Lock And Roll Time
- Thread starter RAYMOND
- Start date
Colorado at San Francisco (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Giants have had a tough time in 2004 after winning 100 games last year, and their numbers against righthanders at home are appalling (3-13, -$1365). But the Rockies check in with an atrocious 6-15 road record (-$475), victims once again of the worst pitching staff in baseball (6.29 team ERA). Even considering the high altitude at Coors Field those numbers are terrible, so take a shot anytime the Giants send a righthander against a Colorado lefty (SF 6-1, +$490 vs. southpaws at Pac Bell, Rockies 10-22, -$895 vs. righties). Pass any other combination. BEST BET: Giant righthanders vs. lefthanders.
The Giants have had a tough time in 2004 after winning 100 games last year, and their numbers against righthanders at home are appalling (3-13, -$1365). But the Rockies check in with an atrocious 6-15 road record (-$475), victims once again of the worst pitching staff in baseball (6.29 team ERA). Even considering the high altitude at Coors Field those numbers are terrible, so take a shot anytime the Giants send a righthander against a Colorado lefty (SF 6-1, +$490 vs. southpaws at Pac Bell, Rockies 10-22, -$895 vs. righties). Pass any other combination. BEST BET: Giant righthanders vs. lefthanders.
Anaheim at Chicago White Sox (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The White Sox have been playing solid baseball at home (13-8, +$250) but Anaheim is 14-8 on the road (+$670) averaging 6.4 RPG and is coming off a three-game sweep of previously hot Baltimore. Two of the Angels? starters, John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar look like definite plays against. Lackey has allowed 9 earned runs, 15 hits and 7 walks in 11.2 innings over his last two starts and Escobar is 1-8 with a 7.55 ERA lifetime vs. the Sox allowing 84 hits/walks in 47.1 innings. PREFERRED: White Sox vs. Lackey & Escoba
The White Sox have been playing solid baseball at home (13-8, +$250) but Anaheim is 14-8 on the road (+$670) averaging 6.4 RPG and is coming off a three-game sweep of previously hot Baltimore. Two of the Angels? starters, John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar look like definite plays against. Lackey has allowed 9 earned runs, 15 hits and 7 walks in 11.2 innings over his last two starts and Escobar is 1-8 with a 7.55 ERA lifetime vs. the Sox allowing 84 hits/walks in 47.1 innings. PREFERRED: White Sox vs. Lackey & Escoba
Minnesota at Kansas City (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Twins have won five of six (+$415) from the slumping Royals, a reversal of last season?s form when KC took 11 of 19 (+$535). Kansas City?s pitching staff (5.10 ERA) continues to be a joke (5.58 ERA last 10 days) and five of the six Royals who have started a game has an ERA of at least 5.15. KC is 3-8 (-$550) at home vs. righties while the Twins are 7-3 (+$620) against them on the road, so there isn?t much doubt about which direction we?re headed in this series. BEST BET: Twins when righty meets righty
The Twins have won five of six (+$415) from the slumping Royals, a reversal of last season?s form when KC took 11 of 19 (+$535). Kansas City?s pitching staff (5.10 ERA) continues to be a joke (5.58 ERA last 10 days) and five of the six Royals who have started a game has an ERA of at least 5.15. KC is 3-8 (-$550) at home vs. righties while the Twins are 7-3 (+$620) against them on the road, so there isn?t much doubt about which direction we?re headed in this series. BEST BET: Twins when righty meets righty
Oakland at Cleveland (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
The Athletics took six of nine from the Indians but, as heavy favorites, were only $20 in the black. That?s what happens when you can call on Barry Zito, Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder three of every five days and, after a slow start, they seem to be back on their collective games (Oakland is 8-0 in their last six starts). Zito has been solid lately (+$300 last three starts), so let?s go with him as our top play, as the Tribe is just 3-11 (-$835) against southpaws. BEST BET: Zito.
The Athletics took six of nine from the Indians but, as heavy favorites, were only $20 in the black. That?s what happens when you can call on Barry Zito, Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder three of every five days and, after a slow start, they seem to be back on their collective games (Oakland is 8-0 in their last six starts). Zito has been solid lately (+$300 last three starts), so let?s go with him as our top play, as the Tribe is just 3-11 (-$835) against southpaws. BEST BET: Zito.
Atlanta at Philadelphia (4) 27th, 28th, 29th, 30th
After ruling the NL East for more than a decade, it?s safe to say the Braves? run is over. They?ve stumbled to a 20-22 beginning (-$170), their once dominant pitching is now unimpressive (4.02 ERA), and they come into Citizen?s Bank Park struggling offensively (4.0 runs per game last 10 days). The Phillies have moved into a dead heat with the Marlins atop the division, thanks in large part to one of baseball?s most effective mound corps (3.62 team ERA, 2nd best in the NL). Given Atlanta?s ineffectiveness against southpaws (only 3.5 RPG) we?ll go with Eric Milton (+$420) and Randy Wolf (3.16 ERA), both of whom are slated to see action. BEST BET: Milton/Wolf.
After ruling the NL East for more than a decade, it?s safe to say the Braves? run is over. They?ve stumbled to a 20-22 beginning (-$170), their once dominant pitching is now unimpressive (4.02 ERA), and they come into Citizen?s Bank Park struggling offensively (4.0 runs per game last 10 days). The Phillies have moved into a dead heat with the Marlins atop the division, thanks in large part to one of baseball?s most effective mound corps (3.62 team ERA, 2nd best in the NL). Given Atlanta?s ineffectiveness against southpaws (only 3.5 RPG) we?ll go with Eric Milton (+$420) and Randy Wolf (3.16 ERA), both of whom are slated to see action. BEST BET: Milton/Wolf.
San Diego at Milwaukee (3) 28th, 29th, 30th
A pair of last place teams from 2003 off to solid starts, though it?s unlikely Milwaukee will figure in the post season chase. The Padres on the other hand could be the team to beat in the NL West (24-20, +$145 so far), thanks to one of the better pitching staff?s in baseball (3.90 ERA, 4th best in the league). We?re going to be careful taking on the Brewers at Miller Park, but San Diego has a 4-1 road record vs. lefties (+$335 with 6.6 RPG) and we?ll get at least one shot (vs. Doug Davis) to use that angle. BEST BET: Padres vs. lefthanders.
A pair of last place teams from 2003 off to solid starts, though it?s unlikely Milwaukee will figure in the post season chase. The Padres on the other hand could be the team to beat in the NL West (24-20, +$145 so far), thanks to one of the better pitching staff?s in baseball (3.90 ERA, 4th best in the league). We?re going to be careful taking on the Brewers at Miller Park, but San Diego has a 4-1 road record vs. lefties (+$335 with 6.6 RPG) and we?ll get at least one shot (vs. Doug Davis) to use that angle. BEST BET: Padres vs. lefthanders.
ray, great job yest with your best bets....today u are putting oak as a best bet and that is fine, i am def. not one to criticize your plays. i don't think this is as strong as some see. Lee at home is great as is westbroke, u just don't go against them at home.....i know cle is horrific vs lefties but if you look closely at the numbers oak is not much better...overall vs lefties cle is batting .250 where oak is batting .264 overall vs lefties, and since i am a trend guy this one is interesting as well....after a win cle is 5-1 in game one of the series and after a win oak is 3-4 in game one of a series. zito has shown he can be hit this yr, and after last night and with lee on the mound today cle may be able to steal one.
gl
gl
OAK is 7-3 in their last 10 overall.?OAK is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings.
CWS is 7-2 in their last nine overall.?Home team is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
MIN is 3-1 in Radke's last four road starts.?MIN is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
PHI is 5-2 in Wolf's last seven starts vs. ATL.?PHI is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
MON is 1-9 in Game 1 of a series after a loss.?MON is 1-6 in their last seven over
SD is 7-3 in Lawrence's last 10 starts.
.?MIL is 1-6 in Game 1 of a series after a win.
SF is 7-1 in their last eight overall.?SF is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.?Over is 8-1-1 in Tomko's last 10 starts.
CWS is 7-2 in their last nine overall.?Home team is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
MIN is 3-1 in Radke's last four road starts.?MIN is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
PHI is 5-2 in Wolf's last seven starts vs. ATL.?PHI is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
MON is 1-9 in Game 1 of a series after a loss.?MON is 1-6 in their last seven over
SD is 7-3 in Lawrence's last 10 starts.
.?MIL is 1-6 in Game 1 of a series after a win.
SF is 7-1 in their last eight overall.?SF is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.?Over is 8-1-1 in Tomko's last 10 starts.
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WHO HOT AND WHO NOT
WHO HOT AND WHO NOT
American
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
BOS 7-2 +440 7.0 16.0 21.7 5.45
TB 6-3 +430 4.7 11.6 16.1 6.54
CHW 7-3 +365 7.4 14.9 22.1 4.41
OAK 6-3 +230 5.3 13.8 20.2 3.90
NYY 6-3 +150 7.7 16.4 24.4 3.23
DET 4-5 +50 5.1 14.8 20.2 3.42
TEX 4-5 -55 4.2 11.6 17.0 6.35
KC 4-5 -65 4.3 11.3 17.3 5.54
ANA 4-5 -85 3.7 11.6 15.7 4.61
TOR 4-5 -135 4.3 12.0 16.1 5.06
MIN 4-6 -235 4.8 12.1 17.4 6.55
SEA 4-5 -260 4.3 12.3 16.8 4.57
BAL 2-7 -450 4.1 12.6 18.0 6.45
CLE 2-7 -620 4.2 11.7 16.6 5.40
National
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
SF 7-1 +720 4.4 12.0 15.9 2.26
CIN 7-3 +505 4.6 11.1 15.5 3.55
MIL 5-3 +225 2.8 11.5 15.1 2.99
NYM 5-3 +205 4.5 13.3 19.3 3.17
FLA 6-4 +170 5.3 12.2 17.8 4.41
ATL 6-4 +155 3.8 11.0 17.5 2.18
SD 5-4 +95 6.4 15.2 20.3 6.19
PHI 6-4 +60 5.2 13.5 19.5 4.70
PIT 3-4 -15 4.7 13.3 19.7 6.06
STL 4-4 -125 5.1 12.4 17.9 5.59
CHC 3-5 -270 3.4 9.0 14.1 4.75
HOU 4-5 -300 5.4 13.6 20.2 4.45
COL 3-7 -340 5.2 12.2 19.9 5.91
ARI 3-7 -400 3.3 11.0 16.4 6.56
MON 2-6 -465 2.4 10.6 13.4 3.94
LA 2-7 -515 2.9 12.0 16.1 4.01
WHO HOT AND WHO NOT
American
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
BOS 7-2 +440 7.0 16.0 21.7 5.45
TB 6-3 +430 4.7 11.6 16.1 6.54
CHW 7-3 +365 7.4 14.9 22.1 4.41
OAK 6-3 +230 5.3 13.8 20.2 3.90
NYY 6-3 +150 7.7 16.4 24.4 3.23
DET 4-5 +50 5.1 14.8 20.2 3.42
TEX 4-5 -55 4.2 11.6 17.0 6.35
KC 4-5 -65 4.3 11.3 17.3 5.54
ANA 4-5 -85 3.7 11.6 15.7 4.61
TOR 4-5 -135 4.3 12.0 16.1 5.06
MIN 4-6 -235 4.8 12.1 17.4 6.55
SEA 4-5 -260 4.3 12.3 16.8 4.57
BAL 2-7 -450 4.1 12.6 18.0 6.45
CLE 2-7 -620 4.2 11.7 16.6 5.40
National
Record Money Runs Hits+ Bases Starters
Walks ERA
SF 7-1 +720 4.4 12.0 15.9 2.26
CIN 7-3 +505 4.6 11.1 15.5 3.55
MIL 5-3 +225 2.8 11.5 15.1 2.99
NYM 5-3 +205 4.5 13.3 19.3 3.17
FLA 6-4 +170 5.3 12.2 17.8 4.41
ATL 6-4 +155 3.8 11.0 17.5 2.18
SD 5-4 +95 6.4 15.2 20.3 6.19
PHI 6-4 +60 5.2 13.5 19.5 4.70
PIT 3-4 -15 4.7 13.3 19.7 6.06
STL 4-4 -125 5.1 12.4 17.9 5.59
CHC 3-5 -270 3.4 9.0 14.1 4.75
HOU 4-5 -300 5.4 13.6 20.2 4.45
COL 3-7 -340 5.2 12.2 19.9 5.91
ARI 3-7 -400 3.3 11.0 16.4 6.56
MON 2-6 -465 2.4 10.6 13.4 3.94
LA 2-7 -515 2.9 12.0 16.1 4.01
LOOKING AHEAD
LOOKING AHEAD
BEGINNING MONDAY MAY 31
N.Y. Mets at Philadelphia (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
Check the results of last week?s series at Shea, as well as how well the Mets fared against Florida over the weekend before committing fully. But with Leiter on the sidelines and Glavine unlikely to pitch, the Phillies (5.4 RPG vs. righties) will get a shot at the second tier Met starters. Could be tough for NY against those quality Philly hurlers. PREFERRED: Phillies vs. all righthanders except Trachsel.
Montreal at Atlanta (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
If we see a glimmer of offense from the visiting Expos, we?d like to use some of their excellent starting pitchers (3.78 team ERA, 3rd best in the NL). But until they start producing at the plate those great starting performances will be wasted, so we?ll stay on the sidelines for now. PREFERRED: None.
Houston at Chicago Cubs (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Cubs are a spectacular 17-8 (+$355) in day games and two of the games in this series are afternoon affairs. We?ll avoid Mitre (5.82 ERA) but all the other Chicago starters have looked sharp (3.62 team ERA, best in the league) and we?re not impressed with the overpriced Astros (-$820 overall) who have struggled in recent days (3-7, -$925). PREFERRED: All Cubs except Mitre in day games.
Cincinnati at Florida (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Reds are are hanging tough in a NL Central, but it?s hard to see them keeping it up considering their lousy stats (.245 team BA, 2nd worst in the NL, 4.65 team ERA, 4th worst). They?ve only managed 3.8 RPG vs. southpaws so far, and Florida has a pair who are likely to see action. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Reds.
Milwaukee at Los Angeles (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
It?s tough to make money with the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine (-$240 so far), and they?ve tumbled back after opening up that fat lead in their division. The Brewers have a quality arm in Ben Sheets (+$270, 2.86 ERA) who will be taking a turn in LA. PREFERRED: Sheets.
St. Louis at Pittsburgh (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Cards have been much too good on the road to go against (13-8, +$450) but they have an all righty rotation with a lackluster 4.05 ERA, and the Pirates have been performing well against righthanders in all settings (+$745). We?ll pass for now. PREFERRED: None.
San Francisco at Arizona (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Giants have done good work vs. righthanders in road games (9-6, +$515) so we?ll use them against against the weak starters on this Arizona team that has dropped a bundle here at Bank One (only 8-14, -$1145). PREFERRED: Giants vs. Daigle, Sparks & Dessens.
Colorado at San Diego (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
With David Wells on the DL, the Padres don?t have any lefties in their rotation, but that?s good news against the sorrowful Rockies (10-22, -$895 in that situation). San Diego has gone 11-5 vs. righties at Petco Park (+$430) so we?ll not be worried by high prices on the favorite. PREFERRED: Padres when righty meets righty.
Kansas City at Detroit (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Royals rode herd (14-5, +$480) over last season?s worst team, but with a grand total of five road victories (13-27 overall, -$1190), they?ll be lucky to take a game. PREFERRED: Tigers in all games.
Tampa Bay at Minnesota (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
Here?s another road team (3-17, -$1285, averaging 2.7 RPG) that probably considers getting back to the hotel in one piece a moral victory. The prices are sure to be steep, but we can?t resist taking advantage of the Devil Rays? 2-13 record vs. righties. PREFERRED: Righthanders vs. the Devil Rays.
Toronto at Seattle (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Blue Jays split a four-game series in Safeco last year en route to winning the season series, 4-3 (+$270). But, we can?t get too excited about Toronto, a team that can?t seem to get untracked (lost eight of eleven, team ERA 4.78). On the other hand, the Mariners have lost eight of eleven and are already talking about dumping expensive veterans. Seems a bit early to be waving the white flag, doesn?t it? PREFERRED: None.
BEGINNING TUESDAY JUNE 1
Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Yankees have dominated the Orioles in recent years including a 13-6 (+$535) advantage in 2003. And, the Yankees are rolling (won nine of 14 and 17 of 24) after a slow start. However, we?re still not convinced that the Bombers have solved their pitching problems (4.42 ERA) and are reluctant to back them at what will be huge prices. PREFERRED: None.
Texas at Cleveland (2) 1st, 2nd
The Rangers and Indians continue to surprise the pundits. The two teams combined to lose $1745 in 2003 and were $660 in the black as we went to press. The Indians average six RPG against righties (1.4 RPG more than vs.southpaws) and will be facing two righthanders in this series. Go with them as they are 10-6 vs. righties at home (+$490) especially if Chan Ho Park (5.19 road ERA) or Joaquin Benoit (7.11 road ERA) take the mound. PREFERRED: Indians vs. righthanders.
Chicago White Sox at Oakland (2) 31st, 1st
The Pale Hose is averaging 8.5 RPG at home against southpaws, so we?ll go against conventional wisdom and recommend plays against Barry Zito, Mark Redman and Mark Mulder. PREFERRED: White Sox vs. lefthanders.
Boston at Anaheim (2) 1st, 2nd
The Red Sox won 67% of last year?s games (6-3, +$240) against the Angels, with the great Pedro Martinez (1-0, 1.69 ERA, 16 innings) leading the way. Martinez was 2-0 vs. the Angels in 2002 with a 0.56 ERA in 16 innings, so we?re hoping injuries/rainouts don?t keep him from taking his turn. PREFERRED: P. Martinez.
LOOKING AHEAD
BEGINNING MONDAY MAY 31
N.Y. Mets at Philadelphia (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
Check the results of last week?s series at Shea, as well as how well the Mets fared against Florida over the weekend before committing fully. But with Leiter on the sidelines and Glavine unlikely to pitch, the Phillies (5.4 RPG vs. righties) will get a shot at the second tier Met starters. Could be tough for NY against those quality Philly hurlers. PREFERRED: Phillies vs. all righthanders except Trachsel.
Montreal at Atlanta (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
If we see a glimmer of offense from the visiting Expos, we?d like to use some of their excellent starting pitchers (3.78 team ERA, 3rd best in the NL). But until they start producing at the plate those great starting performances will be wasted, so we?ll stay on the sidelines for now. PREFERRED: None.
Houston at Chicago Cubs (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Cubs are a spectacular 17-8 (+$355) in day games and two of the games in this series are afternoon affairs. We?ll avoid Mitre (5.82 ERA) but all the other Chicago starters have looked sharp (3.62 team ERA, best in the league) and we?re not impressed with the overpriced Astros (-$820 overall) who have struggled in recent days (3-7, -$925). PREFERRED: All Cubs except Mitre in day games.
Cincinnati at Florida (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Reds are are hanging tough in a NL Central, but it?s hard to see them keeping it up considering their lousy stats (.245 team BA, 2nd worst in the NL, 4.65 team ERA, 4th worst). They?ve only managed 3.8 RPG vs. southpaws so far, and Florida has a pair who are likely to see action. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. the Reds.
Milwaukee at Los Angeles (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
It?s tough to make money with the Dodgers at Chavez Ravine (-$240 so far), and they?ve tumbled back after opening up that fat lead in their division. The Brewers have a quality arm in Ben Sheets (+$270, 2.86 ERA) who will be taking a turn in LA. PREFERRED: Sheets.
St. Louis at Pittsburgh (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Cards have been much too good on the road to go against (13-8, +$450) but they have an all righty rotation with a lackluster 4.05 ERA, and the Pirates have been performing well against righthanders in all settings (+$745). We?ll pass for now. PREFERRED: None.
San Francisco at Arizona (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Giants have done good work vs. righthanders in road games (9-6, +$515) so we?ll use them against against the weak starters on this Arizona team that has dropped a bundle here at Bank One (only 8-14, -$1145). PREFERRED: Giants vs. Daigle, Sparks & Dessens.
Colorado at San Diego (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
With David Wells on the DL, the Padres don?t have any lefties in their rotation, but that?s good news against the sorrowful Rockies (10-22, -$895 in that situation). San Diego has gone 11-5 vs. righties at Petco Park (+$430) so we?ll not be worried by high prices on the favorite. PREFERRED: Padres when righty meets righty.
Kansas City at Detroit (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
The Royals rode herd (14-5, +$480) over last season?s worst team, but with a grand total of five road victories (13-27 overall, -$1190), they?ll be lucky to take a game. PREFERRED: Tigers in all games.
Tampa Bay at Minnesota (4) 31st, 1st, 2nd, 3rd
Here?s another road team (3-17, -$1285, averaging 2.7 RPG) that probably considers getting back to the hotel in one piece a moral victory. The prices are sure to be steep, but we can?t resist taking advantage of the Devil Rays? 2-13 record vs. righties. PREFERRED: Righthanders vs. the Devil Rays.
Toronto at Seattle (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Blue Jays split a four-game series in Safeco last year en route to winning the season series, 4-3 (+$270). But, we can?t get too excited about Toronto, a team that can?t seem to get untracked (lost eight of eleven, team ERA 4.78). On the other hand, the Mariners have lost eight of eleven and are already talking about dumping expensive veterans. Seems a bit early to be waving the white flag, doesn?t it? PREFERRED: None.
BEGINNING TUESDAY JUNE 1
Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees (3) 31st, 1st, 2nd
The Yankees have dominated the Orioles in recent years including a 13-6 (+$535) advantage in 2003. And, the Yankees are rolling (won nine of 14 and 17 of 24) after a slow start. However, we?re still not convinced that the Bombers have solved their pitching problems (4.42 ERA) and are reluctant to back them at what will be huge prices. PREFERRED: None.
Texas at Cleveland (2) 1st, 2nd
The Rangers and Indians continue to surprise the pundits. The two teams combined to lose $1745 in 2003 and were $660 in the black as we went to press. The Indians average six RPG against righties (1.4 RPG more than vs.southpaws) and will be facing two righthanders in this series. Go with them as they are 10-6 vs. righties at home (+$490) especially if Chan Ho Park (5.19 road ERA) or Joaquin Benoit (7.11 road ERA) take the mound. PREFERRED: Indians vs. righthanders.
Chicago White Sox at Oakland (2) 31st, 1st
The Pale Hose is averaging 8.5 RPG at home against southpaws, so we?ll go against conventional wisdom and recommend plays against Barry Zito, Mark Redman and Mark Mulder. PREFERRED: White Sox vs. lefthanders.
Boston at Anaheim (2) 1st, 2nd
The Red Sox won 67% of last year?s games (6-3, +$240) against the Angels, with the great Pedro Martinez (1-0, 1.69 ERA, 16 innings) leading the way. Martinez was 2-0 vs. the Angels in 2002 with a 0.56 ERA in 16 innings, so we?re hoping injuries/rainouts don?t keep him from taking his turn. PREFERRED: P. Martinez.
