NFLX Wk. 3

[MrChristo]

11-2 (+7.94)

Getting on one early:

Green Bay @ Jax under 37 (1.99 @ Pinnacle)

I don't think it will stay at 37 until game time. Jax sticking to the Del Rio formula of concentrating on running the ball and a strong defense. It's no coincidence they are 1-8 under in their last 9 games...av. only 27 total points.
Green Bay offense still not firing...esp. when Couch is at QB!!! :moon:
Like getting the 37 in this one.

 

[chuckdman]

Thanks for pointing out this game. I like it and agree with your points. Also took Washington/St Louis under 41. I think this total is a little high. I know the Rams will score more than 1 TD like they did on monday but they are playing 4 days later and I just dont think Washington and St Lou will reach that the 41 total.

GL

 

[smurphy]

Great research on all your picks, MC! Thanks for sharing them. I owe a bit of my 8-3 record to you. Don't mind me coat-tailing, I hope?

Early look for me on Raiders -2 @ Cards. I watched Cards-Chargers last Friday, and they are not even a legitimate team right now. They even kept starters in for a couple series against SD's backups, and were still being outplayed. It will take them a while to be in synch enough to cover such a small spread against an offense that is showing already to be fairly dynamic. Just don't see this game being close at all. Even if Green wants to make a statement, they just don't have the talent to do it.

 

[MrChristo]

Getting onboard another game early:

Tenn +3 (2.07 @ Pinnacle!!)

Crazy price for a start, but not sure enough people will be on Dallas to push it out to +3.5....either way, I'm not sure it will matter!

Great pre-season 'trend'....Road teams with 2 or more win wins v. a home team with just 1 win are 25-9 (74%). [Thanks Senor Capper for that one ]Tough to go against that for a start.
But also, Dallas just aren't that good!
Shut out by Houston in Wk 1...4.2 ypp, 4 turnovers! 3-12 on 3rd downs.
Then scraping by Oakland in the dying seconds, better performance but still only gaining 4.5 ypplay against a pretty crappy/beat up Oak defense.
Tenn having exactly been lighting it up either, but are playing good, controlled ball, and should be too much for Dallas to handle...even at home.

(Looks a pretty solid under too @ 37.5)

 

[MrChristo]

2 more!..And I think I'm done for the week.

Oakland -3.

Thanks for the info, smurfy. Was going to play them yesterday @ -1.5....go back a few hours later and they're out to 3!
Probably rightly so.
We don't have to talk about their offense, it's looking very solid...Their major concern is on D, where it seems they are going back to a 4-3 defense due to lack of LB's.
Lucky for them they play the Cards! 3-15 on 3rd down and 3.8 ypplay v. Minni in Wk.1!!....4-12 and 5.1 v. SD last week.

Also like the fact that Oak team owners deperately want this team to win to lift the profile of the team...Stadium was only half full v. Dallas last week, and the organisation aren't impressed!


SF @ Minni OVER 41

I know Dorsey is down and likely out, but I suspect Rattay will play. They have moved the ball SO well in the first 2 games!!
23 first downs and 307 yards in Wk.1. for 30 points.
24 first downs and 412 yards last week v. Bears!!!!! Only 5 to's limited them to only 13.
Let's be honest, if Minni can allow Schaub to go 16-19-205 last week, it won't matter who SF start behind centre!!
Culpepper looking very good...Ferotte still has one of the best downfield arms in the game....This one should tick over with plenty of time to spare.

Good Luck gang

PS...Would you believe that as I've typed this, Tenn have been pushed out to +3.5!!! (Shows what kind of judge I am! :lol: )

 

[smurphy]

PS...Would you believe that as I've typed this, Tenn have been pushed out to +3.5!!! (Shows what kind of judge I am! )

I've been impressed with Tennessee thus far. I think beating Buffalo in that situation last week was bigger than it showed. Buffalo wanted that win.

Great pre-season 'trend'....Road teams with 2 or more win wins v. a home team with just 1 win are 25-9 (74%).

That is a great stat. All logic is pointing to the Titans - especially given the 3.5. Volek is one of those undervalued pre-season QB's too. He's often the difference for them.

 

[bej0101]

nice info!!!!

 

[ajoytoy]

gl this weekend buddy

great job so far.....keep it rolling

 

[vanbasten]

best of luck christo