Playing these . . .

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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NCAA YTD: 55-49 (+3.58*)
NFL YTD: 33-34 (-1.06*)


New England(-7')(-108) over Cleveland (1*)
- - I liked New England before the regime change in Cleveland because of the value the champs always bring on gameday, before being reminded that Belichick lost 11-19 in 2000 in his only return to the Cleveland sideline, and after weighing the opportunity presented by the biggest NFL middle opportunity I can recall holding.


Buffalo(-3')(-123) over Miami (1*)
- - Before the season I was almost sure Buffalo under new HC Mike Mularkey would hit a stride at some point that would smartly temper some of the frustrations of recent seasons, but I was waiting for evidence. After seeing evidence of the moment against Arizona, I jumped on board against the Jets (and stayed on board through a spot I hated in Foxboro), and right now I think their present form still has legs. QB Bledsoe managing this team while giving a field goal in Miami is far less chilling to me than a banged up QB Feeley needing to have his OL pave the way to victory over the buyont Bills. :142lmao:


Jacksonville(+3)(-108) over Pittsburgh (1*)
- - Last week's trip to the Metrodome played out quite well as a tune up for the Jags offense under Leftwich and their defense against a mobile QB with weapons, and as a set up for a super charged prime time atmosphere with their season on the line. I've watched for and seen signs of a strain of late from the once beaten Steelers, and a 3rd road game in 4 weeks doesn't help even with RB Staley (quite probable) and WR Burress (we'll see) likely to join the fray and give what they can to reignite a surge. That's the way I see this one shaping up when the two minute warning arrives.
http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/04336/419800.stm


Those plays are 1-2-3 in the Hilton Contest this week - no telling what that means, but I'll cap the games like the NFL season has reached December, and not let this or that send me off the deep end.

Back with more I strongly suspect.


GL
 

lostinamerica

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New England(-7')(-108) at Beslinesports on Monday . . . For four solid years I have posted my plays when I'm ready to contribute whatever write-ups and analysis I have to offer the forum - if that contribution was to shout out about a sweet line, the timing would have been such. For four years I have posted a W/L record that is second to none in accuracy. My NCAA card for this week included one (or was it two?) plays that listed both lines I was playing based on what I got in the process of committing to full unit wagers, just as I have done for years . . .Take my $1.50 plays and my record for the season for what they are worth. :)

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Adding . . .

Indianapolis(-12)(-108) over Tennessee (1*)
- - Indianapolis is on a mission, so much so that IMO their defense is making solid contributions. Indy is well rested to start a December push while Tennessee arives at the end of a three game divisional road trip. The livest of dogs would not get my money here, while Indy will keep its foot on the accelerator unless and until it just isn't necessary.
Colts will test Titans offense
Titans playing station-to-station football


Detroit(-6)(-108) over Arizona (1*)
- - The themes here for me are: (1) a veteran defense against a rookie QB; and (2) a team that has had an eye on the postseason all year long and hasn't quit but deservedly has nothing to show for the moment but five straight losses, against a Dennis Green team that looks on the downside of a peak. I think Detroit has the energy and QB Harrington has enough confidence to stand up as the better team today.


GL
 

lostinamerica

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On the cusp of 4-0 so far for the day. I'll believe it when I see it. Nevertheless, I'll chase with the bankroll in good shape.

PARLAY San Diego(-3) w/ Denver/San Diego(Ov46') for 1* @ 2.6/1
- - Marty Schottenheimer earns my money today.

GL
 

lostinamerica

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Dallas(+7)(-108) over Seattle (1*)

- - By my calculations, Seattle is just 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games, and the 3-0 SU (1-2 ATS) came against teams with an 8-28 W-L record, while the 0-5 SU (0-5 ATS) came against teams with a 33-27 W-L record. This has all been well hashed out as evidence of an ongoing malaise with Holmgren's team since the collapse against St. Louis. (Seattle Post-Intelligencer (12/1/04): "The passing game isn't working because the receivers can't catch the ball, and quarterback Matt Hasselbeck's bruised thigh and ribs are bothering him more than anyone will admit. The running game went back into hibernation against the Bills because opponents don't have to respect the current state of the passing game, and Shaun Alexander doesn't get the ball enough when the Seahawks fall behind 10-0 and 24-3 . . . The defense continues to have trouble getting off the field on third downs and coordinator Ray Rhodes is running out of ways to mask players forced into the starting lineup because of injuries . . . The special teams have been anything but special. Sunday's performance against the Bills was the worst by these units since the 1997 season that got (assistant coach) Dave Arnold fired.")

That's pretty much why I can't make a call on a jacked up Seattle squad atoning for the Buffalo debacle with prime time passion and playmaking while squaring off against a Parcells squad off a lift and the traditional Thanksgiving rest . . . I think either team will be thrilled to emerge with any kind of victory, and both will have legitimate opportunities to achieve it, so Dallas(+7) rates a play.

By the way, Overs are 5-2 in the last 7 Dallas games and 6-1 in the last 7 Seattle games.

GL

******************************

I'm trite.
 
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