monday ncaa hoops

loophole

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Jul 14, 1999
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sides and totals both show a nice profit yesterday. not much to pick from today as i am almost clueless when it comes to the mac. do see one nice side and one total play though:


geo mason +3-: coming right back with gmu again after making them my top play yesterday. normally might be inclined to give a slight edge to vcu but this is the time of year when depth starts to play a more signicant roll in the outcome. both teams playing their third game in three days, and it appears gmu is more suited to the situation. patriots run a nine man rotaton and has been able to spare players from logging excessive minutes over the course of the tourney. however, vcu has been basicly a six man team during the tournament, and now has four starters that have logged between sixty and seventy minutes in the last two games. rams, already a mediocre free throw team, shot 47% from the line yesterday; its likely that fatigue played a factor. this game could easily play down to the wire; if it does i want to be on the deeper team with the fresher legs.


swms over 127: another repeat play from last night. sw mo has quietly made adjustments to their offense the last three games designed to pick up the scoring; the result has been three games that coasted easily over the totals. bears have averaged 60 fg attempts per game over those three, more thatn ten attempts per game over their season average. n iowa is never really shy about picking up the pace. both teams should bust 65 tonight.



gta
 
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jv1

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Unless my numbers are off I have SW Mo total as 127 not 137. I like the over as well.
 

loophole

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thanks jv1, that was a typo on the total play above. i've corrected it now.
 

jv1

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No problem. Dumb question... the VCU game that isnt on their homecourt is it?
 

The Big Tease

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good point on sw mizzou and thanks for doing the work on it......i was curious as to if the higher scores in their last few games was a coincidence or if they are picking up the pace.....

they were playing extremely slow at one point in the season......but seems like over may be the play here, especially in a tourney situation where fouling in a championship game will happen quite a bit if it is remotely close
 

The Big Tease

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loop, we had a great call on that over......i didnt have this one going over until about the 47th minute, so looks like i am right on pace:tongue
 

rrc

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Both teams are going to bust 65....it's just going to take 2 OT

Great night.

Note: kid just hit a trey to make it 65-64
 
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