$at
- Thread starter RAYMOND
- Start date
number play =card- sf over 9 runs
number play =card- sf over 9 runs
tomko era road day games 7.36
sf vs righties road day games avg 8 runs per game!
cards vs righties home day avg 6.9 runs
Over is 4-1 in Hudson's last five starts BHP.
cards and over 9 runs 2 team parlay
number play =card- sf over 9 runs
tomko era road day games 7.36
sf vs righties road day games avg 8 runs per game!
cards vs righties home day avg 6.9 runs
Over is 4-1 in Hudson's last five starts BHP.
cards and over 9 runs 2 team parlay
% play and numbers play
% play and numbers play
la- sd over 8 runs
valdez era road at nite is 9.75
la vs righties home at nite avg 5.1 runs per game
sd vs lefties road at nite avg 5.6 runs per game
last nite went under
Over is 5-2 in the last seven
meetings.
going over 8 runs :hitit:
% play and numbers play
la- sd over 8 runs
valdez era road at nite is 9.75
la vs righties home at nite avg 5.1 runs per game
sd vs lefties road at nite avg 5.6 runs per game
last nite went under
Over is 5-2 in the last seven
meetings.
going over 8 runs :hitit:
fla game going with the revenge factor and series info
Florida at Montreal (3) 23rd, 24th, 25th
The Marlins need to pound away at the league?s weak sisters in order to keep from falling out of the playoff picture in the NL East. They?ve had success vs. the Expos so far (5-1, +$340 in head to head play), and given that Montreal has the worst record in baseball (32-59, -$2000), that success should continue. The Expos have gotten by with less than 3.3 runs per game this year, and they?ll be taking on a formidable pair when Brad Penny (3.14 ERA) and Dontrelle Willis (3.99) are on the hill. BEST BET: Penny/Willis.
Florida is 7-3 in Willis' last 10 starts.?Marlins are 15-4 in the last 19 meetings.
Florida at Montreal (3) 23rd, 24th, 25th
The Marlins need to pound away at the league?s weak sisters in order to keep from falling out of the playoff picture in the NL East. They?ve had success vs. the Expos so far (5-1, +$340 in head to head play), and given that Montreal has the worst record in baseball (32-59, -$2000), that success should continue. The Expos have gotten by with less than 3.3 runs per game this year, and they?ll be taking on a formidable pair when Brad Penny (3.14 ERA) and Dontrelle Willis (3.99) are on the hill. BEST BET: Penny/Willis.
Florida is 7-3 in Willis' last 10 starts.?Marlins are 15-4 in the last 19 meetings.
How to Pin Down the MLB Home Plate Ump
How to Pin Down the MLB Home Plate Ump
But the baseball handicapper can engage in umpire spotting (for "totals" play) as a do-it-yourself project because nearly 95% of the time, umpire rotation in a Major League Baseball series goes in this easy to follow sequence:
HOME PLATE, to 3rd Base, to 2nd Base, to 1st Base, to HOME PLATE.
Tracking It.
It?s easy. Monday?s first base umpire will be behind the plate on Tuesday. Tuesday?s first base umpire will be Wednesday?s home plate ump. And so forth.
NOTE: Short crews, vacations, and injuries can cause the rotation to be broken up.
A) Game 2 and beyond of a series
CHECK THE BOX SCORE for the opening game of a series. The first base ump is your home plate ump in the next game. Most newspapers that carry full box scores list the umpires as well. If not, get it on the Web at www.espn.com.
B) Opening Game of a Series
Naturally, with a series opener, there is no prior-game clue revealing which of the blissfully blind mice will be behind the plate. Check SPORTS WEB SITE baseball areas (such as www.espn.com). They receive wire-service reports inside 20 minutes prior to game time.
How to Pin Down the MLB Home Plate Ump
But the baseball handicapper can engage in umpire spotting (for "totals" play) as a do-it-yourself project because nearly 95% of the time, umpire rotation in a Major League Baseball series goes in this easy to follow sequence:
HOME PLATE, to 3rd Base, to 2nd Base, to 1st Base, to HOME PLATE.
Tracking It.
It?s easy. Monday?s first base umpire will be behind the plate on Tuesday. Tuesday?s first base umpire will be Wednesday?s home plate ump. And so forth.
NOTE: Short crews, vacations, and injuries can cause the rotation to be broken up.
A) Game 2 and beyond of a series
CHECK THE BOX SCORE for the opening game of a series. The first base ump is your home plate ump in the next game. Most newspapers that carry full box scores list the umpires as well. If not, get it on the Web at www.espn.com.
B) Opening Game of a Series
Naturally, with a series opener, there is no prior-game clue revealing which of the blissfully blind mice will be behind the plate. Check SPORTS WEB SITE baseball areas (such as www.espn.com). They receive wire-service reports inside 20 minutes prior to game time.
MLB UPDATE: Umpire Total Trends (Through All-Star Break)
OVERS
Umpire O U OVER %
Aschwege 5 1 83.3%
Schrieber 14 4 77.8%
Wendelstedt 14 5 73.7%
Drake 14 5 73.7%
Cederstrom 12 5 70.6%
Kelley 9 5 64.3%
Marsh 7 4 63.6%
Bucknor 12 7 63.2%
Samuels 5 3 62.5%
Wegner 11 7 61.1%
Bell 11 7 61.1%
Froemming 12 8 60.0%
UNDER
Umpire O U OVER %
Timmons 3 16 15.8%
Runge 3 12 20.0%
Hollowell 3 10 23.1%
Eddings 4 13 23.5%
Reynolds 5 14 26.3%
Gorman 5 14 26.3%
Culbreth 5 11 31.3%
Carlson 6 12 33.3%
Reliford 6 11 35.3%
Everitt 6 11 35.3%
Marquez 7 12 36.8%
Iassogna 6 10 37.5%
Meals 8 13 38.1%
Joyce 7 11 38.9%
OVERS
Umpire O U OVER %
Aschwege 5 1 83.3%
Schrieber 14 4 77.8%
Wendelstedt 14 5 73.7%
Drake 14 5 73.7%
Cederstrom 12 5 70.6%
Kelley 9 5 64.3%
Marsh 7 4 63.6%
Bucknor 12 7 63.2%
Samuels 5 3 62.5%
Wegner 11 7 61.1%
Bell 11 7 61.1%
Froemming 12 8 60.0%
UNDER
Umpire O U OVER %
Timmons 3 16 15.8%
Runge 3 12 20.0%
Hollowell 3 10 23.1%
Eddings 4 13 23.5%
Reynolds 5 14 26.3%
Gorman 5 14 26.3%
Culbreth 5 11 31.3%
Carlson 6 12 33.3%
Reliford 6 11 35.3%
Everitt 6 11 35.3%
Marquez 7 12 36.8%
Iassogna 6 10 37.5%
Meals 8 13 38.1%
Joyce 7 11 38.9%
BEGINNING MONDAY JULY 26
Atlanta at Pittsburgh (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
Oliver Perez is having a terrific season with the Pirates (+$480, 3.14 ERA) and should get a turn against the Braves in this four game set. Atlanta has not performed well against lefthanders (14-17, -$430 with only 4.3 runs per game) while the Bucs have posted solid profits vs. righthanders in 2004 (+$1370). PREFERRED: Oliver Perez if opposed by a righthander.
Philadelphia at Florida (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
The Marlins knocked the Phillies out of contention last season, and when they met early this year it was once again all Florida (6-0, +$635). But the home team has not looked sharp since April, and their numbers here are far from impressive (-$880). Philly has been profitable on the road in night games (+$430) so look for the visitor to exact some revenge for their past humiliations, as they solidify their grip in the NL East. PREFERRED: Phillies in night games.
N.Y. Mets at Montreal (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
We?ve studiously avoided taking the Expos all season and we?ll continue to do so against. the improved Mets. New York checks in with a very nice profit vs. righthanders (+$875) while Montreal is only 20-44 (-$1980 with 3.1 runs per game) in that spot. We?ll lay the price on the visitor when that circumstances arises. PREFERRED: Mets when righty meets righty.
St. Louis at Cincinnati (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Cards are rolling (57-34, +$1350) and after watching them take 8 of the first 10 head to head matchups with the Reds (+$455) we expect to see more of the same. St. Louis has the best road record in the NL, and we think the Reds will be hard pressed to finish the season above .500. PREFERRED: Cardinals in all games.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
The Brewers have given the Cubs all sorts of problems when they?ve squared off (5-2, +$545) and they?ll be hard to pass up in the three night games in this series (Milwaukee +$1185 at Miller Park, Chicago -$590 on the road). That improved Milwaukee pitching (3.87 team ERA) may enable them to play some meaningful games well into September. PREFERRED: Brewers in night games.
Arizona at Houston (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
It?s hard to decide which has been more painful to watch in 2004; the Astros failing to live up to their pre-season expectations (only 45-46, -$2265) or the complete collapse of the Diamondbacks (31-62, -$3675), one of the true success stories in baseball over their first five seasons. No interest in backing either of these teams anytime soon. PREFERRED: None.
Los Angeles at Colorado (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
We?ve got a Colorado team that is profitable vs. lefties (+$795 with 5.8 runs per game) but not against righties (-$1095), and the Dodgers who are the exact opposite (LA -$265 vs. lefties with only 3.5 runs per game, +$1755 vs. righthanders with 5.0 RPG). We?ll play this situation accordingly. PREFERRED: Dodgers when righty meets righty/Rockies when lefty meets lefty.
San Francisco at San Diego (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
The Giants were embarrassed by the Padres when they faced off early in the season (only 2-5, -$410). But they?ve surged back into contention since then, and we don?t think they?ll have much success figuring out Jason Schmidt (2.35 ERA), who provides outstanding value regardless of price. PREFERRED: Schmidt.
Boston at Baltimore (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Orioles have already taken 4 out of 6 (+$430) and they?ve thrived offensively vs. righthanders (5.6 runs per game) even though they?ve come up short more often than not. The Red Sox will be coming off an emotional series with the Yankees, and their anemic road record (20-25, -$1500) means the home team has a real shot to take 2 out of 3 from the all-righthanded Boston rotation. PREFERRED: Orioles in all games.
N.Y. Yankees at Toronto (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Blue Jays have been a problem for the Yankees in the past, and if the Yankees are emotionally spent after a weekend at Fenway, the home team could take advantage. New York has dropped a bundle on the road vs. righties (-$1280) while Toronto has posted a profit in night games at Skydome (+$340). PREFERRED: Righthanders vs. the Yankees.
Detroit at Cleveland (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
Both teams have excelled vs. righties (Indians +$960, Tigers +$2075) and floundered vs. lefties (Cleveland -$820, Detroit -$970) so we?ll jump in as soon as we get a mixed matchup. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. righthanders.
Minnesota at Chicago W. Sox (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
Once again we have two teams that are profitable vs. righthanders (Twins +$930 on the road, White Sox +$1160 overall) but in the red vs. southpaws (Chicago -$895, Minnesota -$250). So once again, we?ll wait for the right opportunity to present itself. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. righthanders.
Seattle at Oakland (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
We?d love to use the Athletics trio of Mulder, Zito and Redman against sorrowful Seattle (-$2760 overall), but we just don?t trust Oakland away from the Coliseum (only 20-27, -$930 as visitors so far). PREFERRED: None.
Texas at Anaheim (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Rangers jumped all over the Angels when they faced off earlier (5-2, +$450), and with Washburn likely to miss this series, they get a shot to beat on up the Anaheim righthanders, who have been a disappointment this year (Texas +$2060 vs. righthanders). PREFERRED: Rangers vs. Colon, Lackey &Escobar.
BEGINNING TUESDAY JULY 27
Kansas City at Tampa Bay (3) 27th, 28th, 29th
The Devil Rays should do well against the mediocre lefties in the Kansas City rotation (TB +$920 vs. southpaws), and there?s no way we?ll consider touching the pathetic Royals (-$1755). But Tampa Bay doesn?t warrant being made a heavy favorite, so if the prices get too high we?ll steer clear. PREFERRED: Devil Rays at -125 or less.
Atlanta at Pittsburgh (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
Oliver Perez is having a terrific season with the Pirates (+$480, 3.14 ERA) and should get a turn against the Braves in this four game set. Atlanta has not performed well against lefthanders (14-17, -$430 with only 4.3 runs per game) while the Bucs have posted solid profits vs. righthanders in 2004 (+$1370). PREFERRED: Oliver Perez if opposed by a righthander.
Philadelphia at Florida (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
The Marlins knocked the Phillies out of contention last season, and when they met early this year it was once again all Florida (6-0, +$635). But the home team has not looked sharp since April, and their numbers here are far from impressive (-$880). Philly has been profitable on the road in night games (+$430) so look for the visitor to exact some revenge for their past humiliations, as they solidify their grip in the NL East. PREFERRED: Phillies in night games.
N.Y. Mets at Montreal (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
We?ve studiously avoided taking the Expos all season and we?ll continue to do so against. the improved Mets. New York checks in with a very nice profit vs. righthanders (+$875) while Montreal is only 20-44 (-$1980 with 3.1 runs per game) in that spot. We?ll lay the price on the visitor when that circumstances arises. PREFERRED: Mets when righty meets righty.
St. Louis at Cincinnati (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Cards are rolling (57-34, +$1350) and after watching them take 8 of the first 10 head to head matchups with the Reds (+$455) we expect to see more of the same. St. Louis has the best road record in the NL, and we think the Reds will be hard pressed to finish the season above .500. PREFERRED: Cardinals in all games.
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
The Brewers have given the Cubs all sorts of problems when they?ve squared off (5-2, +$545) and they?ll be hard to pass up in the three night games in this series (Milwaukee +$1185 at Miller Park, Chicago -$590 on the road). That improved Milwaukee pitching (3.87 team ERA) may enable them to play some meaningful games well into September. PREFERRED: Brewers in night games.
Arizona at Houston (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
It?s hard to decide which has been more painful to watch in 2004; the Astros failing to live up to their pre-season expectations (only 45-46, -$2265) or the complete collapse of the Diamondbacks (31-62, -$3675), one of the true success stories in baseball over their first five seasons. No interest in backing either of these teams anytime soon. PREFERRED: None.
Los Angeles at Colorado (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
We?ve got a Colorado team that is profitable vs. lefties (+$795 with 5.8 runs per game) but not against righties (-$1095), and the Dodgers who are the exact opposite (LA -$265 vs. lefties with only 3.5 runs per game, +$1755 vs. righthanders with 5.0 RPG). We?ll play this situation accordingly. PREFERRED: Dodgers when righty meets righty/Rockies when lefty meets lefty.
San Francisco at San Diego (4) 26th, 27th, 28th, 29th
The Giants were embarrassed by the Padres when they faced off early in the season (only 2-5, -$410). But they?ve surged back into contention since then, and we don?t think they?ll have much success figuring out Jason Schmidt (2.35 ERA), who provides outstanding value regardless of price. PREFERRED: Schmidt.
Boston at Baltimore (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Orioles have already taken 4 out of 6 (+$430) and they?ve thrived offensively vs. righthanders (5.6 runs per game) even though they?ve come up short more often than not. The Red Sox will be coming off an emotional series with the Yankees, and their anemic road record (20-25, -$1500) means the home team has a real shot to take 2 out of 3 from the all-righthanded Boston rotation. PREFERRED: Orioles in all games.
N.Y. Yankees at Toronto (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Blue Jays have been a problem for the Yankees in the past, and if the Yankees are emotionally spent after a weekend at Fenway, the home team could take advantage. New York has dropped a bundle on the road vs. righties (-$1280) while Toronto has posted a profit in night games at Skydome (+$340). PREFERRED: Righthanders vs. the Yankees.
Detroit at Cleveland (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
Both teams have excelled vs. righties (Indians +$960, Tigers +$2075) and floundered vs. lefties (Cleveland -$820, Detroit -$970) so we?ll jump in as soon as we get a mixed matchup. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. righthanders.
Minnesota at Chicago W. Sox (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
Once again we have two teams that are profitable vs. righthanders (Twins +$930 on the road, White Sox +$1160 overall) but in the red vs. southpaws (Chicago -$895, Minnesota -$250). So once again, we?ll wait for the right opportunity to present itself. PREFERRED: Lefthanders vs. righthanders.
Seattle at Oakland (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
We?d love to use the Athletics trio of Mulder, Zito and Redman against sorrowful Seattle (-$2760 overall), but we just don?t trust Oakland away from the Coliseum (only 20-27, -$930 as visitors so far). PREFERRED: None.
Texas at Anaheim (3) 26th, 27th, 28th
The Rangers jumped all over the Angels when they faced off earlier (5-2, +$450), and with Washburn likely to miss this series, they get a shot to beat on up the Anaheim righthanders, who have been a disappointment this year (Texas +$2060 vs. righthanders). PREFERRED: Rangers vs. Colon, Lackey &Escobar.
BEGINNING TUESDAY JULY 27
Kansas City at Tampa Bay (3) 27th, 28th, 29th
The Devil Rays should do well against the mediocre lefties in the Kansas City rotation (TB +$920 vs. southpaws), and there?s no way we?ll consider touching the pathetic Royals (-$1755). But Tampa Bay doesn?t warrant being made a heavy favorite, so if the prices get too high we?ll steer clear. PREFERRED: Devil Rays at -125 or less.
parlay card
Cubs(C Zambrano) vs Phillies(P Abbott) (FOX)
03:15 pm
Cubs -150 Listed Pitchers
Cubs(C Zambrano) vs Phillies(P Abbott) (FOX)
03:15 pm
Over 9.5 +105
Giants(B Tomko) vs Cardinals(Carpenter) (FOX)
03:15 pm
Cardinals -175 Listed Pitchers
Rockies(JM Wright) vs Diamondbacks(L Cormier))
10:05 pm
Over 10 -125
Padres(I Valdez) vs Dodgers(W Alvarez)
10:10 pm
Dodgers -145 Listed Pitchers
Rangers(R Dickey) vs Athletics(K Saarloos)
04:05 pm
Athletics -150 Listed Pitchers
Twins(Mulholland) vs Orioles(S Ponson)
06:05 pm
Twins +105 Listed Pitchers
Tigers(J Johnson) vs White Sox(Schoenweis) (WGN)
07:05 pm
White Sox -125 Listed Pitchers
Wager Amount: $100.00 to win $9942.53
Cubs(C Zambrano) vs Phillies(P Abbott) (FOX)
03:15 pm
Cubs -150 Listed Pitchers
Cubs(C Zambrano) vs Phillies(P Abbott) (FOX)
03:15 pm
Over 9.5 +105
Giants(B Tomko) vs Cardinals(Carpenter) (FOX)
03:15 pm
Cardinals -175 Listed Pitchers
Rockies(JM Wright) vs Diamondbacks(L Cormier))
10:05 pm
Over 10 -125
Padres(I Valdez) vs Dodgers(W Alvarez)
10:10 pm
Dodgers -145 Listed Pitchers
Rangers(R Dickey) vs Athletics(K Saarloos)
04:05 pm
Athletics -150 Listed Pitchers
Twins(Mulholland) vs Orioles(S Ponson)
06:05 pm
Twins +105 Listed Pitchers
Tigers(J Johnson) vs White Sox(Schoenweis) (WGN)
07:05 pm
White Sox -125 Listed Pitchers
Wager Amount: $100.00 to win $9942.53
info play
info play
MINNESOTA (Mulholland) +$110 over BALTIMORE (Ponson)
Terry Mulholland maybe considered a journeyman at this stage of
his career, but the fact is that he's 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and a
9.5 H/W ratio in his last two starts. Both of those starts were
against the Tigers, a team that is 13-26 vs. southpaws. Today's
opponent is 11-21 against lefties averaging 1.7 RPG fewer than
vs. righthanders. Sidney Ponson is 4-12 with a 6.13 ERA and he's
4-9 at night with a 5.61 ERA and a .306 BAA.
info play
MINNESOTA (Mulholland) +$110 over BALTIMORE (Ponson)
Terry Mulholland maybe considered a journeyman at this stage of
his career, but the fact is that he's 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and a
9.5 H/W ratio in his last two starts. Both of those starts were
against the Tigers, a team that is 13-26 vs. southpaws. Today's
opponent is 11-21 against lefties averaging 1.7 RPG fewer than
vs. righthanders. Sidney Ponson is 4-12 with a 6.13 ERA and he's
4-9 at night with a 5.61 ERA and a .306 BAA.
