Friday Hoops

[MrChristo]

ats: 7-5 (+1.41)
SU dogs: 0-1 (-1)

SA -6

League: 3-17 (Av. loss 11.1) home 5+ dog, 1 day off an away OT game!! [Bost]

SA did nothing special beating Philli last night. They shot only 40.8%, and no-one played more than 37 minutes.
SA are 8-2 their last 10 trips to Boston (Av. win 13.0).
Boston haven't impressed me at all, so no reason why the main Western contender won't easily beat a middle of the road team at best.

Miami -4

League: 40-28-1(Av. win 7.1) any home fav, 1 day off 10- ats win as away 4- dog. [Mia]
13-3 (this no...Av. win 7.4) if opp off 10+ ats loss.

Utah started the season with some wins over some bad teams (and a Wallace-less Pistons), but have since scraped passed Charlotte and flogged in Orlando, allowing 105+ in both games. Miami could hit 110+ tonight, and that should be enough to win and cover...surely! :scared


I have Dallas in a 1-11 spot (av. win 2.2), but I couldn't play NY tonight.

Good Luck all

 

[MrChristo]

Timed that badly...SA down to -5.5! :cursin:

Portland -3

League: 9-3-1 (Av. win 11.3) any home fav, 1 day off 20+ ats loss as home 4- fav. [Port]

Portland themselves tend to bounce back, going 25-11 last 3 years after a loss of 10+.

'Blazers have had problems scoring...But, they've played LAC, NJ, Boston and Memphis...all in the top 11 for FG% allowed!
The one poor defensive team they have played is Toronto (ranked 25th FG% allowed, 22nd scoring against), and Portland scored 105 @ home and 97 away.

Now they face the Bucks who are 22nd for FG% allowed and give up 99.5 ppg (25th).

Portland finally put up some points in this one, and hopefully gets some stops as well.

LAL @ Phoenix under 206.5

League: 7-16 under (Av. 184.7!) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 10+ ats win as home 4- fav. [LAL]
2-12 under (Av. 173.7!!) if opp off any ats win.

Phoenix playing great perimeter D right now, Kobe and Butler will struggle to put up big numbers. Lakers will be forced to play some D to keep this one close.
Both teams shot over 51% last game.

Think this total is a little higher than it sould be.

 

[THE ONLY ONE]

Good luck tonight MC

 

[MrChristo]

Sactown/Memphis under 203

League: 4-14 under (av. 181.9) home 5+ fav, 2 days off 10- ats loss as home 10+ fav. [Sac]
1-9 under (av. 186.0) if total 190+
0-5 under (av. 187.0) if total 200+

League: 9-9 under (av. 188.2) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 20+ ats win as any away dog. [Memph]
2-8 under (av. 179.8) if opp last home.

Memphis shot 54.2% @ Portland (inc. 53.8% 3's), and this should level out.
Sac and Chic hit a combined 46% 3's last game, and Memphis have much better perimeter D than Chicago.