Plays for 4.7.04

CrazyHorse

giveit2 21
Forum Member
Nov 29, 2000
1,089
0
0
52
Atlanta GA
ytd 0-2 -200

PHI vs PIT +140 100/140

I think this will be another low scoring game. Benson pitched extremely well vs PHI last year. Wolf is a pitcher I like alot but current Pirates hitters are hitting .317 against him overall and Benson has help Philly hitters to a .207 bavg. Mesa got the job done monday and I believe he will again today if given the chance...not that I won't be very nervous watching him.

CHC VS CIN +165 100/165

Really see Maddux losing today. Cincy hit the ball ok vs K. Wood and current Reds hitters are .280 vs Maddux overall. Wilson's #s are not too bad vs the cubs as he has limited them to a .206 avg in 102 total ab's. Sosa and Patterson hit him well but that is to be expected and he has only given up 5 hr's in those 102 ab's. Borowski looked a bit shaky on monday and really feel Cincy is a great home dog today.


I have a bunch of leans right now. I hate playing too many games but today's card sure looks good.

Leans to KC +111...KC hitting .305 vs Loaiza and have to think the unsettled bullpen for the sox could be a factor again.

DET +160..Like Bondermans stuff and he could be the ace of this staff in 2 years. I also think Hentgen's #'s will regress from last year. Something about this has me worried..not just the fact that the big dog is going for the sweep. But value certainly looks to be with Detroit the way these 2 teams are playing now.

SEA -130...Think Piniero could be the M's best pitcher this year and he has got the job done vs ANA, holding them to a .229 bavg in 140ab's. And, like Ray mentioned, SEA killed LH'S last year and have done very well vs Washburn.

NYM +135..mostly a go against vs Hampton who should come down to earth this year. If he does not regress any from last year then at the very least he may lose 1-3 more games this year just because of less run support. Trachsel always an underrated, steady pitcher. Mets hit very well yesterday.

FLA -175..never lay this much juice so it would be a run line only play and very rare I play the run line on home teams. Maybe put it in a small parlay. Penny very dominant vs MON in his career.

PHI/PIT u8...neither team hit well monday and both pitchers capable of making his another 3-2 type game.

SF/HOU...I see Clemens having a bad game and Jerome Williams was not too good in the spring. Obviously Giant's bats are hot but HOU did start hitting well towards the end of the game last nite. Not much of an over guy but see this one around 6-5.


Any thoughts or opinions aprreciated. Will add more later as I narrow these down. GL to all today!
 

CrazyHorse

giveit2 21
Forum Member
Nov 29, 2000
1,089
0
0
52
Atlanta GA
adding

SEA -120 100/83

Passing on the rest. Strongest lean of the bunch is Mets +135 but don't want to play too many plays especially this early on. I did like seeing that, while the braves have done well vs Trachsel, Sheff (.400bavg in 45ab's) and Javy (.306 in 36ab's including 5 HR's) have done the most damage and are no longer with the braves. Small chance I add it before gametime but pretty doubtful..gl to all today.
 
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