Pursuit of 65% Day 2

[CapMan]

Well fellas, I'm home from work one last day so I'm going to enjoy my last few Percosets. Unfortunately I am firewalled at work and cannot post in day, unless I sneak home for lunch, which I'm known to do....

Record 5-2
+2.80 units

Win %- 71%

Will have a Marlins/Expos play as soon as lineups are posted. Leaning on the under so far with Livan slaughtering righties and Beckitt picking up where he left off vs the Expos last year. I would also lean Expos if I knew for sure Livan was going 9. I don't trust the Marlin Magic nor Rocky Biddle in the 9th. Benitez has his most career saves vs the Expos (16). Not too worried about him today.

 

[2muchchalk]

i went w/under 8 here only one unit
I am thinking astros later for 2 units and angels for one

thoughts #65?

 

[CapMan]

The Astros don't have me sold. I think Pettitte will pitch well, but I fear Bonds can work his magic vs Dotel in the late innings..certainly would never lay 1.5 vs Barry anc Co...

 

[CrazyHorse]

nice day yesterday! My only 2 leans for today are Montreal and the under. Livan was excellent in the spring and has great #'s vs Fla..just like Beckett vs Mon. Both teams should be weaker offensively this year. But both bullpens (especially Montreals) have me leary of an under play. Gl if you play either.

 

[Felonious Monk]

lay the 1.5 on the Stros...they're gonna eat Tomko up.

 

[lay the wood2]

gl on your chase capman

ltw2

 

[CapMan]

First Play will be:

Fla/Montreal o 8 -105 L (overthought this one..Benitez almost got me home though)

1.05 units to win 1 unit

Record 5-3
+1.75 units
Win %- 63%

Feel as though both pitchers may struggle with command and that the unknowns, Everett, Batista, Choi might go deep in the game. Wilkerson has good numbers vs Beckett and both pitchers struggled early last season. The more and more I look at this game I see Tribe/Twins and Giants/Stros all over again...close game then BANG... 3 Run HR and under buster...Good luck
Montreal
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
P. Bergeron cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
J. Vidro 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
C. Everett rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
O. Cabrera ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
B. Wilkerson 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
T. Batista 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
T. Sledge lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
B. Schneider c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
L. Hernandez p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Florida
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
J. Pierre cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
L. Castillo 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
M. Cabrera rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
M. Lowell 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
J. Conine lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
H. Choi 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Castro c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
A. Gonzalez ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
J. Beckett p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000

 

[CapMan]

Choi makin me look clairvoyant...thatta boy!

 

[lay the wood2]

good call on choi there capman

need montreal to score some runs here

 

[Felonious Monk]

lol, nice call on Choi!

 

[CapMan]

Play #2

Record 6-3
+2.75 units
Win %- 67%


Red Sox/O's u 8.5 -125 -W
1.25 units to win 1 unit

Only Oriole with good numbers vs Schilling is Cal Ripken Jr. Dubose is an annoying lefty with wicked off speed stuff. Tough under to take in a hitters park..

Boston
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
J. Damon cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
B. Mueller 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .600
E. Burks dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
M. Ramirez lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .400
D. Ortiz 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
K. Millar rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .200
J. Varitek c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
M. Bellhorn 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667
P. Reese ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Baltimore
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
B. Roberts 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
M. Mora 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
M. Tejada ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500
R. Palmeiro 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667
J. Lopez c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .750
J. Gibbons rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
B.J. Surhoff dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
L. Bigbie lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
L. Matos cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250

 

[CapMan]

3rd Play

Mariners -120
2.4 units to win 2.0 units L (bad Loss)

Record 6-4
+0.35 units
Win %- 60%

Just took a look at some match-up numbers and seems like everyone but Ichiro and Edgar have struggled with Bartolo and only Garrett Anderson seems to hit Moyer...Vlad the X factor of course...maybe that o/u on 8 is not crazy after all...both teams have good pens...I'm leaning Mariners straight-up for the win. Also like Moyers numbers at home and vs Ana last year. 12-2 and 4-2 with a 1.67.

Anaheim
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
D. Eckstein ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
D. Erstad 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
V. Guerrero rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
G. Anderson cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
T. Glaus 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
J. Guillen lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
T. Salmon dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
J. Molina c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
A. Kennedy 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Seattle
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
I. Suzuki rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Winn cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
B. Boone 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Ibanez lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
E. Martinez dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
J. Olerud 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Aurilia ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
D. Wilson c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
W. Bloomquist 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000

 

[CapMan]

Record 6-6
-3.00 units
Win %- 50%

Play #4 & 5
DBacks -1.5 -110
1.10 units to win 1.00 units-L
Dbacks -225 (lay the wood)
2.25 units to win 1 unit-L (awful)

Mr. Randy was a top $ loser last year for mostly all of us. Until we smartened up and faded him. This is the perfect team for him to face to get a sense of confidence back at home. Not much right handed thump in this Rockie lineup. Wilson may go deep but he'll sprinkle in 3 k's as well. Not in love with this Dback lineup either..especially at 1 and 2 vs a lefty. Estes has been weak his whole career vs Arizona and the fact he's starting opening day is scary. I really think that Dbacks middle of the order does damage today...Big Sexy, Cintron, Shea and Bautista. Hate laying wood first game of year but sometimes you have to take what's given.

Colorado
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
L. Gonzalez 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Clayton ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
T. Helton 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
P. Wilson cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
V. Castilla 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
K. Pellow lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
J. Burnitz rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
C. Johnson c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
S. Estes p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Arizona
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
S. Finley cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Alomar 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
L. Gonzalez lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Sexson 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
A. Cintron ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
S. Hillenbrand 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
D. Bautista rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
B. Mayne c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Johnson p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000

 

[CapMan]

Chasing 65% update

Record 7-6
-1.30 units
Win %- 54%

Tigers +170- Big Winna
1 unit to win 1.70 units

 

[CapMan]

Now that my Randy Johnson experiment is over for the year, let's get back to business. A minor set-back earlier boys. Luckily the Tigers got most of it back for me.

Rangers +1.5 -115- L
1.15 units to win 1 unit

Chasing 65% update
Record 7-7
-2.45 units
Win %- 50%

Texas
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
M. Young ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .400
H. Blalock 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
A. Soriano 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333
M. Teixeira 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
B. Fullmer dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500
E. Young lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
K. Mench rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Nivar cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Barajas c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Oakland
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
M. Kotsay cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
B. Kielty lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500
E. Chavez 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333
J. Dye rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667
E. Durazo dh 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333
S. Hatteberg 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
B. Crosby ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
D. Miller c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
M. Scutaro 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .333

 

[CapMan]

Chasing 65% update
Record 7-8
-3.95 units
Win %- 47%

Padres- even loot- L
1.5 units to win 1.5 units

Like everything about this team and don't like much about the Dodgers this year.....

San Diego
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
S. Burroughs 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667
M. Loretta 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .400
B. Giles rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
P. Nevin 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .400
J. Payton cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
R. Klesko lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
R. Hernandez c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
K. Greene ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
J. Peavy p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Totals 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Los Angeles
AB R H RBI BB K LOB Season Avg
D. Roberts lf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250
C. Izturis ss 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .400
M. Bradley cf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .667
S. Green 1b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .200
P. Lo Duca c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .750
J. Encarnacion rf 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .600
A. Beltre 3b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .400
A. Cora 2b 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
O. Perez p 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000

 

[Livin' Large]

CapMan, forget about trying to hit 65%. Instead, concentrate on making money. That's what matters in the end. Good luck!

 

[CHARLESMANSON]

Don't see how the Tigers got most of it back for ya but way to stay positive! :tongue
Only joking Capman, tough day for me too. Get 'em tomorrow.

 

[NySportsfan]

Yea just worry about units won/lost brotha, win % doesnt mean jack $hit in baseball, what good is 65% if you took -300 teams every game, likewise, 50% winners at +150 is damn good, so just worry about the units man I think it's easier that way, Let's go get em tomorrow, good luck

Mike