NCAA 11/29-12/04

[Master Capper]

Season System Plays 147-99-1 +38.1 units
Last Week 8-3
This Week 0-0
Halftimes 4-2
Rushing Dog Theory 22-16
Defensive Dogs 6-6



Wrapping up the regular season this week boys and heres what were working with. If you like a play post it so we can all get on it.



WRITE-IN GAME

Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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11/29 137 LOUISIANA TECH 62? 60 60 +135
5:00p 138 RICE 3 3 3 3 3 -155

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Thursday, December 2nd

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MAC CHAMPIONSHIP
Ford Field - Detroit, MI
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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12/02 201 MIAMI OHIO 1?-10 1 2 1? -135
4:30p 202 TOLEDO 65? 64 63? +115

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Saturday, December 4th
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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12/04 203 VIRGINIA TECH 49 49 49 +245
10:00a 204 MIAMI FLORIDA 6? 7 6? 6? -285

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12/04 205 ARMY 56 56 56 +475
11:30a 206 NAVY 11? 12? 13 12? -600

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12/04 207 USC 20? 20? 21? 21 -2800
1:30p 208 UCLA 58 58 58 +1650

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12/04 209 MICHIGAN STATE 6? 7 7 -285
8:05p 210 HAWAII 15 245u75 71? +245

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SEC CHAMPIONSHIP
Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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12/04 211 TENNESSEE U 46 47 47 +550
3:00p 212 AUBURN 13 12? 13 13 -700

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BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP
Arrowhead Stadium - Kansas City, MO
Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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12/04 213 COLORADO 55 56 56 +1450
5:00p 214 OKLAHOMA 21 21? 21? 21 -2400

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WRITE-IN GAMES

Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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12/04 247 CALIFORNIA 22? 22? 22? 22? -2600
4:30p 248 SO MISSISSIPPI 53? 53? 52? +1550

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12/04 249 PITTSBURGH U 7 8? 7 7 -300
8:00a 250 SOUTH FLORIDA 53? 53? 52? +250

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12/04 251 LOUISVILLE 27? 28 28 27? -3200
11:30a 252 TULANE 74 74 73? +1950

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WRITE-IN ADDED GAME

Time Gm. # Open Stardu Mirage CRIS Olympc CRISML

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12/04 253 FLORIDA INTL +500
1:00p 254 FLORIDA ATLANTIC 13-10 13 13 13-10 -625

 

[Blackman]

First look I have to say I like Toledo as a dog in the MAC Championship.

 

[Master Capper]

Playing


La Tech+3 (Joede's special)


Toledo+2
Rockets looked like world beaters in the 2nd half of the BGSU game and I think that will carry over in this tilt. Miami beat them earlier in the year but I still think Toledo is the best team in the MAC. Like backing a experienced gutsy SR QB in a game of this magnitude and also think the turf favors the speed of the Rockets.

Army and Navy over 56
I may scratch this game if weather becomes a factor but we know going in that Army will struggle to stop the bone and Navy should ring the bell frequently. Army also has a above average offense that has put up points nearly all year.

Mich State-6.5
I don't think John Smith will let the Spartans take it easy for this game and I cant see the Bows matching the physical play of the Spartans. Look for the Spartans to come out strong to erase that bad taste they got in the loss to PSU.

Auburn-12.5
I dont see how this game will be anything different from the first time that these two teams met. Auburn is the best all around team in the country with extreme balance on both sides of the ball and the defense is absolutely killer similiar to LSU last year with the speed. Vols come into this game with a glaring weakness at QB which Auburn should exploit, I do not look for this line to stay where it is at and it should rise to around 15 by gametime/

Oklahoma under 56
I cant see the Buffs moving the ball consistently on Okie thus I feel they will contribute very little to the total in this one

Cal over 53.5
Check the weather in this one but we know that Cal will score and SMiss will have to abandon their run game and try to play catch up in this one.

Tulane+28
IMO Lousiville is a top five team that could give Aub, Okie or USC a game on a neutral field. I think this game will be more like the game was suppose to be with Cinci before Geno got hurt. Tulane has been one of the top Conf USA teams in the 2nd half of the year and the offense seems to be clicking

Waiting to decide on:
Va Tech-Mia, two solid defenses and no matter which way I go with Tech I usually lose. I like them in this game with the DR leadership at QB but going to hold off and think about this play.

USC-UCLA
A ton of points in a backyard game so I lean UCLA but their defense is a typical Pac 10 defense soft in the interior line so that scares me that USC will just line up and manhandle them in the trenches.

Pitt-South Slorida
You would think that Pitt should win this game going away especially after watching Memphis destroy S. Fla but is not South Florida a beast at home?

Fla Int-Fla Atlantic
Know very little about either team will have to educate myself on each team.

 

[RexBudler]

Who would have thought that the over in the Army game would ever be that high(compared to years past)..I like that and I also love the over in the UCLA/USC game..

 

[ageecee]

Like Navy in a rout.

MC very nice record you have for the college football.

 

[Master Capper]

TEMPE, Ariz. (AP) _ Arizona State quarterback Andrew Walter will miss the team's bowl game after separating his right shoulder in the 18th-ranked Sun Devils' 34-27 upset loss at Arizona on Friday.

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That means the senior's record-breaking college career is over, leaving him No. 5 on the Pac-10 career list for yards passing. Walter broke John Elway's Pac-10 record for career touchdown with 85. Elway had 77 at Stanford.

Walter was hurt in the fourth quarter Friday when his shoulder was slammed to the ground on a tackle. Tests Saturday revealed a third-degree shoulder separation, ruling him out for any bowl game.

Arizona State (8-3, 5-3 Pac-10) probably is headed for the Holiday Bowl, with sophomore Sam Keller taking over for Walter. Arizona State is expected to get the Holiday Bowl bid if No. 1 Southern California plays for the national championship in the Orange Bowl and California goes to the Rose Bowl.

Walter was among the nation's leaders in touchdown passes this season with a school-record 30. He threw for 320 yards Friday to finish with 3,150 _ the third consecutive season he has topped the 3,000-yard mark. His career total is 10,617 yards.

Walter also set school records for career touchdown passes, career completions (777), single-season yards passing (3,877 in 2002), single-game yards passing (538 against Oregon in 2002).


AP NEWS

 

[Master Capper]

Today's top story ... Tennessee QB situation
Head coach Phillip Fulmer stated that even if true freshman Brent Schaeffer could return to action by this weekend, junior Rick Clausen would be the starting QB for the SEC Championship game versus Auburn; Schaeffer, who broke his collarbone during the Oct. 30 game against South Carolina, has been throwing on the side, but has yet to be medically cleared for contact


ACC

Virginia
The Cavaliers have announced that the team would bypass any bowl games that conflict with final exams; This decision has created a lot of unanswered bowl berths, which may not be determined until after the Virginia Tech/Miami game this upcoming weekend


Big East

Pittsburgh
Even if the Panthers would lose to USF this Saturday, it appears that the University has already wrapped up the automatic BCS bid, which is given to the Big East champ; Jerry Palm of CollegeBCS.com suggests that Syracuse’s deficit (in the BCS rankings) is too large to overcome


Pac-10

Arizona State
Senior QB Andrew Walter will be unable to play in the Sun Devils’ bowl game due to a shoulder separation suffered in Friday’s loss to arch rival Arizona; Sophomore QB Sam Keller is expected to make his first collegiate start in ASU’s bowl game

Stanford
On Sunday night, ESPN.com reported that sources close to the Cardinal program indicate that head coach Buddy Teevens will be relieved of his duties, and an announcement is expected as early as today

 

[greed]

Tulane

Tulane

Leaning towards Tulane also as Louisville has clinced their bowl game. They have nothing to play for and just played against their biggest rival. See a letdown situation.

Michigan State biggest advantage 2 weeks to prepare and to get healthy. Seriously wouldn't be surprised to see the Spartans score at least 55 points in that game. As this team is far better than the Northwestern team that played Hawaii last week. I think the Rainbows victory gives us some value here.

Actually looking at a possible play with South Florida as Pittsburgh does not run the ball as well as Memphis. That Big East is awfully weak and I think South Florida gives them a game. Conference USA might actually be equal to the Big East.

Other leans Oklahoma, Toledo, and Auburn.

 

[taoist]

...thinking about taking all of the dogs and the ML's. :scared

 

[Master Capper]

Just took my La tech killing (with the help of my bud Joede) and doubled up on AUburn at 13. I would be surprised if this line does not hit 14.5 by gametime. I also played MSU quite large this week even though I hate playing island games but I cant see this team not going all out for a solid coach like Smith.

I was just wondering if anyone thinks the Louisville and Tulane game could see a total of 85-90 points?

 

[Joe De]

anybody have a feel on the piits/south fla game.

Why is the line moving in favor of south fla??

Big East vs Conference USA teams ...anybody with past performance on these conferences...

Something is up! I show Pitts by 11...line dropped to 7 from 8'

 

[Blackman]

I have a lean to Pitt in that one -- they have a ton to play for at this point with a potential BCS bid on the line (going to come down to a tiebreaker and whoever is ranked higher will get the spot). BUT...Pitt has been poor on the road outside of the ND game (where the defense did give up 38 but their QB was lights out)

Agree with you that I have the line at double digits, but this is one of the times that I'm uneasy about the line disparity. Need to research this a bit more.

 

[AR182]

i like so. fla.

so. fla. is a rushing dog.

pitt. is basically one dimensional.

5 of pitt. 7 wins were by 5 or less.

they have won no games on the road by more than 3 points.

it doesn't mean that because a team needs to win to get to a bowl will win......ie....

iowa st. needed to win last week to play for the big 12 championship....but lost.

boston college needed to win to get a bcs bowl.....but lost.

tcu & arkansas needed wins to get bowl eligible....but lost.

good luck.

 

[Master Capper]

Off the top of my head I don't believe that Pitt has blown anyone out all year, all their games seem to be decided by a small margin. Don't be fooled by S. Fla's showing against Memphis as they got behind early and had to abandon their power running game. South Florida has been a bear at home, I think it's a good game to stay off or play the dog.

 

[Master Capper]

Today's top story ... Crowton and DiNardo fired
Indiana will announce the firing of head coach Gerry DiNardo after three seasons and eight wins. ?Meanwhile in Provo, Gary Crowton will be fired after three straight losing seasons. ?


ACC

Florida State
Senior QB Chris Rix will get the start in the Seminoles? Jan. 1 Gator Bowl contest against West Virginia; Head coach Bobby Bowden, who, on Tuesday, announced that Rix would get the starting nod over sophomore Wyatt Sexton, indicated that the decision to start Rix has nothing to do with the fact that it?s the senior?s final collegiate game ?


Big Ten

Illinois
Various reports indicate that fired Florida head coach Ron Zook may be a candidate to take over as the next head coach of the Illini; Zook was rumored to have interviewed with current Illinois AD Ron Guenther on Tuesday, but those rumors could not be confirmed ?


Big XII

Colorado
Head coach Gary Barnett was named the AP Big XII Coach of the Year on Tuesday ? ? However, the news of his award was met with some opposition from certain member?s of the CU faculty ? )

Oklahoma
Senior standout DT Dusty Dvoracek, who was dismissed from the team in mid-September due to instances of violent behavior, could possibly return to the Sooners in 2005, according to head coach Bob Stoops

Independents

Notre Dame
On Tuesday, the University pulled the plug on the Tyrone Willingham era, citing a sub-par winning percentage and a lack of confidence that the program was moving in the right direction ?


Pac-10

Arizona
Sophomore Kris Heavner, who was the Wildcats? starting QB from midway through the 2003 season until midway through this season, has decided to leave the program and is expected to transfer to Baylor; Heavner lost his starting job to redshirt freshman Richard Kovalcheck after the Cats? loss to Oregon on Oct. 16 ?

California
Senior starting WR Jonathan Makonnen, who has missed the past four games with a bruised liver, is expected to play in Saturday?s regular-season finale at Southern Miss; Makonnen was able to participate in a full practice on Tuesday and reported no ill-effects

Southern California
Junior starting MLB Lofa Tatupu is questionable for Saturday?s clash with UCLA due to a chest injury suffered during last weekend?s win over Notre Dame; If Tatupu is unable to go, fellow junior Collin Ashton would likely get the nod ?


UCLA
Sophomore starting RB Maurice Drew left practice early for the second day in a row and is now questionable for Saturday?s game versus No. 1 USC; Drew is still hampered by the high ankle sprain he suffered during the Nov. 6 game against Washington State; Senior Manuel White is prepared to replace Drew in the starting lineup

Washington
Could Tyrone Willingham resurface with the Huskies?; New UW athletic director Todd Turner had tried to hire Willingham three years ago when Turner was the AD at Vanderbilt


SEC

Ole Miss
After a couple days of speculation about whether or not head coach David Cutcliffe and his staff would retain their jobs, Cutcliffe met with athletic director Pete Boone and president Robert Khayat on Tuesday for an evaluation of the program; At day?s end, however, future plans for the program (i.e., changes to the coaching staff) have yet to be deter

 

[Master Capper]

Thursday, December 2


Toledo SERIES: 0-3 L3? 13-3-1 after scoring 30 > pts? Rockets on 19-5-1 ATS run vs con opp? 5-1 w/rev off BB SU wins?8-4 L12 MAC dog? 1-7-1 away vs opp off DD SU win

Miami, Ohio 6-0 off SU win vs opp off BB SU wins? 8-1 vs con opp off BB SU wins? 21-4 ATS when allow 30 < pts? Red Hawks on 13-6 ATS run vs con opp? won 11-3-04 meeting 23-16 as a 5-point favorite





Saturday, December 4

Virginia Tech SERIES: 5-1 L6 / 3-1 L4 away? 1-8 away vs opp w/rev off SU win? 2-11 vs opp w/rev off DD SU win? 5-15 when allow > 20 pts (Canes averaging 34 ppg)? 5-8 dog vs rev

MIAMI FLA 5-0 home w/rev? 7-2 fav w/rev? 10-3 off SUATS win vs ACC opp?2-9 home w/rest? 5-12 L17 HF



Army SERIES: 1-6 L7 (lost past two meetings by 46 and 28 pts)?0-8 home or neutral vs non con opp? Cadets on 7-50 SU run? 6-19 when allow 30 > pts

Navy 13-1 away vs opp off BB SU losses? 28-3 when win SU as favs? 9-2 when score 30 > pts?

13-3 away off SU home win? 6-3 away vs rev



Usc SERIES: 5-0 L5 -but- 2-5 L7 away? 11-4 away vs con opp? 10-4 DD RF?s? 20-5 vs rev? 25-8 when score > 24 pts? 28-13 when favored (12-6 L18 RF?s)

UCLA 19-13 dog vs opp off SU win? 2-19-1 w/con rev when allow 28 > pts? 4-8 dog off SUATS win

2-4 w/rest? lost last 3 meetings by 42-14 avg



Michigan St. 5-3 second BB RG? SMITH: 12-8 career RF? 1-11 ATS when fav vs opp off SU win? 1-5 LRG... 3-13 when allow 30 > pts? 9-16 fav vs non con opp

HAWAII 19-1 SU vs < .500 opp? 9-1 non con HD? 4-1 vs Big 10? 17-8 when score 30 > pts @ home



Tennessee 8-5 away w/rev? 0-40-1 ATS when lose SU?8-38 when fail to score 20 > pts? Lost 34-10 at Knoxville 10/02/04? FULMER: 7-3 SU & ATS off 3 ATS losses... 10-13-1 dog

AUBURN SERIES: 3-5 L8 ? 18-5 ATS when win SU vs SEC opp? 3-1 DD fav vs foe with .750 > win pct?Tigers on 16-8 run vs SEC opp? 6-35 when score < 21 pts



Colorado SERIES: lost last 2 meetings by avg of 15 ppg ? 11-3 dog > 13 pts? 16-7 dog w/rev? 25-14 dog vs con opp? 4-21 ATS when lose SU?

Oklahoma 2-8 fav w/rest? 8-51 fav when allow 20 > pts (4-23 away)? 13-22 away vs opp off SU win?

21-39 fav off BB SU wins



WRITE IN GAMES



Pittsburgh 4-22 RF 6 > pts (2-6 L8 RF)? 2-5 away off BB SU wins? 11-25 fav vs opp off SU loss? 11-20 away vs opp off SU loss? 10-17 fav vs non con opp

SOUTH FLA 20-4 SU off SU loss? 9-3 home vs non con opp? 5-3 home vs .500 > opp? 6-3 home vs opp off SU win? 2-10 when allow > 21 pts



Louisville SERIES: 3-1 L4 / 4-1 L5 away... 5-0 fav vs rev? 6-1 vs con opp? 40-9 when win SU away

TULANE 6-3 L9 HD? 2-10 LHG? 2-10-1 w/rev vs con opp off DD SU win? 2-4 home off away



California 6-3 away off BB SU wins? 2-5 DD fav vs non con opp? 4-8-1 L13 RF? 12-18 fav off SU win

SOU MISS 5-2 LHG? 10-7 home w/rev? 1-8 when allow 30 > pts (Cal avg. 38.4 ppg)? 2-11 vs non con opp?1-4 Game Eleven


INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK



MIAMI FLORIDA is 141-0 SU in games in which they score more than 30 points.

 

[halfbuck34]

MC
Great info!
Definately with you on the Toledo and Tulane picks. Navy will win by at least 3 touchdowns!
Not sold on the Auburn, I'm leaning towards it, but probably won't pull the trigger...just sit back and watch.
Thanks again for the info.

 

[Master Capper]

Today's top story ... White wins Unitas
On Wednesday, Oklahoma senior QB Jason White was announced as the winner of the Johnny Unitas Award, which is presented to the nation’s top senior QB … Click here for more on this story (L.A. Times)

ACC

Clemson
Sources close to the program indicated that head coach Tommy Bowden has fired O-coordinator Mike O’Cain and D-coordinator John Lovett

Miami, Fla
Senior starting DT Santonio Thomas and redshirt freshman TE Greg Olsen remain questionable for Saturday’s tilt with Virginia Tech; Thomas, who is hampered by a left knee sprain, has missed the past four games, but has been able to practice on a limited basis; Olsen, who is recovering from a broken left wrist, has been unable to practice this week


Big East

Pittsburgh
Head coach Walt Harris has been voted Big East Coach of the Year by his peers


Independents

Notre Dame
As a result of the University’s decision not to retain the services of head coach Tyrone Willingham, the program has selected D-coordinator Kent Baer to be the head coach of the Irish for its Dec. 28 Insight Bowl contest


SEC

Arkansas
D-coordinator Dave Wommack, who has spent the past four seasons with the Razorbacks including the past three as D-coordinator, has been let go by head coach Houston Nutt

Florida
According to sources close to the program, head coach Ron Zook informed his players during a team meeting on Wednesday that he needs more time before deciding whether he would coach in the team’s Dec. 31 Peach Bowl

Ole Miss
On Wednesday afternoon, the University decided to relieve David Cutcliffe of his head coaching duties; Cutcliffe, who has coached the Rebs for the past six seasons, suffered just his first losing season this past year, and had compiled a 44-29 record; Terms of his buyout are still being discussed, as Cutcliffe still had three years remaining on a contract that paid him $1.2 million annually


Tennessee
Junior starting OG Cody Douglas and freshman starting CB Roshaun Fellows are expected to play in Saturday’s SEC Championship versus Auburn; Both players, who are nursing foot injuries, were listed as ‘doubtful’ earlier in the week, but head coach Phillip Fulmer has upgraded each players’ status to ‘probable’ … … Fulmer and local authorities are currently looking into details surrounding an early morning bar fight, which took place on Wednesday


Misc.

-- Florida State and Oklahoma have agreed to a home-and-home series, which will begin in 2010; The Sooners will host the first meeting on Sept. 11, 2010, and the Noles will host on Sept. 17, 2011

-- USF and North Carolina are close to finalizing a two-game home-and-home series between 2006-2008 …

 

[Master Capper]

Im thinking about buying back my Toledo bet as too many people are now on them, I can't believe the amount offolks on the Rockets tonight. Usually when one side becomes overloaded the other side seems to win the game that is at least what has happened to me in the past.

 

[vinnie]

I come up with Toledo too but didn't put it because of the same reason.