i dont know how some of u guys in nba hoops do it night in and night out....win!!!! i cant for the life of me figure out these million dollar muthafuks....ive tried totals,sides,1st halves,2nd halves,quarters & props and cant hit shit....i just cant bring myself to just coattail some of the hotter cappers in here....i like to think im good enuff at what i do in order to be on the plus side but i guess ive lost my touch....ive taken weeks off,only making 1 or 2 plays i really like,making several plays and nothing seems to hit....so fuk it and fuk the nba....call me "bad beat bennie"....spurs lose by 17 at golden state and orlando blows a 18 pt 4th qtr lead with 9:30 mins left last night???i dont care if its orlando and their shitty road record,theyre still a fukin nba team!!!!tonight sac gets blown by 17 at jersey and phx gets blown by 12 at home against the clipps....so for those of u that can figure these fukers out i say "go get 'em" because i'm done trying to figure them out....just a bunch of heartless millionaire cocksukers who play like they dont give a fuk....sacramento puts up 77 pts tonight....gimme a fukin break!!! so good luck all and :thefinger the nba!
dont know how u do it?????
- Thread starter LET'S EAT!!!
- Start date
Lets Eat
I feel your pain. Same agreement with you on NBA.
I see very very few that say I love to cap the NBA.
It really seems to be a crap shoot. And I always say to myself
things will change, I will win NBA games, but no dice.
KOD
I feel your pain. Same agreement with you on NBA.
I see very very few that say I love to cap the NBA.
It really seems to be a crap shoot. And I always say to myself
things will change, I will win NBA games, but no dice.
KOD
scott-
scott-
i hear that!! another example of this crazy fukin league is tonight atlanta is up 14 pts after the 1st qtr to seattle in atl and were down 12 pts by halftime.....thats a 26pt swing in 12 fukin minutes....makes no fukin sense....what did both teams do after the 1st qtr???switch jerseys??? how the fuk do u outscore a team on ur home court 34-20 and then turn around and get outscored 43-17 the next 12 mins with the same fukin players?? its just laughable.....and get paid fukin millions on top of it??
scott-
i hear that!! another example of this crazy fukin league is tonight atlanta is up 14 pts after the 1st qtr to seattle in atl and were down 12 pts by halftime.....thats a 26pt swing in 12 fukin minutes....makes no fukin sense....what did both teams do after the 1st qtr???switch jerseys??? how the fuk do u outscore a team on ur home court 34-20 and then turn around and get outscored 43-17 the next 12 mins with the same fukin players?? its just laughable.....and get paid fukin millions on top of it??
Lets Eat
look at this one for tommorrow. Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mav
15 -110 Game Spread -15 -110
+1300 Game MoneyLine -1800
Over 214? -110 Game Total Under 214? -110
.......................................................................
For some crazy reason I am getting the feeling that the
freaking Atlanta Hawks are going to win this game against Dallas.
Stranger things have happened.
That +1300 looks awful juicy. Lets see I put down 200 bucks and I get 2600.......hmmmmmm
Say it aint so Joe !
KOD
look at this one for tommorrow. Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mav
15 -110 Game Spread -15 -110
+1300 Game MoneyLine -1800
Over 214? -110 Game Total Under 214? -110
.......................................................................
For some crazy reason I am getting the feeling that the
freaking Atlanta Hawks are going to win this game against Dallas.
Stranger things have happened.
That +1300 looks awful juicy. Lets see I put down 200 bucks and I get 2600.......hmmmmmm
Say it aint so Joe !
KOD
could be steppin on some toes but i think a lot of nba bettors basically just crave the nightly action fix. theres no way it can be profitable. not trying to be pessimistic but rather realistic. it seems like every week, theres a complaint about "how overpaid milion dollar , weed-smoking, wife-beating nba players" cost them a 500 dollar parlay. they should step back and realize nobody is forcing them to bet on (insert long string of derogatory adjectives here) nba players.
gman2 said:
If you fade the public garbage and trap lines, the NBA can be better than any other sport. The people complaining about that crap are the ones playing the Joe Square plays. I don't even consider matchups, statistics, any of that, just find who everyone is hammering and go against it. It's almost too easy.
i love capper in the nba.
i know nba sucks. mafia control the games but if you are in the mafia side o baby just a opinion
i know nba sucks. mafia control the games but if you are in the mafia side o baby
just a opiniongman...
gman...
ur not stepping on toes....i made $ in the nba in '01-'02 & '02-'03 seasons and by using alot of the same capping techniques i used then that were successful im losing my ass now.....trust me, i dont wager on these fuks for an nightly fix.... i think im pretty selective and some nights i dont wager at all on them....i never play the nba on sundays becuz weird shit happens when i play the nba on sundays and i cant win....im just stating my frustration with these pricks....and frustrated that i cant figure a trend that i can ride which i can usually do....its just an unpredictable league and it hasnt always been that way ....from my experience anyway
gman...
ur not stepping on toes....i made $ in the nba in '01-'02 & '02-'03 seasons and by using alot of the same capping techniques i used then that were successful im losing my ass now.....trust me, i dont wager on these fuks for an nightly fix.... i think im pretty selective and some nights i dont wager at all on them....i never play the nba on sundays becuz weird shit happens when i play the nba on sundays and i cant win....im just stating my frustration with these pricks....and frustrated that i cant figure a trend that i can ride which i can usually do....its just an unpredictable league and it hasnt always been that way ....from my experience anyway
lets eat:
i just re-read my post and i really mis-worded it. i did NOT mean to imply that anything i posted was directed at you. was talking about some other posts ive seen about guys constantly complaining.......yet still betting it day after day after day for their fix. you and i feel the same way. we both feel its unpredictable and not particular worth the aggravation. sorry for the lack of clarity in my post
i just re-read my post and i really mis-worded it. i did NOT mean to imply that anything i posted was directed at you. was talking about some other posts ive seen about guys constantly complaining.......yet still betting it day after day after day for their fix. you and i feel the same way. we both feel its unpredictable and not particular worth the aggravation. sorry for the lack of clarity in my post
gman2 said:
But don't you think it's the UNPREDICTABILITY itself that makes it the perfect contrarian sport. There is no capping involved.
Bombs said:
maybe if u only want to play moneyline dogs small....which ive tried for a while and didnt fair well....its hard for me to play a game without capping it....so its very hard for me to play a game just because its the other side of a popular "public" play....but maybe ur right??what the fuk do i know??
Things are different for everyone. Personally, my best sport by far is the NBA. I've been betting it regularly for a lot of years and have had very good success. On the other hand, so as not to come across as some know-it-all, I freely admit that I cannot beat a sport like baseball. Some say this is the easiest sport to beat, but clearly not for me. So, I just stopped betting it.
Again, while things are different for everyone, my experience suggests that February and March are the most difficult months to beat the NBA for a number of reasons:
1. Some teams have quit. Individual players on some of these teams still try to pad their stats but play no defense. Chicago and Orlando are two examples. Despite this, every so often, a game pops up that defies all logic -- Orlando almost winning at LA last night for example. Although, this sort of thing can happen at anytime during the season, I find that it's more prevalent this time of year.
2. Injuries. All teams are banged up now. Which teams are banged up the most is hard to tell. Look at the number of players questionable every day. It's anybody's guess who might sit on a given day.
3. Oddsmaking. By now, oddsmakers have easily caught up. What was working earlier in the season quite possibly isn't working now because there's much less value in most of the lines (IMO). Yet, it's human nature for handicappers to continue using the methods that have worked for them up until this point.
4. Capper burnout. Although we probably don't like to admit it, are we really putting in as much time on a game as we did earlier in the season? When a new season starts, we're all fresh and gungho to get off to a good start. But let's face it -- this daily grind day in, day out takes its toll on cappers. It's a long season. I know I'm certainly guilty of being more likely to take shortcuts this time of year. Just something to think about.
It's taken me a number of stubborn years to accept all of the above (and more). But when I look back at my records (and I hope everyone keeps accurate records), I find that I have so much more success November-January and struggle in February-March before enjoying successful playoff seasons. This season I've decided to take it easy in Feb/March, playing very little right now until the playoffs. Mostly, I'm just playing middles, especially with 2nd half totals as there are numerous +EV opportunities using some of the reduced vig shops. I still follow the game closely and track a number of stats (see my posts on 1st half/2nd half data for example), but much of this is for future reference.
Again, everyone is different and I certainly tip my cap to those who do have success this time of year -- always looking for other perspectives and insight.
Again, while things are different for everyone, my experience suggests that February and March are the most difficult months to beat the NBA for a number of reasons:
1. Some teams have quit. Individual players on some of these teams still try to pad their stats but play no defense. Chicago and Orlando are two examples. Despite this, every so often, a game pops up that defies all logic -- Orlando almost winning at LA last night for example. Although, this sort of thing can happen at anytime during the season, I find that it's more prevalent this time of year.
2. Injuries. All teams are banged up now. Which teams are banged up the most is hard to tell. Look at the number of players questionable every day. It's anybody's guess who might sit on a given day.
3. Oddsmaking. By now, oddsmakers have easily caught up. What was working earlier in the season quite possibly isn't working now because there's much less value in most of the lines (IMO). Yet, it's human nature for handicappers to continue using the methods that have worked for them up until this point.
4. Capper burnout. Although we probably don't like to admit it, are we really putting in as much time on a game as we did earlier in the season? When a new season starts, we're all fresh and gungho to get off to a good start. But let's face it -- this daily grind day in, day out takes its toll on cappers. It's a long season. I know I'm certainly guilty of being more likely to take shortcuts this time of year. Just something to think about.
It's taken me a number of stubborn years to accept all of the above (and more). But when I look back at my records (and I hope everyone keeps accurate records), I find that I have so much more success November-January and struggle in February-March before enjoying successful playoff seasons. This season I've decided to take it easy in Feb/March, playing very little right now until the playoffs. Mostly, I'm just playing middles, especially with 2nd half totals as there are numerous +EV opportunities using some of the reduced vig shops. I still follow the game closely and track a number of stats (see my posts on 1st half/2nd half data for example), but much of this is for future reference.
Again, everyone is different and I certainly tip my cap to those who do have success this time of year -- always looking for other perspectives and insight.
Bombs what you say is so true. Im a public fader to the fullest. And I track it all under certain parameters, but the public hasnt been doing to bad this year in the NBA. Sides wise their 49-32 since the All-Star break. And overall hitting 56.3% on over 300 games. Must be why Ive been investing more into the 2nd hf wagers. Totals wise I just stopped tracking all together cuz it was around 52/48.
I'm probably in the minority here but I do better betting the NBA than I do college basketball. I think the NBA is more about streaks; riding hot teams and fading cold teams. In college, a team gets hot; some bettors say they should "bounce" and others say the team is on the improve. Getting into the heads of college kids is more difficult, IMO.
:spotting: :spotting:
This was just one of them games where I finally recognized
a sucker game when I seen it. Hawks had beaten Dallas
before all the trades happened.
The new guys Jackson and Collier and Sura played very well. They had something to prove and they did show us that the Hawks will be better in the future. Maybe 2010
Sometimes the mediocre team getting +16 will rise up and take
a road win home.
I must be living right or something
KOD
This was just one of them games where I finally recognized
a sucker game when I seen it. Hawks had beaten Dallas
before all the trades happened.
The new guys Jackson and Collier and Sura played very well. They had something to prove and they did show us that the Hawks will be better in the future. Maybe 2010
Sometimes the mediocre team getting +16 will rise up and take
a road win home.
I must be living right or something
KOD
Last edited:
