Tuesday Bases 5/25/04

sharky17

ICECOLDBEERHERE
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Apr 26, 2004
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YTD 34-21 (+1238)

Well, back to the office Tuesday. :mad: If only I could make a career out of chasing golf balls and drinking beer, things would be much more enjoyable. ;)

I've got a couple of plays right now for Tuesday to hopefully get going in the right direction again:

PHILLIES / METS over 8.5 (+110) Okay, I'm seeing this, but I'm having one helluva time believing it - Steve Trachsel hasn't given up any more than 3 earned runs in a game since his first start of the year on April 7th versus the Braves? Steve Trachsel? Okay, I'm laying it on a little thick, but I think he's got to crash back to earth here shortly. The Phillies are also capable of scoring runs (currently 3rd in the NL behind the Astros and Rockies). Although Thome may not be back, I still think there is potential here for some runs to be put up.
On the other hand, Eric Milton enters the game with a 5-0 record. Something seems a little fishy here, though, as his ERA is actually fairly high at 4.47 for a guy who hasn't been beaten this year. He has given up 50 hits in 44.1 IP this year, and he has walked 9 batters in his last 2 starts. These stats lend themselves to trouble, and coupled with the fact the Phillies like to score for this guy, I think the over has some real value here.

TEXAS RANGERS (+122) I don't really like the fact that the Rangers bullpen is hurting, but I am going to go with Kenny Rogers, who is 6-2 with a 3.38 ERA this year. Texas continues to hang around and play well, taking 2 of 3 from the Yankees over the weekend. I am also sort of going against Shoenweis, who, although he has pitched well this year, has historically struggled against the Rangers, going 2-6 with an ERA approaching 6.00.

I am also sitting on the fence with playing the Reds as well. They're the hottest team going right now, and Wilson is on the mound with his undefeated record getting +110 at home. A couple of things are scaring me, however.......Wilson is 0-3 lifetime versus the Marlins, and I'm also afraid this train has already left the station (and I wasn't on it)........;)

Good Luck Guys,

Sharky
 

sharky17

ICECOLDBEERHERE
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adding one more before I hit the hay........

PITTSBURGH PIRATES (+150) I had glanced at this briefly, but after reading OnaJ's work on this game, I dug a little deeper and found some things that I like here, which lead me to pull the trigger on this one. I commented briefly in his thread, but ultimately I think there is a lot of value in this play, in that there really isn't too much separating these two teams right now, Benson is solid vs. the Cards, the Pirates are better on the road, and St. Louis has struggled at home.

Good night and again, Good Luck! ;)

Sharky
 

sharky17

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Apr 26, 2004
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Well, I'm treading water here. 1-1 on the day with the washout at Busch, +22 bucks. I'm still trying to figure out if that's the same Steve Trachsel that pitched for the Cubs and Jays? It's a tough sell for me, but he IS putting up some numbers....:shrug:

Looking at a couple for Wednesday....really like Ortiz and the Braves.....Livan has struggled in his career against this Braves squad.

Well, back on Wednesday to hopefully get something going. ;)
 

escarzamd

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I'm with you on Trachsel. I used to LOVE fading him. Almost as much as I love fading Hampton. He's different now. Maybe a live dog. Kinda like Moyer4 yrs ago. Have to find a new patsy, I guess. GL tomorrow

;)
 
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