Week 4

[Senor Capper]

Without hesitation........(3 early favs)

J E T S -4.5
Eagles -8.5

Ravens -4.5 vs winless 'Chiefs



REG & NFLX
24-15-2

Nsane Plays
4-1

 

[Senor Capper]

Skins = Loser

24-15-2

Refs killed me with that pass interference call against the Skins when it was obviously against the Cowbells.
Then the NO pass interference call on the Cowbells in the endzone.

Unreal.

I still believe I was on the right side.

How bout Cincy ? Losing 3 Offensive linemen vs the Ravens and the lack of tackling oh my Lord. Bungholes are cooked of the rest of the season.

Oh well on to Week 4.

 

[Senor Capper]

Already played 3 favorites........

-4.5

Appears that the 0-3 Dolphins had a change of heart & are now bringing back Jay. Go figure. Fins have only scored 23 pts in 3 games and now it only gets worse with RB Gordon on injured reserve.
J E T S who are not only fresh off a bye but have the leagues # 1 RY average of 171 YPG & the #2 ranked QB behind McNabb are primed for their divisional rival.

Who else but the J E T S JETSJETSJETS ???

=======================================

-4.5

My next play is a heartbreaker, being a avid Chiefs fan. After LW home loss to the Texans I have to come to realize that the only role they are going to play this year, if that, is that of a spoiler.
For instance when New England comes into Arrowhead in Week 11, undefeated, beating them would make my season. Far fetched ? Yes. Still a remote possiblity.

Anyway Chiefs are on a 0-5 road run losing their last non-division road trip by the tune of 45-20.

Ravens "D" still ranks among the elite holding the last 13 of 19 opponents to below 19 pts. Without saying Lewis is running wild & no doubt expect more of the same vs KC.

Ravens are a perfect 13-0 ATS as non-division home favorites. The chalk is on a 14-5-1 spread run in Balt games.

====================

Both games have been getting hammered since the books opened the lines. I see 6s for the JETS and Ravens @ 5.5.
Not too late as these lines will continue to climb.

 

[Senor Capper]

-8.5

Ya think this line will hit 10 before kick-off??

Currently the Eagles are on a 13-3 ATS run & have held 13 of their last 16 foes below 18 pts. They are also a 30-11 ATS road play but 4-12-1 ATS as non-division RFs off a win & cover.

Bears counter with a 12-2-1 ATS run hosting non-division teams and 13-3 as a non-division HDs (15-3 if more than 2.5 pts). Add that Chicago is only 12 points from a 14-2 ATS run & normally I would play the dog role here but obviously the difference is the Grossman is out and the Not-so-Mighty Quinn is in.

=================================

 

[baby johnson]

thanks sr,
personally i like the pack to rebound bigtime at home and the gnats to come back down the earth. GB by at least 14
jr capper

 

[Senor Capper]

At first glance (haven't looked too hard) Green Bay is a tough play laying 7 when Farve is not 100 %. At least in my book. Toms got his team believing that they can accomplish anything.

Trends:

Packers are 20-6 ATS at home off a loss & 14-6 ATS hosts vs foes off consecutive wins but just 2-11 ATS as DD favorites (no problem there) & 4-12 as Oct chalks.

G-men counter with a 6-1 ATS run as Oct pups.

Best to you on your plays

SC

 

[Senor Capper]

Sick puppies worth looking at.......

:shocked:
Atlanta (great trends but are they enough?)
San Diego (no McNair no Ten cover)
San Fran (who is STL to give pts on the road?)




:scared
Cleveland (with 6 staters out ? Yup.)
Tampa Bay (It's now or never)
Buffalo (moneyline play?) :brows:

I see a Nsane Play here somewhere.

 

[beertime]

im lookin at putting a par or something together with some of those late games.

i wouldnt be suprised if carolina came out flat and lost outright.

i think dennis erickson and the boys redeem themselves on pat summeralls' show.

tampa is just pathetic no matter how you look at it.

and ditto that for miami. jets jets jets.

i also can see zona outright. this would be a good spot.

and i wouldnt bet the chefs but i think they win 28-21 for the OVER.

i just reread that and maybe i need mental counseling... :scared

 

[freelancc]

i just reread that and maybe i need mental counseling... :scared

:142lmao:

actually you made quite a few great points..

 

[The Jets Fan]

Love the Jets obviously but Tenn wins no matter whose at QB.There backup Qb is better than Brees and chris Brown will run WILD! Plus better D equals easy Win.

 

[Senor Capper]

Adding (1) Nsane Play of the Day for Sunday......



So ya
Thought ya
Might like to go be in the know.
To feel the warm thrill of confusion
That space cadet glow.
Tell me is something eluding you, sunshine?
Is this not what you expected to see?
The 0-3 Niners who were shutout last Sunday
Come home where they're catching a hair more than 3

+4 :shocked:

 

[Senor Capper]

2nd duplicate What the heck ?

 

[Senor Capper]

third duplicate

 

[MrChristo]

Love the Jets obviously but Tenn wins no matter whose at QB.Their backup Qb is better than Brees and Chris Brown will run WILD! Plus better D equals easy Win.

Agree 100%.
Volek is better than half of the starting QB's in the NFL. Won't mind one little bit if he takes the first snap on Sunday.

 

[beertime]

the rubber walls have been sprayed with 2 feet of sound proof foam and reinforced with 3 additional layers of wall padding ...

rock pleaser 50/15,000

dirty birds -2.5
zona -3
jets -12
broncs -9
frisky -2.5
mnf OVER 47.5

no dark sarcasm in the classroom................... adlock: :idea: :banghead:

 

[Senor Capper]

oke Wow Beertime you go bro !!


Senors Seven........

Eagles -8.5 (I see 10s)

Steelers -4

J E T S -4.5 (I see 7s NOT good)

49ers +4 (Nsane Play)

Buccaneers +3.5

Bills +6.5 (can't resist that hook)


Ravens -4.5 (I see 6s)
Hope I jinx 'em I'll take the C-note loss if KC wins

 

[Senor Capper]

added earlier........

added earlier........

-4



Cincy was exposed LW (unfortunately) & the Steelers will take advantage of the pourus run "D" & lack of tackling.


Pittsburgh has won three of the last four meetings and is 19-7 against Cincinnati since 1991.


Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in their last five overall.

Cincinnati is 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven overall.


----------------------------

+3.5


Denver is only 5-12 ATS on the road vs losing teams.
Tampa is 20-7 ATS at home off SU loss by at least 10 pts.


Like 'Zona, KC, SF & Buffalo it's now or never.

Best to all this week

SC

 

[vinnie]

Good Luck Senor

What's with that 2004 logo ?

 

[Senor Capper]

Change of pace.
Notice the JETS & Ravens helmets are also old style.



"Let's get it started!!!" :clap:

 

[Senor Capper]

Got greedy & added Indy w/ Phil & Pit. Worked for me.

adding.......

SF/STL OVER 44