ncaa first round line projections.........

gman2

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just throwin out my line guesses on some random games. feel free to offer feedback or own guesstimates:

#5 florida (-4.5) over #12 manhattan
#7 memphis (-2) #10 south carolina
#7 michigan state (-5) over #10 nevada
#6 boston college (-1.5) over #11 utah
#4 kansas (-6.5) over #13 illinois-chicago
#8 washington (-3.5) over #9 alabama-birmingham
#8 texas tech (-2.5) over #9 charlotte

#9 arizona (-4) over #8 seton hall
#4 cincinnati (-5) over east tennessee state
#6 north carolina (-7) over #11 air force
#10 louisville (-3) over #7 xavier
#6 vanderbilt (-2) over #11 western michigan
#4 maryland (-4.5) over #13 utep
#5 syracuse (-3.5) over #12 byu
 

gman2

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more guesstimates:

#5 illinois (-6) over #12 murray state
#3 nc state (-7) over #14 la-lafayette
#4 wake forest (-6.5) over #13 vcu
#3 georgia tech (-7.5) over #14 northern iowa
#5 providence (-5.5) over #12 pacific
 

gman2

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Sun Tzu said:
If those lines are right, will you book my plays on Manhattan, Zona and Western Michigan? lmao

i am open to your guesstimates
 

jmizeus

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western,ny
why? i see florida around a 6 ,still like manhattan but i see vegas setting this game as florida -6, we'll see
 

Blackman

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No offense GMan, but I think you're underestimating the public on some of these plays - could really see teams like Vandy and Syracuse laying 4.5 or more.
 

gman2

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Blackman said:
No offense GMan, but I think you're underestimating the public on some of these plays - could really see teams like Vandy and Syracuse laying 4.5 or more.

you may be right, i may be setting lines based on what I THINK they should be instead of what would appeal to the public. i definitely stand behind my syracuse line. i dont know about vandy. maybe im dead wrong. but i think byu will be a short dog in the 3 to 4 (tops) range. byu is a solid team

no offense taken. just havin fun and projecting
 

gman2

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bombs:

i concede that one. you are correct. probably -9.5 or -10
 

Blackman

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Gotcha - I just based Syracuse on my father, he pays really no attention to it all year, except for the tournament (which I feel is the case for a lot). He saw that the reigning champs were playing BYU and blindly said he thinks they will smoke the Cougars. I have a feeling at this time of year there are a few games that get skewed because of all the dumb money that comes in this week every year.

Don't know if Syracuse would be one but I wouldn't be suprised if that line moves. Hope it does, will only help us.
 

gman2

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got the arizona/seton, carolina/airforce, wmichigan/vandy lines pretty much dead on.

really surprised (although not complaining, as ill take all the pts they wanna give me) with the etsu/cincinnati line. was way off on my projection

a little surprised at the amount of chalk maryland is laying

knew syracuse would be a very short chalk. didnt expect quite that short though, lol
 

Blackman

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Yup - kinda shocked at that Syracuse line. Guess that's why I'm not a linesmaker.

Very impressed how close you were on some of those lines.
 

gman2

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blackman:

i would be remiss if i didnt asking you the question thats been burning my skull ever since i started paying a good deal of attention to your posts and threads (as i enjoy your stuff). what is the origin of your nickname? i keep on getting a subconscious mental image of a naacp advocate when i see you post and i know it couldnt be further from the truth. do explain so i get it off my mind.
 

Blackman

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LOL yeah - I didn't realize how deceiving this name would be when I made it.


To make a long story short - I was playing poker with some buddies against a few older guys that were tanked. Anyway the guy was loud and annoying so I started to come back at him with comments - and then when I check raised him on a pot when I won he pointed at me and said this "Steve Blackman is outside and he's going to kick your ass. It's time to put your money where your mouth is."

I blankly stared at the guy for a while according to my friends. I still to this day don't really know what he was talking about. Anyway for a while my nickname is kiddingly "Blackman" amongst my close friends. Hence the misleading screename.
 

gman2

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Blackman said:
LOL yeah - I didn't realize how deceiving this name would be when I made it.


To make a long story short - I was playing poker with some buddies against a few older guys that were tanked. Anyway the guy was loud and annoying so I started to come back at him with comments - and then when I check raised him on a pot when I won he pointed at me and said this "Steve Blackman is outside and he's going to kick your ass. It's time to put your money where your mouth is."

I blankly stared at the guy for a while according to my friends. I still to this day don't really know what he was talking about. Anyway for a while my nickname is kiddingly "Blackman" amongst my close friends. Hence the misleading screename.

thank you. i feel much better. was seriously gnawing at me, lol.
 
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