pitched 16 innings or more in their last five games. I also look at sides who played on the road in an evening game the day before and had to travel overnight and have an early start game that day. Another good go against angle.


Pro basketball.

One simple winner for you all that has won money over the last three seasons. Play against Dallas Mavericks on the spread when they are a road favourite. About 20 bets a season with a 65+% success rate. Last time I checked this angle the Mavs were 2-20 ATS.

However, this is all about momentum. How many of you decided to play against Orlando Tragic after they started the season 1-5 ATS. Before you had your first losing wager you would have won ten consecutive times. I bet most people played Orlando on the basis that ;
(a) They couldn't keep losing
(b) They were a playoff team last year, and
(c) They have Tracey Mac. (well one prima dona doesn't make a team).

With that last statement I remember that I decided to fade the Wizards blindly in all games when the great M.J. joined them. Why, because instanly they were of little line value (inflated lines) and secondly, the public would be all over them because of the "Jordan factor".

Basketball is all about situations and how teams perform after a certain match up or before a particular match up. Some play best on the road in their first game of a road series and have a let down in their last home game stand of a series.


Pro football

Impossible: One word has prevented cappers from returning winning seasons continuously. OK, some may have good years this time around but will they next season and the season after? Anyway that one word is "PARITY"

I predict that by the end of season 2005 all divisions will be wn with a no better than 10-6 season and most likely 9-7. Plenty of tie break rules will come into force.

College sport

These offer good betting opportunities but I prefer to stick to conference games.