Mon games

gsp

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May 26, 2000
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Sufing the net and reading what some cappers say about the games of the day never ceases to amaze me. Frankly, there's only one game that I can justify a play on any side. First let's take the Den/Utah game.

How can anyone justify playing Den getting less than 10. Not taking anything away from Den but if they were playing last year's Lakers or this year's Dal or SA under similar circumstances (losing at home to this team by 20+ points), the opening line would have been at least 10 and probably more. It comes out at 6' (it's up to 8) which looks fishy as hell to me. Utah is playing the best ball in the NBA right now. If it was any coach other than Jerry Sloan, I would think it was a set-up and Utah might take the night off just as long as they could eek out a win but Sloan will win by 20 every night if he can. I might take a flier on Utah if the line stays under 10 but there's no way I can justify Den tonight. Will be looking at the total.

Dallas is playing about as well as they can at the moment being one of only two teams left that is unbeaten against the side and spread (Utah being the other) but 13 is one of those magic numbers that any team might get a cover on. It's one of those numbers that a team can coast in to a 10 or 11 point win after having a 20 point lead. NBA teams don't like to see a big leads go below 10 but they don't seem to mind 13 or 14. Here again I can't get excited about a side in this game so will be looking for a total.

That brings us to the only game where I feel a side might be worth looking at. Even when the Clippers were a terrible team I made good money taking them at home as 4 or more dogs. This year they are not that bad. Under Dunleavy they showed signs of life last year and they are better now. Dunleavy has always been able to win anywhere he's been. Just not quite enough to suit management but seems to be a pretty good fit for the Clippers. As I said when Det went to Tor, they are not as good on the road as at home and with Larry Brown in the hospital, I don't look for their d to be as focused as normal. It wouldn't surprise me if this line dropped a little before gametime.
 

Casey

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GSP

Completely agree with your reasoning on the Dallas game. Lakers/Atl was almost the exact same scenario last night - game could have gone either way with the number set at 14. Have watched Mavs for many years and it is amazing how many times they have led by 20 late, but end up winning by 13, 14 or so after the garbage minutes. Anything can happen in the NBA and I have a hard time laying DD, even when team is at home, unless a back to back road team is involved.
 

gsp

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May 26, 2000
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Going with

LAC + 6

Just a guess but I would say there's a good chance of the totals going under, under, over.

Good luck everyone
 

lowell

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Jul 6, 2003
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nice hit. how about utah. they are playing great ball.
 
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