As someone who lost money beting against Troy last week, I did alot of research on Troy last week - little good that did me!
I still think FL Atl could be a good bet. Troy is a defensive team. They really struggle on O. They can hang with anyone in the country with their D, but they struggle to put inferior teams away. Their QB is a freshman that they inserted 2 wks ago against LSU. He is yet to pass for 100 yards in his two games. Last week's result is a little misleading. They ran a fumble back 80 yds, a punt return for a TD 60 yds and and int returned for a TD 40 yds? That is 21 of the 47 pts coming directly from the D or spc teams. In addition, Idaho turned the ball over 7times - don't know how many of the 5 to's that did not get returned for TD's got converted on a short field or turned back a Idaho scoring drive, but I think the 47-7 score is a little misleading. Troy was actually outgained in that game. Idaho's QB also got knocked out and the backup threw 3 picks. I think the reality is that Troy's D had a lot to do with Idaho's self destruction, but against a more disaplined, senior-laden FL Atl team, I'm not so sure the dominate and force them into as many mistakes. I really have not studied Fl Atl at all, but I would say on first look, I would not feel comfortable taking Troy as double digit fav's in any game. - I hope this was some type of help. If you do more research on this game and get a strong feeling either way, please post.
