Dr. Strangelove VS Ajoytoy Bowl Games Thread

ajoytoy

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DR STRANGELOVE said:


anil, are you playing this game?
i am playing it, BUT YOU DONT HAVE TO....if you dont want

it will not count in our contest:tongue


there are 25 bowls remaining, if you only want to play 10 of 'em, then that is fine...i will play those same 10 in this thread....i probably will not play all 25, BUT if you play ALL 25, then i would be forced to :nono:

dont force anything brother...think about laying out in the sun in mexico:thefinger ....easier for me to beat you then:tongue :moon:
 

DR STRANGELOVE

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Anil,

here are all my plays...my picks may be somewhat different than what I would have selected if I was sober:drinky:

Again, happy new year bud and I'll talk to you when i get back from Mexico...need to get some sleep before heading off to the airport at 3am :tongue


-Northwestern (+6.5) over Bowling Green
Northwestern is 18-3 ATS on non-grass fields


-Virginia Tech (-3) vs. California

To be playing in the Insight Bowl has to be a disappointment for Virginia Tech, who entered the season expecting to contend for a BCS berth. They have been invited to eleven consecutive bowl games. The fact of the matter is, an 8-4 record in what is arguably the weakest BCS conference, the Big East, will land you in the Insight Bowl. Also, the only BCS Bowl Virginia Tech ever played in was the 1999 National Championship Game against Florida St. After starting the season 6-0, Virginia Tech stumbled to the finish line 2-4. Cal feels fortunate just being in a bowl, after being on probation last year. Virginia Tech, behind junior running back Kevin Jones, rolled to the 15th ranked rushing offense in the country. Frank Beamer loves to pound Jones into the opposition?s offensive line. This will be the junior running back?s last game, as he already has announced he will forego his senior year and enter the draft. Bryan Randall and Ernest Wilford are good enough balance Va Tech?s offensive attack to keep the Cal defense honest and not put seven in the box and focus solely on Jones. I think Virginia Tech will get an early lead and the run Kevin Jones until time expires. Virginia Tech is 9-1 ATS in non-conference play. Cal has not played in any bowl since losing to Navy in the 1996 Aloha Bowl.



-Pittsburgh (+3) vs. Virginia

This may be Larry Fitzgerald?s last game, in what has to be a disappointing bowl assignment for Pittsburgh. Entering this season, they were touted as a darkhorse National Championship contender. Early losses to Toledo and Notre Dame squelched that. Fitzgerald, only a sophomore, may challenge the draft rules because he did not graduate high school and went to prep school to earn his degree. Thus, he has been out of high school for the requisite three years. Stay tuned, that one could be interesting. Because of Fitzgerald, Pittsburgh boasts the 11th ranking passing offense in the country. Senior quarterback Rod Rutherford, who has passed for 3,433 yards, 35 TDs and only 13 INTs, loves to get the rock to Fitzgerald, who has 87 catches for 1,595 yards and 22 of Rutherford?s 35 TDs this year. Pittsburgh is 8-2 ATS as a dog. This is the second Continental Tire Bowl and the second time Virginia is playing in the game. They lost to West Virginia last year 48-22. This is the first meeting between the schools since 1955, which seems somewhat odd, given the close geography between the two schools.



-Michigan St. vs. Nebraska OVER 49.5
Michigan St. has been over five of six overall this year


-Navy (+12.5) over Texas Tech
Navy is 13-3 ATS overall in their last 16


-Washington St. (+9.5) vs. Texas
Texas, after getting skunked by Kansas St. and the BCS, sheepishly accepts a bid to the Holiday Bowl. Coach Mack Brown did not even indicate disappointment in his press conference, although you know he is seething inside. Texas still has never been to a BCS Bowl, despite playing in their sixth consecutive bowl and, if they win, will have three straight eleven win seasons. They played in the Holiday bowl in both 2000 and 2001, splitting the games, but going 0-2 ATS. I have a theory when it comes to Texas; the Texas alums represent a significant portion of the betting population on Texas? games. The betting line, thus is heavily weighted in the favor of Texas. Case in point, Texas was 10-2 this year, but only 8-4 ATS. Last year, they were 11-2, but only 6-7 ATS. Washington St. is playing what if when looking forward to this game as well. They could have been in the BCS had they not blown a lead against Washington in the Apple Cup. Washington St., behind senior quarterback Matt Kegel and the 21st ranked passing offense in the country should be able to stay close to Texas in this game, and quite possibly win it. Washington St. presents a balanced attack, as they also boast the 19th ranked defense in the country to give the scrambling freshman quarterback Vince Young fits. Washington St. is 13-3 ATS on grass. These teams have not met since 1961.


-Fresno St. vs. UCLA UNDER 43.5
Fresno St. has been under five straight overall this year
 

DR STRANGELOVE

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-Utah (-2) vs. S.Mississippi

Both of these teams had nice years and won their conferences. I think, sans the BCS games, some of the best bowl matchups are the ones between two non-BCS teams because there is usually no ?what if? scenario and the schools generally are glad to be there. I really like what first year coach Urban Meyer, who was named Sporting News National Coach of the Year this week, did at Utah in turning the program around after his arrival from Bowling Green. He took a 5-6 team and turned it into a 9-2 Mountain West powerhouse. This year was the first outright conference championship for Utah since 1957. Utah did show some promise late last year, winning its final three games. This is their first bowl since they won the 2001 Las Vegas Bowl. What impresses me most, is Utah is 9-2, without a spectacular offense, defense or special teams. They are just solid at almost every position. S.Mississippi coach Jeff Bower has treated early practices more like training camp and did not begin preparing for Utah specifically until later in December. I think this could be a mistake, because Utah is good, as is any team you play in a bowl, and Coach Bower has missed out on a lot of time reviewing Utah and getting his players ready for what they will see New Years Eve. S.Mississippi is 1-8 ATS as a dog. This is the first ever meeting between the two teams.



-Wisconsin vs. Auburn OVER 46
Wisconsin has been over four of five overall this year



-Oregon (+4) over Minnesota
Oregon is 4-1 ATS overall this year



-Missouri (+2.5) over Arkansas
Missouri is 6-1 ATS overall this year



-Boston College vs. Colorado St. OVER 54
Boston College has been over four of five overall this year



-Iowa (+3.5) vs. Florida

Florida played the third toughest schedule in the nation and has three wins against top eleven teams; LSU, Georgia and Arkansas was #11 when Florida beat them. Despite that impressive fact, if there is a big game, they will lose it. If they have a lead, they will blow it. Florida does not come back well from defeat either. They tend to not put the bad behind them and move on. Florida is 1-5 ATS after a straight up loss, they blew the Florida St. game in their last regular season outing. This is their second consecutive season playing in the Outback Bowl. Florida is the type of team that is always the bridesmaid but never the bride. They always seem to play in a New Years? Bowl, but never for a championship. This game represents an SEC record 11th consecutive January bowl game for Florida. Coach Ron Zook compared Iowa to Arkansas, who Florida beat 33-28 earlier this year. Iowa has to be elated with where they are. They are playing in a New Years Bowl for the second consecutive year (the first time in school history), and their third consecutive bowl game. They entered the season with predictions of a second team Big Ten finish because they only returned four offensive starters from last years Orange Bowl team. They finished this season strong, going 4-1 ATS. Coach Kirk Ferentz deserves all the credit in the world for this one. Iowa has done it largely with defense this season, they are ranked 10th nationally and allow only 16 points per game. The key to the game, in my opinion, is that the Iowa defense must control Florida?s speed. This is the first meeting between the teams since 1983.





-Maryland vs. West Virginia OVER 51
West Virginia has been over six of seven overall this year



-Michigan vs. USC OVER 58
USC has been over 17 of 21 overall




-Florida St. (-1.5) over Miami
Miami is 1-4 ATS overall this year



-Kansas St. (-7) vs. Ohio St.

Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops said that it was no fluke that Kansas St. won the Big Twelve Championship. Their defense is nails. Kansas St., led by senior linebackers Josh Buhl and Bryan Hickman, has the #5 defense in the country. Ohio St., who returns to the scene of their National Championship last year, was left void in the backfield after the abrupt departure of Maurice Clarett (I am being kind here) earlier this season, had trouble running the ball all year long. In fact, their rushing offense only rates 84th in the country behind such national rushing powerhouses as Rutgers, Kentucky and SMU. Lydell Ross and Maurice Hall have done an admirable job, in fact, junior Ross averaged 4.3 yards per carry and scored 10 TDs. However, together the two had 1,159 yards and 11 TDs, while Clarett had 1,266 yards, 16 TDs and a 5.6 yards per carry average by himself last year. Ohio St. did fine in replacing him, but they certainly miss that explosive back that so few teams have. Given the way the season turned out, had Clarett played, Ohio St. may have been in the Sugar Bowl playing for the National Championship. Kansas St. brings that explosive running back to the game in junior Darren Sproles, who has been compared to Priest Holmes and may declare himself eligible for the draft this spring. Sproles has 2,026 yards, 15 TDs and averages 6.6 yards per carry this year. Kansas St. lost three in a row earlier this year to Marshall, which had to be one of the biggest upsets of the year, Texas and Oklahoma St., but since have won seven straight games to right themselves. Kansas St. plays as the Big Twelve Champion, the team the Fiesta Bowl gives an automatic berth to. Had Kansas St. lost to Oklahoma, the Fiesta Bowl would have had two at large picks. This is the first ever meeting between the two schools.



-Tulsa vs. Georgia Tech (Over 47.5)

This is the strangest scheduling of a bowl game. The game was originally scheduled for December 29, but was moved to this Saturday for television so it would fit in and there would not be a night without college football. Why was the Sugar Bowl not scheduled on this night? Was there an auto dealers convention in the Superdome on Saturday night? Given how late most championship games go, a Saturday night game would have been much more fan friendly than a Sunday night game. This is the seventh straight bowl game for Georgia Tech. They both started and finished the year 1-3, in between they were 4-0. Such is life when you start a freshman quarterback. Coach Chan Gailey, the ex-Dallas Cowboys coach, said that Reggie Ball learned the system quickly and was easily his best quarterback in training camp this past summer. Reggie Ball has decent statistics this year, he has passed for 1,980 yards with an efficiency rating of 104. Please do not get the impression that I am laying the blame of a 6-6 season on a freshman quarterback, Georgia Tech was 7-6 last year without him, so there are other holes on the team. Rather, I am praising the quality job Ball has done and the confidence Gailey has exuberated in him. Georgia Tech has been over four straight and averaged 55 total points in those games. In fact, the last game they were under was that 7-3 stinker against Maryland on October 23. This is Tulsa?s first bowl appearance since 1991. They is one of the best bowl stories under first year coach Steve Kragthorpe. They are 8-4 and in a bowl after finishing with a 1-11 record last year, and 2-21 in the previous two years. Tulsa boasts a high scoring offense that has been over nine of eleven overall this year and averaged over 58 total points. Tulsa has the 16th ranked rushing offense in the country and gets it done by committee. Senior running back Eric Richardson, junior quarterback James Kilian and sophomore Uril Parrish all average more than 50 yards rushing per game. These two teams met twice before, but both meetings were in the 1940s.
 

DR STRANGELOVE

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-Oklahoma (-6) vs. LSU

This is the one we have been talking about all year. The bowl season both begins and ends in New Orleans. The New Orleans Bowl kicks off the bowl season here December 16. Although this game is being played in LSU?s home state and they will no doubt have a huge contingent of fans present, Oklahoma will win this game. If Oklahoma won the Big Twelve Championship Game I think the line would have been bigger. Nonetheless, Oklahoma is a very talented team that is hurt and mad about losing to Kansas St. I think they will take out some aggressions on LSU and easily win this game. Oklahoma is 6-1 ATS after a straight up loss. To no ones surprise, Bob Stoops has superior talent on both sides of the ball, especially with the top ranked defense in the country. Senior quarterback and Heisman Trophy winner Jason White leads the ninth ranked passing offense on the other side of the ball. White will face a challenge in LSU?s 2nd ranked defense. LaRon Landry, Lionel Turner and Jack Hunt will blitz to give Jason White and Mark Clayton (the old Dolphins receiver?) fits. However, it will be Oklahoma?s defense led by Teddy Lehman that will prevail on the new year?s first Sunday night (maybe Monday morning knowing how long these games go). Jason White, who is listed as a senior this year, was granted another year of eligibility and said he will return to Oklahoma next year. The rich get richer, huh? Only Oklahoma can have a senior Heisman trophy quarterback and get him back the following year. When LSU is compared to Oklahoma, the BCS strength of schedule jumps out. Oklahoma?s schedule ranks 11th and LSU?s is 29th. That is what almost kept LSU out of this game. However, LSU comes into this game as arguably the hottest team in the country. Coach Nick Saban will spend time leading up to the game beating off professional coaching rumors, most notably Atlanta and the Giants, with a stick. What else is new? Unless Michigan beats touchdown favorite USC in the Rose Bowl, nothing that happens here will prevent us from having co-national champions. The coaches are obligated to vote for the winner of this game as their post-season #1. The writers already have USC #1. If USC wins, would enough coaches break ranks and vote USC #1 to vault them into that overall position? No team has ever won its bowl game and dropped in the polls. That would be the ultimate BCS nightmare. The winner of the National Championship game finishing #2 to a team that did not get an invite to the game. That scenario is possible, but highly unlikely. This game will be the first meeting between the two schools since 1950.




Enjoy the bowl games my friends...


:sadwave: :sadwave: hopefully I'll be able to catch some games on the tube down there??
 

Lost Hillbilly

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I like some of the picks by Dr. Strangelove, but pretaining to the Cont. Tire Bowl, last year Virginia beat West Virginia's ass in that bowl game. Anyone who can run the ball will run all over Pitt. Just look at the season at all the team records set against Pitt by running backs. Look for Wally Lundy to run wild against Pitt tomarrow, there is no question that "superman" will catch a number of passes and get his touchdowns, but Virginia will cover and win outright by keeping Larry off the field.


Like the Va Tech game that Doc picked as well. Just a little worried that Jones will not give his all knowing he is just a four months away from being a rich! Look for Beamer to finally open up the offense tonight with plays that haven't been seen all year.
 

ajoytoy

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Putting all of the Anthony's play on the same page, so i can figure what plays i have to post:

Northwestern (+6.5) over Bowling Green
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. California
Pittsburgh (+3) vs. Virginia
Michigan St. vs. Nebraska OVER 49.5
Navy (+12.5) over Texas Tech
Washington St. (+9.5) vs. Texas
Fresno St. vs. UCLA UNDER 43.5
Utah (-2) vs. S.Mississippi
Wisconsin vs. Auburn OVER 46
Oregon (+4) over Minnesota
Missouri (+2.5) over Arkansas
Boston College vs. Colorado St. OVER 54
Iowa (+3.5) vs. Florida
Maryland vs. West Virginia OVER 51
Michigan vs. USC OVER 58
Florida St. (-1.5) over Miami
Kansas St. (-7) vs. Ohio St.
Tulsa vs. Georgia Tech (Over 47.5)
Oklahoma (-6) vs. LSU


lots of play brother!

excellent writeups and stat-finding!

gl on 'em!
 

ajoytoy

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ajoytoy: 4-0
dr strangelove: 2-2

Dr. Strangeloves play's:
Northwestern (+6.5) over Bowling Green
Virginia Tech (-3) vs. California

Ajoytoy's plays:
NW/BG OVER 55
VT Hokies -3
 

ajoytoy

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Ajoytoy: 4-2
Dr. S: 3-3

will not count the Pitt/Uva pick for ya Anthony since i couldn't get online to post my play (even though i had UVA!:eek: )...now if ya had won it, i would have given you credit for it:tongue


sorry and hopefully local service will continue to run correctly:rolleyes:
 

ajoytoy

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Legend: D= Dr. Strangelove A=Ajoytoy

D:Michigan St. vs. Nebraska OVER 49.5
A:MSU +3.5 (-106)

D:Navy (+12.5) over Texas Tech
A:Navy +13 (-105)

D:Washington St. (+9.5) vs. Texas
A: WSU/Texas Over 58.5 (-107)

D:Fresno St. vs. UCLA UNDER 43.5
A:FSU +3 (-104)

D:Utah (-2) vs. S.Mississippi
A: Utah -1.5 (-107)

D:Wisconsin vs. Auburn OVER 46
A: Wisc/Aub Over 45.5 (-107)

D:Oregon (+4) over Minnesota
A:Minn/Oreg Over 60 (-105)

D:Missouri (+2.5) over Arkansas
A:Mizzu +3 (+100)

D:Boston College vs. Colorado St. OVER 54
A:BC +2 (-110)

D:Iowa (+3.5) vs. Florida
A:Iowa/Fla Over 46 (-107)

D:Maryland vs. West Virginia OVER 51
A:Maryland -3 (+100)

D:Michigan vs. USC OVER 58
A:Mich +7.5 (+110)

D:Florida St. (-1.5) over Miami
A: FSU -1.5 (-105)

D:Kansas St. (-7) vs. Ohio St.
A:KSU/OSU Over 43.5 (-105)

D:Tulsa vs. Georgia Tech (Over 47.5)
A: Tul/GT Over 47.5 (-105)

D:Oklahoma (-6) vs. LSU
A:LSU/Ok Over 48 (-107)

will add more plays and analysis in my thread:D

;) :tongue
 

ajoytoy

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Ajoytoy: 10-9
Dr. S: 9-10


D:Iowa (+3.5) vs. Florida >>>>>>>>>>>W
A:Iowa/Fla Over 46 (-107) >>>>>>>>>>>W

D:Maryland vs. West Virginia OVER 51 >>>>>>L
A:Maryland -3 (+100) >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>W

D:Michigan vs. USC OVER 58 >>>>>>>>>>>>L
A:Mich +7.5 (+110) >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>L

D:Florida St. (-1.5) over Miami >>>>>>>>>>>>>L
A: FSU -1.5 (-105)>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>L

getting good at the end;) :tongue
 

ajoytoy

carpe vitam
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coming into tonight:
Ajoytoy: 12-9
Dr. S: 10-11


sorry, Anthony...was hoping we would get a tie....talk to you soon!!


;)
 
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