I'm seeing a pretty strong play on the Over 42? on this game for a number of reasons.
? SF giving up pts in boatloads with that young D. They're allowing almost everyone to score 24+. The Jets are more than capable of hanging up a # like that;
? Both teams coming off stretches of games vs divisional rivals (2 in the case of NYJ, all 3 in the case of SF). Usually you come off a stretch like that & you loosen up a bit in a non-div, non-conf game;
? Both teams have half-decent run D. More time in the air, more big gains and clock stoppages;
? NYJ really look like the type of team that plays to their opponent's rhythm. They total 55 and 62 against loose teams like Cin and SD...then run into all-D, no-O teams like Mia and Buf and total 26 and 30 respectively. Breakout time! When you face lots of good D, your offence has to work harder, and in turn improves, and can light it up when they step down in class to face mediocre D. By the same token, when you face bad offences, you get sloppy and into bad habits, and you get your doors blown off when you face a half-decent offence.
I'm thinking the ONLY reason the total is as low as it is is because of NYJ's 2 low totals in the past 2 games. That should change today.
As far as the side goes...this game really does look like an overlook situation for NYJ. They play 2 div rivals, then SF, and they have NE on deck next week. They have GOT to be looking ahead to that game figuring it will be the battle of the unbeatens. Do they forget to play this one? You see this situation come up time and again in the NFL. Could happen here. Combine that with road teams going into a bye being 9-2 ATS this year and taking the 10 pts is looking tempting, even though SF is a piece of crap.
On the Over for sure...debating the side. Thoughts?
? SF giving up pts in boatloads with that young D. They're allowing almost everyone to score 24+. The Jets are more than capable of hanging up a # like that;
? Both teams coming off stretches of games vs divisional rivals (2 in the case of NYJ, all 3 in the case of SF). Usually you come off a stretch like that & you loosen up a bit in a non-div, non-conf game;
? Both teams have half-decent run D. More time in the air, more big gains and clock stoppages;
? NYJ really look like the type of team that plays to their opponent's rhythm. They total 55 and 62 against loose teams like Cin and SD...then run into all-D, no-O teams like Mia and Buf and total 26 and 30 respectively. Breakout time! When you face lots of good D, your offence has to work harder, and in turn improves, and can light it up when they step down in class to face mediocre D. By the same token, when you face bad offences, you get sloppy and into bad habits, and you get your doors blown off when you face a half-decent offence.
I'm thinking the ONLY reason the total is as low as it is is because of NYJ's 2 low totals in the past 2 games. That should change today.
As far as the side goes...this game really does look like an overlook situation for NYJ. They play 2 div rivals, then SF, and they have NE on deck next week. They have GOT to be looking ahead to that game figuring it will be the battle of the unbeatens. Do they forget to play this one? You see this situation come up time and again in the NFL. Could happen here. Combine that with road teams going into a bye being 9-2 ATS this year and taking the 10 pts is looking tempting, even though SF is a piece of crap.
On the Over for sure...debating the side. Thoughts?
