Wk. 8

[MrChristo]

23-33-1 (-12.47!)

Like everyone else here, I did some write-ups early in the week, only to have them disappear. :sadwave:

Indi -1

League (since 1990): 10-0 (Av. win 10.3) away 3- fav off 3- SU loss as home 7+ fav. [Indi]

KC being over-rated here after last week's game. Indi will score at will, and should be able to stop KC at least once...and that's all it might take!!

Jax @ Houston under 42.5

Purely a trend pick.
League (since '89): 6-34 under!! (Av. 33.7!) home 3- fav off a BYE.
1-20 under since 1997!!

Stats actually point to some points here, but it seems the lines-makers consistantly over-value the total in this situation. :shrug:

Tenn/Cinci under 40.5

Tenn just can't score!...Esp with McNair out. Cinci let-down after MNF. They got a bit lucky v. Denver (scoring-wise).
Both teams under 5.3 ypp!!!

Denver/Atlanta under 39.5

Both teams will be concentrating on their ground game...both teams good defensively v. the run.
Atl only 22% 3rd conversion! Falcon's will struggle to score here, but don't trust Denver to score alot either.

Philli/Baltimore under 38

How will Balti score? They gained an incredible 2.9 yards per play last week!!...No Lewis, no Ogden. No passing game.
Baltimore must play strong D to be in the game...they are BY FAR the best defense Philli has seen this year.
No idea why the total jumped from 36.5!!...Don't care, will take it!

Giants +7

Minni D will keep NY in this one all the way. If Barber can hold on to the ball :cursin: then he and Warner should both have decent days.
Tenn showed last week the Min offense can be held by taking away the deep stuff. No Moss again.
Giants won there SU last year as big dogs. Big chance to get the upset again.

Jets -6.5

You'd think I'd learn about taking MNF favs!...Especially at such an inviting line

League (since '89): 4-17-1 (Av. loss 10.3) away 7- dog off 21+ ats win as home 7- dog. [Mia]

Last week was the first time Miami had topped 13 points!!...Jets D playing well...certainly better than SL.
Should be a low scoring game (also like the under), but I think the Jets will gt the cover.

Tease: Seattle -2/SanFran +8.5

Good Luck all

 

[ajoytoy]

gl this weekend my friend!

staying from totals, since they bite my in the :moon:



toy

 

[gardenweasel]

i find myself leaning indy,also......

g.l.

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

GL this weekend MrC. I am on Indy with you.

 

[MrChristo]

Thanks guys.

Changing that teaser to:

Seattle -2
Jets/Miami under 41.5

Wasn't aware that Rattay was doubtful for the game....Which brings me to another point:
Why is everyone so high on the Sunday Night over??
Chicago starting a rookie QB...even if he is a new Big Ben he has nothing to throw to! (They av. under 5 yards per pass as it is!)
San Fran are 8th in the NFL for passing yards, but that is a bit misleading. It's a high number only because they are forced to throw so many times being behind (over 40 times a game)..They only av. 6.3 ypp.
Also last time Doman started they laid an egg v. a Seattle D that has proven to be not as good as everyone originally thought.
Neither teams D is much good, but SF have played some good offensive teams (except allowing 28 to Arizona I guess.)
Chic have only allowed 20+ once, @ Minni.

Reckon I'll be on the under, but will wait until closer to game time to see what the line does.


Also looking a bit more closely at Pits/NE over 42.
After the Steelers receivers have made such a big deal over the NE 'illegal' defense, I'm expecting Pits to come out throwing and forcing the officials to make some calls.

 

[wox11]

GL ~ THAT CHICO & S.F. GAME SHOULD BE REAL INTERESTING :142lmao:

 

[bombercoops]

All over Indy here aswell 'C'! Good luck on all your plays mate!

 

[Clem D]

Like indy as well good luck

 

[MrChristo]

Adding:

Detroit @ Dallas under 40

Williams is the Detroit offense. Unfortunately it is that simple.

Neither team will be able to run the ball, should see lots of 3rd and outs.