mac championship: toledo vs. miami .....

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gman

gman

was on miami a month ago with the under, after being dead wrong against n. ill. the second half, i'm going to coattail you on this toledo pick. Good luck this week.
 
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spang

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Any thought on the total G ? I initially thought that Miami has just enough D to slow down the Rockets a bit. Both Ds in fact have seen just about anything the opposition can throw at them so I'm leaning slightly to the under. :shrug:

Damn, I just looked it up and the last ten matchups between these two have gone under this number. I'll bite :scared
 
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gardenweasel

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"the bunker"
spang said basically the same thing that i wrote a few panels up.....there is some precedent for these 2 to go under..

i sense a dogfight.....but,i like toledo`s recent success vs the upper echelon mac...and if you tease,you can get over a t.d....

still,i`ll ride the rockets +2 for something also...g,you`ve been money,my friend....

would be a great way to finish the mac season...

g.l.
 

bombercoops

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Like the idea of teasing the rockets tonight. May tease the total up or maybe auburn down to go with it!
 

Bill

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Gman, I've got three parlays and two teasers tied to Toledo tonight. Had them last week (or week before) and they waited till the end of the game to take me off the hook. I am too old and my heart cannot stand that suspense. I want them to bury Miami early and often.

Thanks for your analysis.

Bill
 

gman2

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just a couple of replies and articles before kickoff.

laburns:
im not too worried about the early move from toledo -1.5 to miami -2. it looks like its gonna settle around pick at kickoff (which is what i expected the original line to be). miami is the defending mac champ after all, so theyre gonna get their share of backers along with the fact that theyre a good team. im just 'trusting my stuff' on this one. bg opened as a chalk and line dropped closer to gametime last week. looks like its the same type of thing here. thats mac line movement for ya. some real stange moves on these games. some have been accurate, some have been dead wrong.

spang/weasel:
history says under, but toledo on the carpet makes it a pass for me on the total. im not sure what kind of game miami wants to play tonight. i thought the under in the akron/miami game would come through, but miami couldnt shut down frye (as im sure youd agree, class just won out there, but akron offense did lots of good things). im just not sure what to make of this total. if im not mistaken, linesmaker hung a higher # on this game than they did for the first meeting, even after that one ended 23-16 (although there were lots of chances for pts in that one, and weather played a role).truthfully, im stumped by the total, thus a definite pass for me.

all in all, not too concerned about # of posts on this team or that team. before the season started, i felt UT was the best team in the conference. so no reason for me not to put my money on them in a pick'em, winner-take-all game on a neutral field (that favors them anyway). ultimately, theyll decide the game. if theyre good enough (and as good as i think they are), then theyll win and cash. if not, then no regrets. just will give credit to miami for beating the team i thought was best twice in the same season.

some articles on this one:

"miami wants two from toledo"
http://news.enquirer.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20041202/SPT01/412020383/1078/SPT

"toledo ready for 2nd shot"
http://www.cincypost.com/2004/12/02/mufoot12-02-2004.html

miami head coach hoeppner press conference
http://muredhawks.collegesports.com/sports/m-footbl/spec-rel/113004aaa.html

"no surprises: ut/miami know what to expect"
http://www.toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20041202/SPORTS11/412020456

various other toledo stuff:
http://www.toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll/section?Category=SPORTS11
 

gardenweasel

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"the bunker"
g...i just came from another site in which the majority was strongly on miami.......

and i`d like to add that as great as madjack`s is,it isn`t operating in a vaccuum....there are other opinions out there...

so,just because many solid cappers here like the rockets,doesn`t mean that`s the case in it`s entirety...

although,tonight,it looks like the line is moving toward toledo...

i like the rocket`s/under tease....we`ll see...

plenty of "buzz" on this one...

g.l.,guys...should be plenty of drama...
 

xlilweezeex

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hmmm...

hmmm...

line moves from miami -1 to toledo -2 at sportsbook.com....just like the texas vs. texas tech game earlier this year....
 

Bill

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Thank you!! 2K in the bank. Did not have to sweat this to much.

Great call and strong confidence.

Appreciate your contribution and knowledge.

Bill
 

bombercoops

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Great call gman! Made all of some $$ here tonight by the looks of things! Looking forward to next season in the MAC already. Well done mate!
 

gardenweasel

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"the bunker"
very good...although there were a few moments there when i was cussing myself for teasing and playing the under.....

whatever...a big start on the weekend...

and a fine way to close out the mac.....

i guess that makes you the "mac daddy"....

true dat`.... :clap:
 

gman2

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weasel:

mac season not done yet brother. lots of money to be made in the bowls w/mac teams. already contemplating a potential big one (and it aint toledo).

btw- i cant remember the last time i have ever laid more than a FG in the nfl, but i absolutely love the ravens this week. please talk me out of them. i think they can win like 20-7 or 23-10 on sunday. it goes against all of my capping approaches with dogs, but really like that chalk. insanity?
 
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