Updated playoff scenarios after Saturday's games

GM

PleasureGlutton
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AFC East
New England Patriots (14-2): Clinched home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs by defeating Buffalo.

Miami Dolphins (9-6): Eliminated from playoff contention. In a tie with Denver for the No. 6 seed, Denver would have a better conference record (9-3 to 7-5).


AFC North
Baltimore Ravens (9-6): Can clinch the division title and No. 4 seed with a win or tie vs. Pittsburgh OR a Cincinnati loss or tie vs. Cleveland.

Cincinnati Bengals (8-7): Can clinch the division title and No. 4 seed with a win vs. Cleveland AND a Baltimore loss vs. Pittsburgh.


AFC South
Indianapolis Colts (11-4): Have clinched a playoff berth.

? Can clinch the division title with a win at Houston OR a Tennessee loss vs. Tampa Bay.

? Can earn the No. 3, 5 or 6 seed.

Tennessee Titans (11-4): Have clinched a playoff berth.

? Can clinch the division title with a win vs. Tampa Bay AND an Indianapolis loss at Houston.

? Can earn the No. 3, 5 or 6 seed.


AFC West
Kansas City Chiefs (12-3): Have clinched the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye.

Denver Broncos (10-5): Have clinched the No. 5 or 6 seed.

? Can clinch the No. 5 seed with a win at Green Bay AND either an Indianapolis loss at Houston OR a Tennessee loss vs. Tampa Bay.


NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles (12-4): Have clinched the division title and a first-round bye.

? Can clinch home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with a St. Louis loss at Detroit.

Dallas Cowboys (10-5): Have clinched a playoff berth.

? Can clinch the No. 5 seed with a win or tie at New Orleans. With a loss, Dallas is the No. 6 seed and Seattle is No. 5.


NFC North
Minnesota Vikings (9-6): Can clinch the division title with a win at Arizona OR a Green Bay loss vs. Denver and any of the following: Atlanta win or tie, Detroit win or tie, Kansas City win or tie, San Diego loss or tie AND Tampa Bay loss or tie.

? Can earn the No. 3 seed with a win and Carolina loss at NY Giants.

? Cannot be wild card.

Green Bay Packers (9-6): Can clinch the division title with a win vs. Denver AND a Minnesota loss at Arizona.

? Can clinch a playoff berth with a win vs. Denver AND a Dallas win or tie at New Orleans.

? Can earn the No. 4 or 6 seed or miss the playoffs.

? If Minnesota and Green Bay finish tied at 9-7, Minnesota would win the division title based on better strength of victory UNLESS Atlanta loses vs. Jacksonville, Detroit loses vs. St. Louis, Kansas City loses vs. Chicago, San Diego wins vs. Oakland AND Tampa Bay wins at Tennessee. In that case, Green Bay would win the division title based on better strength of schedule.


NFC South
Carolina Panthers (10-5): Have clinched the division title.

? Can clinch the No. 3 seed with a win or tie at NY Giants OR Minnesota loss or tie at Arizona.

? Can earn No. 3 or 4 seed.


NFC West
St. Louis Rams (12-3): Have clinched the division title and a first-round bye.

? Can clinch home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with a win or tie at Detroit.

Seattle Seahawks (10-6): Can clinch the No. 5 seed with a Dallas loss at New Orleans.

? Can clinch No. 6 seed with a Green Bay loss vs. Denver OR a Minnesota loss at Arizona.

? Can earn the No. 5 or No. 6 seed or miss the playoffs.


Updated on Sunday, Dec 28, 2003 2:32 am EST
 

greed

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Division Title for Pack

Division Title for Pack

Can only win it with a loss by Minny and a Green Bay win because the Vikes have a better NFC conference record strength of schedule would not be considered.
 

GM

PleasureGlutton
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Billy -

I didn't do up the systems this week partly because it's the final week of the season, and I don't think they really apply. But mainly because I was just too busy this week. Sorry. :shrug:

But I can do some Week 17 history quickly....

2002: Favs 6-10, Overs 7-9, Avg PPG = 39.6
2001: Favs 9-6, Overs 8-6-1, Avg PPG = 39.3
2000: Favs 9-6, Overs 8-7, Avg PPG = 44.5
1999: Favs 8-6-1, Overs 7-8, Avg PPG = 46.9

Total: Favs 32-28-1 (53.3%), Overs 30-30-1.

No really strong trends. I remembered it as a high-scoring week, but of course Vegas knows that, and in turn puts up higher totals than usual. Last couple of years though Avg PPG has been a bit lower.
 

BigSix

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Since Dallas lost, Seahawks are in as a wildcard. Am I correct?
 

GM

PleasureGlutton
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Correct... Seattle is in, and in fact they are the #5 seed. And tonight's Balt game is meaningless. Matchups for next weekend are almost set...just one spot to be decided:

(6) Denver @ (3) Indianapolis
(5) Tennessee @ (4) Baltimore

(6) Dallas @ (3) Carolina*
(5) Seattle @ (4) Green Bay or Minnesota

I don't think they've announced which games are on Sat and which are on Sunday, but it will be one from each conference on each day.

(* - on the assumption Carolina does not blow this huge lead)
 
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