Absolutely ZERO disrespect for Senor Capper here!!....Just finished looking at the stats, have a couple of hours on my hands and since I've got nothing concrete just yet, I might throw out some thoughts as well!
Purposefully haven't looked at SC's thread yet, so hopefully some of our thoughts will match
Cinci/NE...Cinci allowing 150 yards on the ground @ 4.6, but still tough to go against.
They have been scoring pretty well, but NE have shut down better teams than this. PASS.
NYG @ Balt....As I said last week, Baltimore score surprisingly well at home. (over 26 ppg!!)...NYG let in 31 @ Washington last week.
Balt will score....-10 or over 33?? (Can Gints get on the board?? Probably not!)
Det @ GB....GB rolling, and Det still can't keep up with high scoring teams. (except @ Minni! :cursin: )
Jones has thrown a spanner in the works tho...GB allowing 4.4 ypr. Can he have another decent day? Got my doubts, but laying 9.5 might be a bit rich.
Oak @ Atl....Well, if I took Da Raiders in Denver I can take them here, right?? Oakland are actually quite good v. the run, allowing only 3.8 ypc...Falcons run 31 times a game, pass only 23..Can they take advantage of Raiders horrible pass D??
Under?? Atlanta have only gone over this number at home once this year, in Wk. 2 v. a horrible SL run D.
Tease Oak and under? Probably pass. (Hate trying to read Atlanta!)
Indi @ Houst....Couldn't possibly take Houston, tough to lay over 10 on the road.
57 a bit high for an over too....PASS.
Miami @ Denver...Some pretty strong trends on an under, but seems clear that Miami are going to come out throwing for the rest of the year.
They still manage less than 6 ypp tho.
Still, Denver held SD to 14 FD's and 3.3 y/play last week (14/27 106 yards passing!) and managed to lose!!!
Like PASS.
SF @ 'Zona....Card HORRIBLE run D, but SF won't hurt them. Cards playing well at home, but laying 6? Na.
TB @ SD....Originaly thought TB +6 was the play, but they are only 1-5 on the road, the win @ NO and the lowest loss by 6. They just don't score away from home. 16.5 points/game, but 20, 20 and 21 @ NO, SL and Oakland.
SD have been lighting it up, but they've had a pretty soft defensive schedule.
TB fewest pass yards/game allowed in the NFL.
Like the under @ 43.
Philli @ Wash. What happened in Washington lat week? Ramsey 19-22! Washington 31 points?? :scared
Not saying it will happen again this week, but they might sneak enough points to ruin an under or Philli cover. PASS.
Cleveland @ Buff....Might be interested in a total, but no play on a side @ 11.5
NO @ Dallas....Couldn't play a side in this one, but have to look pretty closely at the over @ 47. In fact VERY closely!
Chic @ Jax...Much like Washington situation, Hutchinson will find it SO much tougher this week. Too many unknowns.
Jax would be 3-3 under this number @ home so far, but 2 overs Indi and KC, and a Det OT (allowing 2 returns for TD's)
Hutchinson back to earth and under?
Seattle @ Minni...Good luck to anyone who wants to get involved with these two lame ducks.
Jets @ Pits....under, under, UNDER!! Both teams rlying on solid ground games and strong D to win games. Jets allow 3.7 ypr, Pits 3.5, Jet allow 5.75 y/pass, Pits 5.74!!
LOTS of running, lots of tough tackling. Not much scoring.
SL @ Carolina...My favourite team! On a 6-0 run (last 7 games) with the Panthers. "They score on bad defensive teams, don't on good defensive teams" TM.
SL?...BAD defensive team!
2-6 on the road this season, wins @ SF and Seattle...losses by 17 @ Atl, 17 @ Miami, 20 @ Buff and 28 @ GB.
Caro -6 (and over 44) :clap:
That's what I reckon anyway!!!...Now off to see if anyone agrees with me! :moon:
Purposefully haven't looked at SC's thread yet, so hopefully some of our thoughts will match
Cinci/NE...Cinci allowing 150 yards on the ground @ 4.6, but still tough to go against.
They have been scoring pretty well, but NE have shut down better teams than this. PASS.
NYG @ Balt....As I said last week, Baltimore score surprisingly well at home. (over 26 ppg!!)...NYG let in 31 @ Washington last week.
Balt will score....-10 or over 33?? (Can Gints get on the board?? Probably not!)
Det @ GB....GB rolling, and Det still can't keep up with high scoring teams. (except @ Minni! :cursin: )
Jones has thrown a spanner in the works tho...GB allowing 4.4 ypr. Can he have another decent day? Got my doubts, but laying 9.5 might be a bit rich.
Oak @ Atl....Well, if I took Da Raiders in Denver I can take them here, right?? Oakland are actually quite good v. the run, allowing only 3.8 ypc...Falcons run 31 times a game, pass only 23..Can they take advantage of Raiders horrible pass D??
Under?? Atlanta have only gone over this number at home once this year, in Wk. 2 v. a horrible SL run D.
Tease Oak and under? Probably pass. (Hate trying to read Atlanta!)
Indi @ Houst....Couldn't possibly take Houston, tough to lay over 10 on the road.
57 a bit high for an over too....PASS.
Miami @ Denver...Some pretty strong trends on an under, but seems clear that Miami are going to come out throwing for the rest of the year.
They still manage less than 6 ypp tho.
Still, Denver held SD to 14 FD's and 3.3 y/play last week (14/27 106 yards passing!) and managed to lose!!!
Like PASS.
SF @ 'Zona....Card HORRIBLE run D, but SF won't hurt them. Cards playing well at home, but laying 6? Na.
TB @ SD....Originaly thought TB +6 was the play, but they are only 1-5 on the road, the win @ NO and the lowest loss by 6. They just don't score away from home. 16.5 points/game, but 20, 20 and 21 @ NO, SL and Oakland.
SD have been lighting it up, but they've had a pretty soft defensive schedule.
TB fewest pass yards/game allowed in the NFL.
Like the under @ 43.
Philli @ Wash. What happened in Washington lat week? Ramsey 19-22! Washington 31 points?? :scared
Not saying it will happen again this week, but they might sneak enough points to ruin an under or Philli cover. PASS.
Cleveland @ Buff....Might be interested in a total, but no play on a side @ 11.5
NO @ Dallas....Couldn't play a side in this one, but have to look pretty closely at the over @ 47. In fact VERY closely!
Chic @ Jax...Much like Washington situation, Hutchinson will find it SO much tougher this week. Too many unknowns.
Jax would be 3-3 under this number @ home so far, but 2 overs Indi and KC, and a Det OT (allowing 2 returns for TD's)
Hutchinson back to earth and under?
Seattle @ Minni...Good luck to anyone who wants to get involved with these two lame ducks.
Jets @ Pits....under, under, UNDER!! Both teams rlying on solid ground games and strong D to win games. Jets allow 3.7 ypr, Pits 3.5, Jet allow 5.75 y/pass, Pits 5.74!!
LOTS of running, lots of tough tackling. Not much scoring.
SL @ Carolina...My favourite team! On a 6-0 run (last 7 games) with the Panthers. "They score on bad defensive teams, don't on good defensive teams" TM.
SL?...BAD defensive team!
2-6 on the road this season, wins @ SF and Seattle...losses by 17 @ Atl, 17 @ Miami, 20 @ Buff and 28 @ GB.
Caro -6 (and over 44) :clap:
That's what I reckon anyway!!!...Now off to see if anyone agrees with me! :moon:
