wednesday ncaa......

[gman2]

3 straight broom days. playing one total and one side. 12 of L13 totals have come in. judge for yourself if this means to play or fade. streak or law of averages? we'll see.


toledo/bowling green over 147
cincinnati (-12.5) over st.louis

 

[johnnyb.]

nice run your on!!! continued success.
wanted to know why cincy bearcats? usually you play dogs with bite....
any opinions on baylor tomorrow playing texas a&m? seems like alot of points for 2 teams within a win of each other? actually aggies have yet to get a big 12 win this season... i like baylor for a small play

 

[buddy]

johnnyb,

Before you wager on Baylor +, you might want to wait and hear from the Aggie faithful. Aggies have been in several games only to fold in the final two minutes. Methinks the +9 is like a large piece of Velveeta sittin' on a trap waiting for a beady eyed rodent.

 

[Hack]

Gman,somebody as articulate and affluent in the art of linguistics as yourself should know that it`s the LAWS OF AVERAGE,and not the LAW OF AVERAGES.

Continued success on your fabulous run.

Good luck mate.

 

[vinnie]

Over 147 it is for lucky 13

G THANK YOU VERY MUCH

 

[gman2]

hack:

youre right, i take pride in 'all things grammar'. thanks for the correction.

"the brighter you are, the more you have to learn." -don herold

johnny:

you are also right- that type is chalk is not really my style but i expect the bearcats to lay it on st.louis. cincy is in off a string of non-covers, but their competition has been tough. billikens dont have a lot of offensive firepower and i think the cincy defense will give them problems. just sensing a rout. and now that the whaley distraction is gone i think thats going to HELP cincy as that was nothing but a distraction lately. more of a gut feeling play. numbers probably favor st.louis but this is a spot where the good teams (and i still think cincy is very good) handle their business.

 

[ajoytoy]

gl G


might have to play that total

 

[FED]

WOW :burnout keep rollin....... and ill keep coatailing



thx for your hard work

 

[Kdogg21]

Keep up the winnings G-Man!!!!

GL!!!

 

[gman2]

bowling green/toledo over 147

a couple reasons for this play, even though this is a big rivalry:

*toledo's defense on the road has been abysmal this season. theyre letting up almost 80 ppg (i think 79-something to be exact) in conference road games this year.

*toledo's defense could suffer even more considering this is their 3rd straight road game and theyve played two uptempo teams before this (western michigan and nevada). not expecting a particularly inspired defensive effort

*both teams shoot the ball very well. these are the #2 and #3 top 3pt shooting teams in the conference (toledo 39% bg 38%) and both are excellent FT shooting teams (bowling green #4 in the entire country at 77%, toledo shooting a solid 72%)

*this is more of a subjective opinion- but its supported by stats as well. have caught some recent bg games and their games at home have been foul fests and officials have had quick whistles. some of their recent games have seen both teams in the bonus at the 10:00 of the half. in bg's 3 most recent home games, bg and their opponent have shot a combined total of 57,71,and 61 free throws. thats way way above normal.

 

[spang]

I must admit that I find you backing the Bearcats somewhat surprising tonight. St. Louis is the kind of team that can just frustrate the hell out of Huggin's boys. I always have held the belief that points carry a little extra premium in games involving low scoring teams such as St. Louis, Miami O etc,, and have always been hesitant to lay points in games involving a slow down offense. It is not like you to lay double digits on anybody, especially on an squad that has been nothing short of frigid against the number. That said, I'll hope for the best for you in this one.

At a glance I could easily see the entire MAC card going over the number tonight. even Charlie's boys at NIU. The Huskies ,with Smallwood back in the fold, may have a bit more life on the offensive end of the floor and I suspect that they may surpass that small total. Really like WMU- CMU over the number.

You still good for Sunday???

 

[gman2]

spang:

i know what you mean about points being at a premium. but this bearcat team likes to run more than past editions. and i just dont think slu has the firepower to come from behind if cincy can get out like 28-15 or 30-17. honestly, this is a gut feel play. cincy was burying teams for awhile, then had a lull. i think they re-establish themselves tonight as the best team in conference usa. record might not indicate it, but when they play to their potential- theyre the best. and i really think whaley leaving was for the best. less bullshit to worry about

im still in

 

[spang]

Great, I'll drop you an email with my cell number sometime friday or saturday. I'm not sure how well you know Akron, but I can meet you at a landmark and give you a ride in from there.

 

[vinnie]

O.T BABY

 

[spang]

O.T BABY

and thats a beautiful thing!! Lets play 5 more and why your at it give me a little Nortwestern mojo!!:director:

 

[ajoytoy]

great call on the total G

 

[gman2]

vinnie:

the gamblin gods owed us one from last weekend (butler )

spang:

will try and bring in the cats for ya. gonna watch some of that game during the commercial break of the cleveland/houston

 

[Another Steve]

Thanks

Thanks

It took OT but it's a Winner

 

[RexBudler]

nice job Gman

 

[gman2]

heres one where the number might look high, but it should get there on thursday:

cleveland state/loyola-chicago over 149

gonna wait it out until morning, as i think the number might come down to 148ish. if it does, going over the number.