Indianapolis at Chicago- Indy seems to be clicking on all cylinders, but we will fade them here, as the Bears are silently improving led by solid line play on both sides of the ball. They get Thomas Jones back today, and we think that the tandem of Jones and Anthony Thomas can get rolling against an Indy rush D allowing 4.4ypr. Indy's 392 ypg defense is not the stuff that 8 + point road favorites are made of. There is quite a bit of technical support in this game, as the Bears are 15-1$ at home against the AFC and 14-5$ since 99 as a HD. We also have a dynamite 22-0$ system that tells us to fade 7> favorite off a SU win by 3 or more as a 7 pt. favorite providing the over/under line is not more than 47 (MTI Annual). Bears fit here, and we'll take the not-as-bad-as-you-hink club gaining confidence with the very generous amount of points.
San Diego at Oakland- No doubt, Diego one of the great storied in the NFL this year. However, we are not sure the talent on the field justifies this line. Oakland no great shakes either, but they are getting healthier and we expect a big effort from some of their veterans off the bye week, a time when home dogs usually bite. Our power ranking show that this game should be pick em, San Diego -1, so we are getting some line value, and again a boat load of systems support our side. Home dogs off road win, etc., etc. We respect Schottenheimer, but overall we think Oakland is a bit better than their record, and San Diego is not as good as theirs. We went back to 93 and couldn't find the last time San Diego was favored on the road against the division...We stopped looking.
Green Bay at Houston- Home Dogs that allowed 40 or more the previous week are a 70% PLAY ON the next week (New Orleans fit this system last week), and we are willing to give Houston another shot to prove that they actually are a good young team, and not just a mediocre pretender. Too much talent on the offense, and too good of a coach. They have covered 6 out of their last 8 as a home dog and one loss was to the Vikings (by 6, gave up a TD) in overtime. Packers off of emotional win vs. Vikings, with double revenger against St.Louis next and playoff revenge against Philly after that. Green Bay fought long and hard to overcome their early season woes and get back to the right side of .500. This could be the game they let down.
Detroit at Minny- Strong lean to Minnesota asthey are 34-3-1 $ when they win SU off back to back losses. Minny +48 ypg, Detroit -101ypg. Minnesota does have a propensity to coast when they have a big lead, though. Considering laying the points.
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati- Another home dog off a win, and the Bengals beat Denver and roasted Dallas their last 2 on this field. Road win at Wash last week shows that this could be an improving team worth watching down the stretch. Lean to the Orange and Black.
Atlanta at NYGiants- The Giants lost as an 11 point favorite to the Falcons last year, and that sent their whole season down the tubes. They remember that, and this is a very impressive statistical home dog. Worth a look.
Washington at Philly- The same system fading Indy tells us to play against Philly here. Reid 26-10-2$ against the division, though. Would only take the points, but probably will pass.
San Diego at Oakland- No doubt, Diego one of the great storied in the NFL this year. However, we are not sure the talent on the field justifies this line. Oakland no great shakes either, but they are getting healthier and we expect a big effort from some of their veterans off the bye week, a time when home dogs usually bite. Our power ranking show that this game should be pick em, San Diego -1, so we are getting some line value, and again a boat load of systems support our side. Home dogs off road win, etc., etc. We respect Schottenheimer, but overall we think Oakland is a bit better than their record, and San Diego is not as good as theirs. We went back to 93 and couldn't find the last time San Diego was favored on the road against the division...We stopped looking.
Green Bay at Houston- Home Dogs that allowed 40 or more the previous week are a 70% PLAY ON the next week (New Orleans fit this system last week), and we are willing to give Houston another shot to prove that they actually are a good young team, and not just a mediocre pretender. Too much talent on the offense, and too good of a coach. They have covered 6 out of their last 8 as a home dog and one loss was to the Vikings (by 6, gave up a TD) in overtime. Packers off of emotional win vs. Vikings, with double revenger against St.Louis next and playoff revenge against Philly after that. Green Bay fought long and hard to overcome their early season woes and get back to the right side of .500. This could be the game they let down.
Detroit at Minny- Strong lean to Minnesota asthey are 34-3-1 $ when they win SU off back to back losses. Minny +48 ypg, Detroit -101ypg. Minnesota does have a propensity to coast when they have a big lead, though. Considering laying the points.
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati- Another home dog off a win, and the Bengals beat Denver and roasted Dallas their last 2 on this field. Road win at Wash last week shows that this could be an improving team worth watching down the stretch. Lean to the Orange and Black.
Atlanta at NYGiants- The Giants lost as an 11 point favorite to the Falcons last year, and that sent their whole season down the tubes. They remember that, and this is a very impressive statistical home dog. Worth a look.
Washington at Philly- The same system fading Indy tells us to play against Philly here. Reid 26-10-2$ against the division, though. Would only take the points, but probably will pass.
