ytd 38-16 +2610
PIT +1 110/100
Really expected this line to be PIT-3. Yes Philly is undefeated but Steelers only loss was when Maddox was their QB. Not to mention the AFC is a much stronger conference then the NFC. Huge concern w/ Staley questionable but I think he plays and Philly is giving up a large YPR avg. Most teams are playing catch up and cannot exploit this but Pitt is so balanced I think they can pound Philly and open things up for their stud 1-2 WR duo. Pitt defense is their supposed weak point but they are a top 7 defense in yds per game (282) and the return of Bell helps offset the loss of Hampton. Ordinarily I would be concerned that the Philly blitzing defense rattles big ben but if the Pats couldnt I don't think the eagles will w/ their below avg rush D.
MIA -3 (-120) 110/100
MIAu35 110/100
This game has me worried as I feel the dolphins defense is very close to giving up on the yr and that would kill both bets. But if they still play w/ pride then I see a low scoring win for the fins. Arz only avg's 15 more yds per game then the fins horrible offense and miami is still holding teams to under 300 yds per game compared to 330 for the Cards. Just feel a line of 3 for the home team says these 2 teams are even and regardless of the Cards better record I think Miami is slightly better just because of their defense. Loss of Seau hurts but teams seem to rally around injuries early and then it seems to affect them more a week or 2 later. I am hopeful for a 17-13 type game.
WAS +3 (+100) 100/100
Detroit is now at +12 turnovers on the year and I believe that is going to start to even out. No doubt their solid front 4 is helping that but this defense is still one of the worst in the league giving up 360 yds per game. Washington comes in w/ the #1 yardage defense in the league. Detroit also only averaging 249 yds on offense to Washington's 279. The return of Roy Williams is huge but I really wonder if he is 100% or even close to that. It concerns me that Washington has now scored less than 20 pts in 8 straight games but the Detroit 'D' may be just what the doctor ordered. Ask the cowboys: they were avg'ing 17 pts per game until they scored 31 on Detroit last week. That was the most pts Dallas scored in a game since..last yr..when they played Detroit.
Leans to BUF +3 (teams off SU/ATS wins on MNF vs division opponents are usually bad bets the next week), CIN +1 (they are capable of playing well at home as they did vs Denver and Miami, Dallas overall stats do not warrant them being a road fav here), CINu43.5 (Parcells got back to the running game last week and Cincy has the league's worst run defense. I think you will see alot of running plays by Dallas today).
gl to all today! Cutting all my bets in half today instead of my normal 200 per play. Just feel this is a tough card and I have had a very nice run the last 3 weeks and worried the law of averages will get me today.
PIT +1 110/100
Really expected this line to be PIT-3. Yes Philly is undefeated but Steelers only loss was when Maddox was their QB. Not to mention the AFC is a much stronger conference then the NFC. Huge concern w/ Staley questionable but I think he plays and Philly is giving up a large YPR avg. Most teams are playing catch up and cannot exploit this but Pitt is so balanced I think they can pound Philly and open things up for their stud 1-2 WR duo. Pitt defense is their supposed weak point but they are a top 7 defense in yds per game (282) and the return of Bell helps offset the loss of Hampton. Ordinarily I would be concerned that the Philly blitzing defense rattles big ben but if the Pats couldnt I don't think the eagles will w/ their below avg rush D.
MIA -3 (-120) 110/100
MIAu35 110/100
This game has me worried as I feel the dolphins defense is very close to giving up on the yr and that would kill both bets. But if they still play w/ pride then I see a low scoring win for the fins. Arz only avg's 15 more yds per game then the fins horrible offense and miami is still holding teams to under 300 yds per game compared to 330 for the Cards. Just feel a line of 3 for the home team says these 2 teams are even and regardless of the Cards better record I think Miami is slightly better just because of their defense. Loss of Seau hurts but teams seem to rally around injuries early and then it seems to affect them more a week or 2 later. I am hopeful for a 17-13 type game.
WAS +3 (+100) 100/100
Detroit is now at +12 turnovers on the year and I believe that is going to start to even out. No doubt their solid front 4 is helping that but this defense is still one of the worst in the league giving up 360 yds per game. Washington comes in w/ the #1 yardage defense in the league. Detroit also only averaging 249 yds on offense to Washington's 279. The return of Roy Williams is huge but I really wonder if he is 100% or even close to that. It concerns me that Washington has now scored less than 20 pts in 8 straight games but the Detroit 'D' may be just what the doctor ordered. Ask the cowboys: they were avg'ing 17 pts per game until they scored 31 on Detroit last week. That was the most pts Dallas scored in a game since..last yr..when they played Detroit.
Leans to BUF +3 (teams off SU/ATS wins on MNF vs division opponents are usually bad bets the next week), CIN +1 (they are capable of playing well at home as they did vs Denver and Miami, Dallas overall stats do not warrant them being a road fav here), CINu43.5 (Parcells got back to the running game last week and Cincy has the league's worst run defense. I think you will see alot of running plays by Dallas today).
gl to all today! Cutting all my bets in half today instead of my normal 200 per play. Just feel this is a tough card and I have had a very nice run the last 3 weeks and worried the law of averages will get me today.
Last edited:
