-Utah (-2) vs. S.Mississippi
Both of these teams had nice years and won their conferences. I think, sans the BCS games, some of the best bowl matchups are the ones between two non-BCS teams because there is usually no ?what if? scenario and the schools generally are glad to be there. I really like what first year coach Urban Meyer, who was named Sporting News National Coach of the Year this week, did at Utah in turning the program around after his arrival from Bowling Green. He took a 5-6 team and turned it into a 9-2 Mountain West powerhouse. This year was the first outright conference championship for Utah since 1957. Utah did show some promise late last year, winning its final three games. This is their first bowl since they won the 2001 Las Vegas Bowl. What impresses me most, is Utah is 9-2, without a spectacular offense, defense or special teams. They are just solid at almost every position. S.Mississippi coach Jeff Bower has treated early practices more like training camp and did not begin preparing for Utah specifically until later in December. I think this could be a mistake, because Utah is good, as is any team you play in a bowl, and Coach Bower has missed out on a lot of time reviewing Utah and getting his players ready for what they will see New Years Eve. S.Mississippi is 1-8 ATS as a dog. This is the first ever meeting between the two teams.
-Wisconsin vs. Auburn OVER 46
Wisconsin has been over four of five overall this year
-Oregon (+4) over Minnesota
Oregon is 4-1 ATS overall this year
-Missouri (+2.5) over Arkansas
Missouri is 6-1 ATS overall this year
-Boston College vs. Colorado St. OVER 54
Boston College has been over four of five overall this year
-Iowa (+3.5) vs. Florida
Florida played the third toughest schedule in the nation and has three wins against top eleven teams; LSU, Georgia and Arkansas was #11 when Florida beat them. Despite that impressive fact, if there is a big game, they will lose it. If they have a lead, they will blow it. Florida does not come back well from defeat either. They tend to not put the bad behind them and move on. Florida is 1-5 ATS after a straight up loss, they blew the Florida St. game in their last regular season outing. This is their second consecutive season playing in the Outback Bowl. Florida is the type of team that is always the bridesmaid but never the bride. They always seem to play in a New Years? Bowl, but never for a championship. This game represents an SEC record 11th consecutive January bowl game for Florida. Coach Ron Zook compared Iowa to Arkansas, who Florida beat 33-28 earlier this year. Iowa has to be elated with where they are. They are playing in a New Years Bowl for the second consecutive year (the first time in school history), and their third consecutive bowl game. They entered the season with predictions of a second team Big Ten finish because they only returned four offensive starters from last years Orange Bowl team. They finished this season strong, going 4-1 ATS. Coach Kirk Ferentz deserves all the credit in the world for this one. Iowa has done it largely with defense this season, they are ranked 10th nationally and allow only 16 points per game. The key to the game, in my opinion, is that the Iowa defense must control Florida?s speed. This is the first meeting between the teams since 1983.
-Maryland vs. West Virginia OVER 51
West Virginia has been over six of seven overall this year
-Michigan vs. USC OVER 58
USC has been over 17 of 21 overall
-Florida St. (-1.5) over Miami
Miami is 1-4 ATS overall this year
-Kansas St. (-7) vs. Ohio St.
Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops said that it was no fluke that Kansas St. won the Big Twelve Championship. Their defense is nails. Kansas St., led by senior linebackers Josh Buhl and Bryan Hickman, has the #5 defense in the country. Ohio St., who returns to the scene of their National Championship last year, was left void in the backfield after the abrupt departure of Maurice Clarett (I am being kind here) earlier this season, had trouble running the ball all year long. In fact, their rushing offense only rates 84th in the country behind such national rushing powerhouses as Rutgers, Kentucky and SMU. Lydell Ross and Maurice Hall have done an admirable job, in fact, junior Ross averaged 4.3 yards per carry and scored 10 TDs. However, together the two had 1,159 yards and 11 TDs, while Clarett had 1,266 yards, 16 TDs and a 5.6 yards per carry average by himself last year. Ohio St. did fine in replacing him, but they certainly miss that explosive back that so few teams have. Given the way the season turned out, had Clarett played, Ohio St. may have been in the Sugar Bowl playing for the National Championship. Kansas St. brings that explosive running back to the game in junior Darren Sproles, who has been compared to Priest Holmes and may declare himself eligible for the draft this spring. Sproles has 2,026 yards, 15 TDs and averages 6.6 yards per carry this year. Kansas St. lost three in a row earlier this year to Marshall, which had to be one of the biggest upsets of the year, Texas and Oklahoma St., but since have won seven straight games to right themselves. Kansas St. plays as the Big Twelve Champion, the team the Fiesta Bowl gives an automatic berth to. Had Kansas St. lost to Oklahoma, the Fiesta Bowl would have had two at large picks. This is the first ever meeting between the two schools.
-Tulsa vs. Georgia Tech (Over 47.5)
This is the strangest scheduling of a bowl game. The game was originally scheduled for December 29, but was moved to this Saturday for television so it would fit in and there would not be a night without college football. Why was the Sugar Bowl not scheduled on this night? Was there an auto dealers convention in the Superdome on Saturday night? Given how late most championship games go, a Saturday night game would have been much more fan friendly than a Sunday night game. This is the seventh straight bowl game for Georgia Tech. They both started and finished the year 1-3, in between they were 4-0. Such is life when you start a freshman quarterback. Coach Chan Gailey, the ex-Dallas Cowboys coach, said that Reggie Ball learned the system quickly and was easily his best quarterback in training camp this past summer. Reggie Ball has decent statistics this year, he has passed for 1,980 yards with an efficiency rating of 104. Please do not get the impression that I am laying the blame of a 6-6 season on a freshman quarterback, Georgia Tech was 7-6 last year without him, so there are other holes on the team. Rather, I am praising the quality job Ball has done and the confidence Gailey has exuberated in him. Georgia Tech has been over four straight and averaged 55 total points in those games. In fact, the last game they were under was that 7-3 stinker against Maryland on October 23. This is Tulsa?s first bowl appearance since 1991. They is one of the best bowl stories under first year coach Steve Kragthorpe. They are 8-4 and in a bowl after finishing with a 1-11 record last year, and 2-21 in the previous two years. Tulsa boasts a high scoring offense that has been over nine of eleven overall this year and averaged over 58 total points. Tulsa has the 16th ranked rushing offense in the country and gets it done by committee. Senior running back Eric Richardson, junior quarterback James Kilian and sophomore Uril Parrish all average more than 50 yards rushing per game. These two teams met twice before, but both meetings were in the 1940s.