14-13-1 (-1.28)
Things just aren't going according to the script early! :cursin:
Big week ahead tho...Really do like a few of these games.
Baltimore -4 (1.83) 2 units.
Not much really to say in this one! Lewis had a huge week with Ogden back in the team. He should be able to run all over this terrible KC defense again this week. Ravens D should be able to hold a limited KC offense to cover the 4.
NYG @ GB over 44 (1.99 @ Pinnacle) (2 units)
League: 22-3 OVER (Av. 51.3) home 7+ fav off 7+ ats loss as away 3+ dog. [GB]
10-0 OVER (Av. 56.5!!) when total >42'
Even without those 'trends' I was expecting a total much closer to the 50 mark. BOTH defences are under-manned and very poor against the pass. Indi exploited GB by passing 22 straight times in the first 22 plays yesterday!!...No reason why Warner and the Giants won't do something similar. NYG scored 27 points (and knelt out the last minute 1 yards from their TD line!) against a much better Cleveland pass D. We know Favre and the Packers can score. One of those games where the stats don't lie...Definately expecting a shoot-out here.
Jacksonville +4 (1.95 @ Infinity)
League: 10-2-1 (Av. loss 0.1) home 7- dog off 3- SU win as away 7- dog. [Jax]
9-1 (7-3 SU! Av. WIN 0.9) if opp was last at home.
League: 22-32-1 (Av. win 2.3) away 7- fav off 7+ ats win as home 7- fav. [Indi]
12-24-1 (Av. win 1.8) if opp was last away.
2-8 (Av. win 3.1) if opp off upset SU win.
I expect Jacksonville to be able to run on this Indi D, who is allowing 4.7 ypr. If they can control the ground game, their D will be able to keep them in the game all the way. 3-0 is no fluke for this team. Defense wins games.
Pittsburgh -3 (1.80)
Bought this game down to 3 to be ultra-safe, but I'm pretty sure the Steelers roll all over a poor Cinci team.
Cinci allowing a massive 5.7 ypc...Steelers only 3.1. Rothesbuger looks very capable of leading this team, and their pass rush should give Palmer more problems. There's also the small matter of revenge from last season's home loss. Think the Steelers win this one easily.
Have 2 more definate plays, but lines moving in my favour atm, so will hold off.
Good Luck all
Things just aren't going according to the script early! :cursin:
Big week ahead tho...Really do like a few of these games.
Baltimore -4 (1.83) 2 units.
Not much really to say in this one! Lewis had a huge week with Ogden back in the team. He should be able to run all over this terrible KC defense again this week. Ravens D should be able to hold a limited KC offense to cover the 4.
NYG @ GB over 44 (1.99 @ Pinnacle) (2 units)
League: 22-3 OVER (Av. 51.3) home 7+ fav off 7+ ats loss as away 3+ dog. [GB]
10-0 OVER (Av. 56.5!!) when total >42'
Even without those 'trends' I was expecting a total much closer to the 50 mark. BOTH defences are under-manned and very poor against the pass. Indi exploited GB by passing 22 straight times in the first 22 plays yesterday!!...No reason why Warner and the Giants won't do something similar. NYG scored 27 points (and knelt out the last minute 1 yards from their TD line!) against a much better Cleveland pass D. We know Favre and the Packers can score. One of those games where the stats don't lie...Definately expecting a shoot-out here.
Jacksonville +4 (1.95 @ Infinity)
League: 10-2-1 (Av. loss 0.1) home 7- dog off 3- SU win as away 7- dog. [Jax]
9-1 (7-3 SU! Av. WIN 0.9) if opp was last at home.
League: 22-32-1 (Av. win 2.3) away 7- fav off 7+ ats win as home 7- fav. [Indi]
12-24-1 (Av. win 1.8) if opp was last away.
2-8 (Av. win 3.1) if opp off upset SU win.
I expect Jacksonville to be able to run on this Indi D, who is allowing 4.7 ypr. If they can control the ground game, their D will be able to keep them in the game all the way. 3-0 is no fluke for this team. Defense wins games.
Pittsburgh -3 (1.80)
Bought this game down to 3 to be ultra-safe, but I'm pretty sure the Steelers roll all over a poor Cinci team.
Cinci allowing a massive 5.7 ypc...Steelers only 3.1. Rothesbuger looks very capable of leading this team, and their pass rush should give Palmer more problems. There's also the small matter of revenge from last season's home loss. Think the Steelers win this one easily.
Have 2 more definate plays, but lines moving in my favour atm, so will hold off.
Good Luck all
