gotta keep posting as long as the run continues. mixed bag for today:
hou +165 and over whatever: gonna ride the combo for the third day straight. astros have the momentum and need this game or they don't make up ground with the series. don't see how clement warrants this number with his 6.22 career era vs the 'stros. houston has the hotter bats and appear more motivated. i think the cubbies are getting a little buggy from hearing footsteps, especially after yesterday's freak play where the astros scored three runs on an infield grounder. cubs have also whined about this umpiring crew the whole series, with zambrano bringing the violin music to a crescendo yesterday. speaking of umps, meriwether behind the plate today should help keep the bats swinging. he's 17-10-2 to the over this year, averaging 11 rpg, and over in 6 of his last 7.
tampa +210: i bet against this kasmir kid in his first big league start in seattle, and he really impressed me, pitching lights out in what should have been a bad spot for him. facing the a's in oakland is another matter entirely, but kasmir could be the wild card in what might turn out to be a low scoring contest today. rays have been reasonably successful vs lefties on the road, and, with anaheim's loss last night, might find the a's a little relaxed today. nice price anyway.
tex -138: refer to my continuing dialogue with jack about fading the o's, at least for the rest of this road trip. ponson has been a gas can this year on the road (6.10 era) and in day games (7.96 era), and has a career 6.03 era in arlington. young a nice prospect that baltimore has never seen. o's are 16 for 69 in texas after hitting under .200 in oakland. javy lopez dh'ed last night, so look for him to possibley sit today with his back spasms.
atl/sf over 9: hp ump schrieber one of the best over bets out ther right now. he's 20-5-1 to the over for the year, and over 7 of the last 8. in nl games, he's 10-1-1 to the over, averaging 13 rpg. that's probably too much for hennessey to overcome today against the hot 'lanta bats. ortiz shouldn't fare much better with a career 8.71 era vs the giants. hopefully barry plays with the wild card race and this being a night game.
stll/pit under 8-: perez solid all around and marquis has pitched well on the road (3.69) and @ pnc (2.38). hp ump timmons 6-19-2 to the under this year, averaging 7.52 rpg.
la/nym under 9: nice number imo for this matchup. ishii 1.38 career era vs the mets; benson 1.42 era the only time he faced la. mets lineup pretty depleted. up ump hernandez has now gone under 6 in a row, averaging 6 rpg in that span, and also under 10 of his last 12.
glta
hou +165 and over whatever: gonna ride the combo for the third day straight. astros have the momentum and need this game or they don't make up ground with the series. don't see how clement warrants this number with his 6.22 career era vs the 'stros. houston has the hotter bats and appear more motivated. i think the cubbies are getting a little buggy from hearing footsteps, especially after yesterday's freak play where the astros scored three runs on an infield grounder. cubs have also whined about this umpiring crew the whole series, with zambrano bringing the violin music to a crescendo yesterday. speaking of umps, meriwether behind the plate today should help keep the bats swinging. he's 17-10-2 to the over this year, averaging 11 rpg, and over in 6 of his last 7.
tampa +210: i bet against this kasmir kid in his first big league start in seattle, and he really impressed me, pitching lights out in what should have been a bad spot for him. facing the a's in oakland is another matter entirely, but kasmir could be the wild card in what might turn out to be a low scoring contest today. rays have been reasonably successful vs lefties on the road, and, with anaheim's loss last night, might find the a's a little relaxed today. nice price anyway.
tex -138: refer to my continuing dialogue with jack about fading the o's, at least for the rest of this road trip. ponson has been a gas can this year on the road (6.10 era) and in day games (7.96 era), and has a career 6.03 era in arlington. young a nice prospect that baltimore has never seen. o's are 16 for 69 in texas after hitting under .200 in oakland. javy lopez dh'ed last night, so look for him to possibley sit today with his back spasms.
atl/sf over 9: hp ump schrieber one of the best over bets out ther right now. he's 20-5-1 to the over for the year, and over 7 of the last 8. in nl games, he's 10-1-1 to the over, averaging 13 rpg. that's probably too much for hennessey to overcome today against the hot 'lanta bats. ortiz shouldn't fare much better with a career 8.71 era vs the giants. hopefully barry plays with the wild card race and this being a night game.
stll/pit under 8-: perez solid all around and marquis has pitched well on the road (3.69) and @ pnc (2.38). hp ump timmons 6-19-2 to the under this year, averaging 7.52 rpg.
la/nym under 9: nice number imo for this matchup. ishii 1.38 career era vs the mets; benson 1.42 era the only time he faced la. mets lineup pretty depleted. up ump hernandez has now gone under 6 in a row, averaging 6 rpg in that span, and also under 10 of his last 12.
glta
