PLay of the Month for MAY

[OnaJ]

14 winning days, 7 losing for +16.2

I am betting 25% of my account on this game, normally I am strict with $ management but I am going for the book's throat.
Cleveland Indians or should I say CC Sabathia
-121
to beat Seattle Mariners
This is very similar to Oswalt against the Cubs on Tuesday. The Astros were slumping and they needed a big start from their ace and Oswalt proved to be the stopper. The Indians are in the same boat, they are slumping and they need a win in a big way. Don't let the CLE bullpen keep you away from this game. Sabathia is capable of throwing a lot of pitches and after the pen blew Game 1 of this series I think Sabathia will be throwing deep into the game. He has been untouchable in his own park this year allowing 1,1,4 and 0 runs. There are only 2 Mariners hitting better than .222 vs. Sabathia in his career, There are FIVE m'S regulars hitting .167 or less against him. See you guys at the window collecting.
Also like Arizona but not as much as CLE

 

[LET'S EAT!!!]

those 2 players being ichiro at .385 and ibanez at .412....that being said i like the play as well getting sabathia at -125 at home against a pretty anemic offense is great value imo....with moyer going for the m's and clev struggling to score as well,the under looks tempting also....definitely a play if it climbs to 9...good luck to us...le

 

[escarzamd]

Coattailin' Thanks

 

[spang]

I watch this team almost daily, and I would NEVER make a 25% play on the tribe. As long as the bullpen from hell is a factor, the tribe can and often loses leads. Wedge just won't let CC go nine innings even when he is in full command so the 'pen will more than likely come into play.

I have been doing very well with 5 inning bets on the tribe as they have been a cash cow in first half plays.

Wish you well,no matter which way you go on this one.

 

[raledet]

Hey ONAJ, I also have Cleveland as a play in my write up. I think there is value since they are playing a pathetic road team in Seattle, and we have Sabathia picthing. Look for this line to climb up during the day. I, however, would not put 25% of my bankroll on Cleveland with the way their bats have been. If Cleveland doesn't score, then we don't win.
LET'S EAT, I agree totally with you as also stated in my post. I like the under in this game, but I feel 8.5 is the right line. If that line however got up to 9 for -110, then I am all over it.

GOOD LUCK GUYS.

 

[OnaJ]

Thanks guys for the responses, Spang you make a good point but I think Sabathia will go 7 plus innings. I know 25% is a heavy risk but I am confident here that CLE will snap out of this slide. Let Eat your also right, two guys in the line up hit him real well but the other 7 are absolutely terrible against him. Sabathia has been tough on lefties this year as well. Good luck to all of us playing CLE or the under which Raledet mentioned is a good play.

 

[aubie]

fyi

fyi

SEATTLE (16 - 28) at CLEVELAND (18 - 25) - 7:05 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. CC SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 0-7 (-8.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
MOYER is 6-1 (+5.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 1-12 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 13-28 (-20.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-28 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-11 (-0.6 Units) against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)



JAMIE MOYER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MOYER is 9-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.198.
His team's record is 9-6 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-9. (-3.8 units)



CC SABATHIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SABATHIA is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.532.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[gsp]

For what it's worth. With Jim Joyce behind the plate

The road team is 5-3 this year
Sea is 3-2 on the road 5-5 overall
Moyer is 3-2 overall but 3-0 last 3 ave under 2 rpg
In Sea games the road-dog is 4-2
Cle is 3-7 overall
In Cle games the rd is 5-2
Cle has never won at home 0-3
Sabathia is 1-1 ave 5' rpg

Was considering Cle this morning but will pass. This is not enough to warrant a play either way but sure couldn't make it a big one. Good luck

 

[OnaJ]

You guys were right, no chance to win with the way CLE is hitting the ball. Big risk and a big loss, back to earning my units.

 

[LET'S EAT!!!]

onaj....

onaj....

i know it doesnt look good but it isnt over yet....have faith....hopefully either the indians come back and kill my under or they go quietly and i hit the under....either way best i can hope for is a split losing the juice:shrug:

 

[LET'S EAT!!!]

go figure!!! the only 2 guys that hit sabathia have solo dingers:shrug: ichiro and ibanez:thefinger

 

[UThinkImCrazy]

Hope you didnt bet 25% of your account on Cle i did went against your on this 2 plays . GL and have a great day

 

[LET'S EAT!!!]

BASTARDS JUST COULDNT GO AWAY QUIETLY COULD THEY....**** THE INDIANS!!!!!!!!!!:thefinger