plays for 8/26 - 8/30

[AR182]

nflx...8-7 +3.29

1.5* teaser.......

pitts.+10.5
under 45.5

really like this teaser but am playing it small because of pre-season.

phil. is a banged up team. rb's buchhalter & perry are out for at least this game. so eagles signed levens, who is pretty much washed up to back up at rb.also out for the pitts. game are de kalu,safety dawkins, lb jones, & dt simon who hasn't practiced much this pre-season because of back & foot problems. de kearse has an ankle sprain & may play.
the injury bug is so bad at phil. that the coach has cut the practices to 1x a day, from the normal 2x a day that teams usually run in their practices in pre-season.

pitts. also has a few injuries but nothing like phil.

i think at this stage of the pre-season teams can run on phil, as witnessed by balt. running on them for about 200 yds.(5.8 ypc) last week.

pitts. has been running the ball exceptionally well this pre-season. they have run for close to 400 yds. in their 2 pre-season games.

i think you will see pitt's #1 rusher, duce staley be used alot in the first half of this game because he has been complaing that he hasn't been used much during the pre-season. the back-up runners of bettis,hayes, & parker have all looked good this pre-season & we should see all of them vs. this phil. defense.

i think at this stage of the season teams will have their starters play the first half & pray for no injuries. they will play the back-ups during the 2nd half & also try to avoid injuries.

in other words, imo neither team will try anything fancy & they will try to get through the game as fast as possible which means a relatively low scoring
game.


good luck.

 

[AR182]

1.5* teaser
tb+3.5
under 40

we all know about miami's problem with running the ball. they gained 25 rushing yards as a team last week. it may not get any better this week as many of the defensive starters for tb is expected to make their pre-season debut this game. both teams are combined for a 4-0 under this pre-season.


1.5* teaser
carolina +4.5
under 44

last week n.e. gave up 155 rushing yards to cin.imo, this plays into car's strength as they like to pound the ball. n.e. will turn up their intensity this week after giving up over 350 yds.last week to cin.fox has stated that the starters will play into the 3rd quarter this week.

a system that plays into the carolina pick....

teams in week 3 or 4 coming off 2 consecutive wins (both su & ats) since 1994....
---week 3 of pre-season
---won previous game at home

ats record....19-8-1 (70.4%)

play on carolina.


good luck.

 

[ajoytoy]

great info AR!

gl tonight and this weekend

toy

 

[AR182]

playing these for tonight.....

1.5*
rams-2(-115).....everybody remembers the rams flat performance monday night vs. k.c.i think that is why the line went under 3.as a professional team the rams should be embarrassed by thar performance & the quotes coming from their camp this week indicates that they were embarrassed in k.c. & they will perform better vs. wash.tonight.

"we're upset," bulger said. "we're embarrassed with the way we played, but at the same time, we didn't game plan." the game plans begin this weekend. "i did a very poor job getting this football team ready to play," coach martz said. "this is my fault as a head coach. we came out here and flopped around and acted like we didn't know where we were. and that's a coaching issue. always is. always will be. you can blame the players, but that's my responsibility. that won't happen again. we'll make sure these guys are ready to play."

i think the rams show up for tonight & i like the fact that wash. is coming off of a shutout win last week vs. miami.

a few systems.....

sub .500 home favorites(rams) off a road loss scoring 7 or less points & surrwndering 24 or more pts. have gone 13-5 ats(72%)since 1983.

pre-season teams(wash.) off a win by 10+ pts.are 4-21(16%)ats when playing a team off b2b losses since 1990.

since 1994, teams in week 3 coming off 2 consecutive losses (both su & ats)(rams) & played away from home in previous loss & are playing at home this week are 14-5 (73.7%)ats.


1.5*teaser
under 44 gb/jax
under 43 houst./den.....

so far this year g.b. & jax. are 0-4 o/u this preseason.and haven't been impressed with denver's or houston's offenses so far this pre-season.also denver is 3-12 o/u in last 15 pre-season games.

also played a small middle on.....

3*denver -4(127)
3*houston +7(140)

good luck.

 

[AR182]

5* indy-4.....

indy was embarrassed last week by the jets. they are 7-0 ats in recent years when coming off a pre-season beating where they lost by double digits.

against the jets indy had 3 turnovers.they have a history of responding well to games where they had high turnovers as they are 10-2 ats off a game where they had 3 or more turnovers.

dungy has always placed importance on week 3 pre-season games and it show with him posting a 5-0 su & ats record with whatever team he has coached. home favorites who lost by 23 or more points are 27-8 su and 21-14 ats.

buffalo's offense has been in a state of turmoil thanks to constant shuffling on the offensive line, & with injuries to rb henry (ribs) & highly touted qb losman.

in buffalo's 1st. 2 games, bledsoe has failed to produce a td & last week vs. tenn. penalties were a problem.

indy should put on a good showing for its fans.

good luck.

 

[theGibber1]

best of luck!!!

 

[gardenweasel]

maybe an indy/kc teaser....it`s almost to obvious.....2 high profile teams....all they have to do is win.....small...

we`ll get serious when the games have some meaning...

g.l.

 

[AR182]

thanks gibber, good luck to you also.


gw,

you're the smart one, although except for a few games like pitt vs. houston & the indy game my bets have been small.

btw, how is the political forum doing. haven't stopped by there in awhile.

 

[AR182]

went 3-0 sat. in nflx for +8* & 0-1 in college for -1.8*

season record so far is....

nflx 12-9 +7.69*
ncaa 0-1 -1.8*

tonight i will take.....

1.5*under 38.5(130) tenn./dallas

tenn. will likely go through the motions tonight, according to their coach, but their defense has given up 18 points in their 2 nflx games.parcells has stated that his starters will play into the 3rd quarter, but their offense hasn't done much so far in their 2 nflx games & their defense has played well.

small play on the under.


good luck.