plays for 8/17-8/23

AR182

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4-3 (-.65)

1.5* 7 pt. teaser

g.b.+4
u44

i think we will see an inspired effort by g.b. this week after their flat performance vs. seattle.

n.o. defensive line is thin,they already are missing injured veteran willie whitehead, they also lost another reserve lineman when tackle kenny smith injured his right shoulder(will require season-ending surgery).also de darren howard (knee) and right tackle victor riley (ribs) are nursing nagging injuries.

with these injuries i see g.b. going to the run more often controlling the clock & wearing down n.o. def. line. this will also keep the ball away from the n.o. offense.

the grass field will also slow down n.o.

btw, brooks should play this week.

we should also see more of pederson because of couch's poor performance.

finally,an angle that i like for this game is.....

between 1994-2004 teams coming off a su home loss in week #2 of pre-season are.....
12-6 ats (66.7%)

good luck.
 
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AR182

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1*under 38(120) giants/car.......

the giants scored 34 & car. scored 23 points last week......& yet the line for tonights game opened at 34.

last year car. played the giants & the total score was around 60.....& yet the line opened at 34.

it just seems strange to me that after last week scores & with all of the hoopla over eli that the game looks so easy to go over.

with car. starters playing the 1st half & with the giants offensive line very questionable (the giants may limit the risks for their $54million investment) vs. what may be the best defensive line in the game, i think the under is worth a shot.

i also read, don't know if it means anything but in carolinas 2nd preseason games the under has gone under 6 of 7 times.

i will make a small play on the under.

good luck.
 

AR182

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a game i really like is....

3*over 34(137)cleve./ detroit

last week eventhough cleve. lost 24-3 vs. the titans, they almost had as many yards as tenn.

but again, like last year cleve. showed last week that they still couldn't stop the run by allowing tenn. to rush for 163 yds.

this week cleve. has had some spirited practices with winslow trying to fire up the browns to show some life.

this week garcia, along with the first team will play about a half, with holcomb & their 3rd string following up.

as expected, detroit's offense is showing some life by scoring 27 points last week vs. pitt.

detroit also will have their 1st unit, led by qb harrington, playing the first half, followed by 2nd string mcmahon & then mirer at the qb position.

we all know about detroit's talented wide-receivers.

last week det.'s defense allowed pitts. to complete 62% of their passes & rush for 173 yds.

some of det's dbs are banged up (bryant,bly,&cash) & none played last week.

with detroit's offense much better than it's defense & winslow trying to stir them up, i expect these teams to score some points.

good luck.
 

gardenweasel

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i rode with you on the gb teaser idea....except,i did a 3 team 10 pointer.......i took carolina +6....gb+6.5 and gb under 47.....

the only rub might be gb`s defense....i`m not convinced it`s that good...

thanks for planting the seed...

g.l.
 

AR182

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gw,

it's good to see you posting in the nfl forum.

i wish you would have mentioned the 3 teamer because i may have played it with you.

i was looking for something to play last night because i was watching the game.


good luck this year.
 

Kdogg21

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GB's defense didn't look to bad last game. Couch was the one doing the poor performance. good luck, i hope the Pack have a better game
 

gardenweasel

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i was also looking at wash+11.5....detroit+13 and over 22 in the wash/miami game...like the qb rotations even if they fall behind early...

g.l, partner...
 
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AR182

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1* under 41(135) minn./atl.

i read an article that said the new coaching staff is stressing that vick stay more in the pocket this year. imo, that makes him less effective. it will be interesting to see if vick, who is supposed to play a little more than 1 qt., listens to the new coaches.

including last night's game, 13 games have scored less than 40 points, while 5 games have gone over the 40 points.

imo,this number on the game is too high for a pre-season game.

we'll see.


good luck.
 

AR182

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final play today:

10*pitts-2.5(145)

i like the fact that houston won their big pre-season game by a shut-out last week vs. dallas.

texans will get their projected starting offensive line for the first time today, their running game is hurting, with anderson out, and davis and wells doubtful. hollings will start and be followed by coleman and matthews, who both signed with the team monday. h

houston is 0-4 SU/1-3 ats on the road in preseason undercapers.

what was most impressive in their loss at detroit last week was the offensive balance: 173 yards rushing, 215 passing

i feel that offense should have little trouble scoring in front of the home fans this week.

good luck
 

AR182

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mnf.......

3*teaser.....kc+3.5 & over 34

i like k.c. for a few reasons in this spot.....this is k.c. first home game since their disappointing playoff loss last year to indy.i think vermeil wants to wash away that last impression his team left with the home folk.he has stated that he will be playing the starters even more this game than what he would normally do in a second pre-season game, possibly the entire first half.and finally k.c is 5-1 Su, 4-2 ats at home in preseason the last three years & rams under martz is 6-12 SU, 7-11 ats in preseason.


good luck.
 

gardenweasel

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i might add minny +4 vs san fran to that ticket getting k.c.+6 and over 31.5....

i think minny is looking for a win at home after letting atlanta come back last week.....


it worked last time,lol....

g.l.
 
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