plays for 9/2 - 9/6

AR182

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college 0-1 -1.8*
nflx 12-9 +7.69


2*vandy+5....

believe it or not vandy was a better team last year than their 2-10 record would indicate. this year they return 21 of 22 starters from last years team, including 3rd year starter jr. qb cutler. cutler averaged a decent 6.8 yds. per pass attempt as a freshman & improved to 7.2 yds. per pass attempt last year behind an injury plaque offensive line. there is no reason to think the cutler would not keep improving since the offensive line is healthy & his receivers & running backs are returning from last years team. last year behind that banged up line vandy's top two runners,mckenzie & doster, averaged 4.1 ypr. but over the last two years they averaged 4.7 ypr.

vandy's offense should be able to exploit so. car.'s pass defense, which gave up about 27 points a game last year.this year sc will be without their top corner from last years team.

vandy is returning all of the 11 starters from last year. their front 7 should do very well but are questionable in their pass defense.

but so. car., under holtz is not a team to likely exploit vandy's 2ndary, since holtz always thinks run first on offense. plus, sc's qb, pinkins is a pretty erratic qb, averaging 50% of his passes last year.

vandy is 7-2-2 ats as a home dog over the last 3 years.
sc is 3-7 ats (0-2 ats on the road) as a favorite over the last 2 years & 1-4 ats in season openers under holtz. in addition sc has their home opener next week vs. georgia & may be looking a head to that game. road favorites are 10-20-1 ats if they are a home dog in their next game, which sc will be next week.

good luck.
 
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Blackman

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Good luck AR --- have a close friend who starts on Vandy's Oline so I've followed them a little closer than I usually would, and I agree with you they are a solid unit. They are all healthy right now, and he said they're ready to go. Like the play.
 

Irish

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Like the play AR, not sure what type of team Holtz has, but the starters from Vandy have experience!

GL
Irish
 

AR182

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taoist & irish,

thanks for the well wishes.

good luck to you too.


2* rutgers+7.5....

i have read different reports on the the status of the mich. st. qb situation. one article stated that msu coach, smith still hasn't decided on his starting qb since nobody distinguished himself during fall scrimmages; & the other article stated that smith decided to start stanton at qb. either way whoever starts for msu it will be their first start on the road.

in addition to having qb making his very first start on the road, msu returns only 2 starters on the offensive line & 1 on the defensive line. their 2ndary also suffered a blow when starting corner, barnett, left the team.now msu has moved 2 running backs to the defensive 2ndary.

rutgers is returning 16 starters from last years team, including 9 from a potent offense that racked up close to 4500 total yards & 35 tds, including their qb who threw for 15 td's.

msu is 3-7 ats as an away favorite & 6-11 ats in road openers & 2-6 ats vs. non-conference.

rutgers is 19-7 ats vs. non-conf. & 7-2 ats as a home dog.

i think rutgers is another live dog.

good luck.
 
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AR182

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2* louisville -7 (140)......

this is a rebuilding season for kentucky. shane boyd steps in at qb,although he was just 15-of-43 for 205 yards, 2 tds, 2 ints last season.

although kent. is returning their top runners from last year, their receiving corp is inexperienced.

i don't see much improvement on defense for kentucky from the last few years performances.last year uk allowed 26.8 ppg last season after allowing 25 points and 174.3 yds rushing per game in '02. in addition i also read that the cb's for uk are hurting. huffman (hamstring) is probable, flowers (quad) & wilson (toe) are questionable, & smith is out for the season.

last year ul averaged 34.6 points, 228 yards rushing and 260 yards passing per game. with 8 returning starters, including the qb, i think ul will again be potent.

defensive injuries hindered ul late in the season, as ul lost 3 of their final 5 after a 7-1 start. with 8 returning players from last years team, imo ul's defense will show much improvement over last years team that returned 4 starters from the year before.

this game should be a mismatch with an experienced team vs. a team that is rebuilding.


i played a 4 unders & all 4 of these games have a common theme. at least one team in each game is starting a new qbs.and i think at this stage the defenses are ahead of the offenses.

2* under 49 virginia/ temple
2* under 48 (126) ok st./ ucla
2* under 45.5 (117) pitt/ so. fla
2* under 59 nevada/ la. tech.

good luck.
 

gardenweasel

el guapo
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am on louisville and the ucla/okie st under......

am also looking hard at navy -7,contrary to some popular opinion....

coach paul johnson was so successful at georgia southern,actually dominant........and he turned what was an absolutely horrible navy program around in just a couple of years....

new qb polanco played quite a bit the last couple years and is physically mor talented than candeto....

i`ve been following navy`s website and coach johnson,who is about as negative as any coach drawing breath,has actually been pleased with navy`s practices that last week or so....

that`s a bad sign for duke,who has a decent club coming back.....but is still a bottom rung acc club...

i could be very wrong...this is a bet on coach johnson....check this guy`s record out at georgia southern...it`s amazingly dominant....one of the best coaches nobody knows anything about....

g.l.
 

AR182

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thanks for the well wishes, guys.

gw,

navy is definitely the side because line is going up. but i'm not comfortable laying points with navy.


2* unlv +22 (130).....

i like getting large points with a non-conference dog that has 14 starters, including their qb returning from last year's team.

tenn. has many questions that need to be answered before their next game in 2 weeks against arch rival fla. they have 2 freshmen qbs battling to replace clausen to run the offense this year. they are also replacing 4 offensive linemen, will be missing their top playmaker(suspension), & will be replacing 3 starters in the secondary.

unlv is 15-4 ats as a 20+ point dog since 1996, while tenn. is 7-16 ats as a home favorite.

2*penn. st.-13.5 (120).....

although akron has a excellent qb in frye, they have lost 3 record setting recivers & its best running back from last years team. frye & his inexperienced playmakers will be facing one of the nations best pass defenses.

psu has an experienced qb, mills, who should rebound from an off year last season. this year he has many offensive weapons to work with.he will be directing the offense against one of the worst defenses in the nation.

in it's 20 non-conference road games since 1996, akron has allowed an average of 45 points per game.

since 1980, psu is 76-14 ats (20-1 ats in its last 21 games) when they score 28 or more points & not laying more than 21 points.

i think joe pa wants to erase the wispers that he is over the hill & will have his team ready for akron.

10*stanford-16 (130)......

stanford is returning it's qb from last years team & should have a good defense this year.

they will be facing a san jose st. team that has 9 starters returning from last years team. they will be missing most of its playmakers from last year & without an established qb.

under this coach, stanford hasn't been a favorite over many teams. but are 3-0 ats the few times they have been a favorite, including 2 routes over sjs by a combined 58 points.

sjs is the perfect team for stanford to erase the memory of their final game of last year where they lost 57-7.

good luck.
 
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AR182

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playing for fri.....

2*teaser

n.mex.+10.5
under 54.5

adding for sat.

2*cin.+16....

cin. loat 7x last year, but 5 of those 7 losses were by less than 8 points.with the former def. cord.from osu now coaching cinn.,i see a very close low scoring game.

cin. is 9-1 ats as dd dog, 5-1 ats vs. big 10 teams, & 8-2 ats as road dogs with guidugli at qb.

good luck.
 

AR182

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adding.....

2* fresno st+4.....bet this early in the week

2*under 50 (130) lsu/osu

2*over 44 (130) so.car./ vandy

2*col.st.+6

2*miss-2

2*uab-13.5(120)

good luck.
 
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AR182

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went 7-6 sat. for +6.30*.


along with these games that i posted for sunday......

lousiville
unlv
fresno

i'll add.......

2*teaser...

purdue-4.5
over44

good luck.
 

gardenweasel

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....looking at your card and liking what i see...i may again plagiarize some of your selections..

g.l tomorrow...
 
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AR182

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went 3-1 +3.4* yesterday, bringing my overall record in college to.......

10-8 +7.90


today as posted earlier this week i'm on......


2*under 59 nev./ la tech


good luck.
 
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