LV Bowl and Line Movement

[Blackman]

From the site that I use to determine where the money is going I am seeing 64.54% on Oregon St and 35.46% on NM, yet the line continues to drop.......any clue as to why?

This is more of a check of my %'s than anything else - the numbers seem off to me.

Any insight would be appreciated.

 

[Cie]

Wouldn't it seem 'vegas' is looking for more action on
OSU in an effort to hit a big payday?? :shrug:


GL:weed:

 

[Blackman]

Does appear that way Cie - but I hate justifying a pick on that thought - because deep down I think that Vegas just wants equal action and how does "Vegas" know the winner any better than you or I?

If anything, a line this fishy might put me into a no play situation. And with my stellar 2-3 record in bowls thus far forcing action is not in my best interest.

GL on your play.

 

[JohnHiRoller]

Blackman, I have also handicapped this game, and while my record is not stellar by any means, I have to lean with NM tonight.
You have a better rushing team getting points, and additionaly New mexico is the better rush defensive team.
My numbers had this as New Mexico as a 2.5 favorite. The total appears to be right on, I will be playing over based on the prior bowl outcomes this year.

BOL.


JHR.

 

[Blackman]

Good luck John on your play - I'm still undecided. Lean to the over actually also, which might be my only play.

 

[stomie]

It seems the oddsmakers are enticing you to bet Oregon State :nono:

 

[Blackman]

It seems the oddsmakers are enticing you to bet Oregon State :nono:

I understand what you are saying....BUT - Does Vegas really care? Do they have a vested interest in one side more than another? I'm not implying that Oregon St or New Mexico are the "right" side, but I also feel strongly that Vegas does not know the outcome of this game before kickoff either. I just see this situation a lot of times before games, where line movement does not seem to match the money coming in, and I honestly do not feel that Vegas is being sharp and baiting fish to bet on a weaker side. Seems like they are setting themselves up for a big loss.