saturday ncaa football

loophole

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 14, 1999
4,413
149
63
nc
ecu +14-: i've gone full circle on this game this week; monday i was was ready to pound wake forest, but today i'm dropping a unit on the pirates. don't get me wrong - ecu is not very good, and they're probably not going to win today, athough i wouldn't completely rule that out. i do see a good opporunity for them to compete today, at least within two td's.

as everyone knows, ecu was 1-11 last year and pummeled by w va in last week's season opener. mountaineers, though, are a true powerhouse, and wake has nowhere near the kind of talent the mountain boys possess. wake, like w va, is primarily a rushing team, but the mountaineers use talent to run over people while the deacons are more of a finesse team that uses a lot of cross and trap blocking, and are particularly adept at chop blocking inside the box. ecu has some athletic, though undersized, defenders who have seen and adapted to the wake forest blocking schemes before. pirates at least shouldn't have to worry about being blown off the ball like last weekend.

even more significantly, wake may have some real personnel issues on the offensive line today. most top 20 teams carry 9 or 10 offensive linemen. most middle of the road teams like wake carry eight. starting the season, wake was down to 7 with tackle arby jones out with a shoulder injury. this week, wake announceed that brodie overstreet, last saturdays starting guard, was probably lost for the season with an eye injury. that leaves 6 linemen. 2 of those, greg adkins and joe salsich, missed most of the preseason with ankle injuries, and can't possibly be in full game condition. now, go back to the fact that wake's blocking schemes require a lot of energy from the o line and you have some potential issues for the deacs, especially in the second half. and if one of those 6 happens to go down with an injury, wake is faced with running 5 guys with no subs.

it might have been hard to tell last saturday, but ecu can run the ball, and will probably show it better today. they have some athletic running backs, and get their best offensive lineman back from injury today. i expect the pirates to put the ball in the endzone at least 2 or 3 times.

there is also an intangible element that seems to be working in the pirates favor today. you have to understand that football is the heart and soul of the ecu athletic program - no other sport comes close. it's been a brutal stretch in greenville coming off the 1-11 season, especially on the heels of some successful steve logan teams. it has put boosters and students in a downrigh funk. this week, ecu athletics scored major coup with the hiring of terry holland to fill the long vacant ad's spot. all of the sudden, a lot of enthusiam has popped up. pirates have a good home field tradition, helped in large par by enthusiastic fan support. a few years ago, a visit by an acc team would turn the loyalists out in droves. i think you may see a small slice of that enthusiam return today, and there's a good chance it will carry onto the field. enough, anyway, to keep this game within a couple of td's. at least all of the factors enumerated above should keep the back door open until the final gun.





i have a few more plays in a bit.

glta
 
Last edited:

loophole

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 14, 1999
4,413
149
63
nc
n tex -7-: probably best to buy this down to -7 if you can.

i have great respect for coach howard schnellenberger, gratitude as well for resurrecting football at u of miami. while i believe he will eventually establish fau as a force in the sunbelt, i feel this is just too tough a spot today for a team in their first season in div 1-a.

fau pulled the biggest upset of the young season by knocking off hawaii in honolulu, but the trip from the islands back to the east coast is one of the biggest hangovers in college sports. if that wasn't enough adversity for one week, upon return to boca raton fau's players had to stay the week in a local hotel as campus was closed due to hurricane frances. obviously, fau has no indoor facility, so practice this week was very limited by rain. after all that, owls had to travel about 1200 miles west to play in denton.

n texas is the class of the sunbelt, and is fresh off a humbling 65-0 pasting in austin. look for the mean green to be focused on regaining some self respect today. n tex has won their last 8 in denton, and 12 of their last 13. the past two seasons, they have recovered from opening day thrashings by superior teams to post solid home wins in their next game. i suspect some of the same tonight.
 

loophole

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 14, 1999
4,413
149
63
nc
adding:


kan st -7-: don't see fresno blowing out k st in manhattan. wildcats will adjust at the half.

also, ecu up to +15-.


g/l
 

loophole

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 14, 1999
4,413
149
63
nc
halftime play fizzled; two more smaller plays for tonight:


ark +14

cinn +3-



g/l
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top