super bowl system

[AR182]

i copied this from another site.

Super Bowl System (32-3-2 ATS)

Here is a system that some have used for the last few years. It did lose last year with Oakland. The Oakland loss was the only loss in the last 19 Super Bowls and is 32-3-2 ATS. Hank Stram had a system that was somewhat like this but this one has been changed to add numbers that can be researched.

Use Regular season stats only. Only 1 team should get points from each category. Stats can be found at different websites. Obviously, New England will get 10 points for winning a Super Bowl in the last 3 years and get another 8 since Carolina has not been in a Super Bowl. (It looks as if the Pats will be a big favorite in this system)


Points
10 If team has won the Super Bowl in last 3 years
8 if an opponent is going to their first Super Bowl
8 to the team that allows fewer defensive rushes
7 give to team with most offensive rushes
7 award the team with best overall record (straight up)
5 to the team with the lowest def. rush average per carry
4 give 4 pts. to the team with the better ATS record
4 to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards
4 to the team with the best NET kick-punt TD returns
3.5 team with the best yds per pass attempt
3.5 to the team that gave up the fewest points
3.5 allowed the fewest rushing TD's
3 award 3 points to the team with the most sacks
2.5 team with the fewest offensive pass attempts
2 team with the best NET punts (total) on the season
1.5 add to the team with the best avg. per off. rush
1 add 1 to the team with the best completion percent

 

[AR182]

System results:

Here are the system results for the last 19 Super Bowls showing the point totals, spread, difference and actual score.

19 SF 57.5 (-3.5) over Miami 12 42 WIN 38-16
20 Chi 45.5 (-10) over NE 6 29.5 WIN 46-10
21 NYG 54.5 (-9.5) over Den 13 32 WIN 39-20
22 Wash 43.5 (+3) over Den 12 34.5 WIN 42-10
23 Cin 28 (+7) over SF 27 8 WIN 16-20
24 SF 40.5 (-12.5) over Den 20 8.5 WIN 55-10
25 NYG 33.5 (+7) over Buff 24 16.5 WIN 20-19
26 Wash 53 (-7) over Buff 6.5 39.5 WIN 37-24
27 Dal 35.5 (-6.5) over Buff 21 8 WIN 52-17
28 Dal 36 (-10) over Buff 19 7 WIN 30-13
29 SF 53 (-18) over SD 14.5 20.5 WIN 49-26
30 Pitt 29.5 (+13.5) over Dal 40 3 WIN 17-27
31 GB 50.5 (-14) over NE 9 27.5 PUSH 35-21
32 Den 35.5 (+11.5) over GB 34 13 WIN 31-24
33 Den 37.5 (-7) over Atl 26 4.5 WIN 34-19
34 STL 51 (-7) over Tn 9.5 34.5 Push 23-16
35 Bal 38 (-3) over NYG 29.5 5.5 WIN 34-7
36 NE 28.5 (+14) over STL 41 1.5 WIN 20-17
37 Oak 37 (-4) over TB 20.5 16.5 Loss 21-48


the figures for this superbowl are:

n.e.57
car.20.5

good luck

 

[bej0101]

very interesting..thanks

 

[grooven]

And if you take 57-20.5=37.5 the exact number of the over and under in this game :scared

 

[gardenweasel]

i saw it

i saw it

it also picked oakland last year by some ridiculous score....................39.5?..... ....

ar1....i know you are just providing info....and at least in my case,it`s appreciated....don`t mean to kill the messenger....


also taken from another site....a more current stat....

"the dog in carolina games this season is 15-4 now.....new england is 1-5 ats as a rd fav of between 3.5 and 9.5 pts.~"....

i`m sure we`ll see more stats and trends as we near gametime...

interesting stuff....

 

[Skanoochies]

Gardenweasel, speaking of dogs and R.F.s, is N.E. considered the home team for the coin toss, because they are in an A.F.C. park?
Thanks in advance,

Skanoochies.

 

[jmizeus]

wtg ar! i think this sytem comes from phil steele? he has a great superbowl record by using this sytem. could besomeone else? but i dont think so

 

[Talyn]

I have subscribed to Powersweep for last 3 or 4 years, and Steele has always touted and used the system discussed here, but I know he writes up a half a page every single year about how one should NEVER, EVER, bet a lot on the SB, because he says it is an isolated game, and thus Vegas is very sharp on the line. By sharp he means that it doesn't necessarily mean the game will be close to the number, it just means that Vegas will be much closer than usual at getting 50% of wagers on each side, making it a tough game to call. He never has a big play on SB, I think the highest I have seen is a 2 Star play. Hope that info is helpful.

Brad

 

[Pujo21]

Anybody know Hank Strahms system? Is it available?