new year's ncaa hoops

loophole

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happy new year madjackers. have a couple of plays in late games tonight, but wanted to get them up early as i believe the lines may move:


nev -7-: many reasons why i believe this to be one of the stronger plays of the year thus far. hawaii has never won or covered in reno, losing all six previous games by an average of 11.7 ppg. today they are coming off a difficult loss in fresno in the first leg of this mainland trip. this swing is always a difficult one for the warriors, who are team never known for their prowess off the island. they left fresno thursday morning for what was supposed to be a five hour bus ride to reno. unfortunately, they encountered the snow that has covered that part of the west of late, and the trip turned into a 15 and a half hour ordeal, with the bus making the hotel at 1:30 am friday. this caused the cancelaton of thursday night's practice, necessitating a 1:00 pm practice today, eight hours before tipoff.

also, most of hawaii's current players have little or no experience at altitude. this is this year's first game in thin air, and last year warriors only played two games as such, getting thumped by dd at boise and reno. hawaii's team is also the biggest in the wac, and it is usually the bigger players who feel the effects of altitude more than smaller teams. they were reports that several players were winded in last night's practice, and practice on game day is only going to heighten the effect. it's currently in the 20's in reno , with snow on the ground, as well as the thin air. environmentally speaking, the setting is about as alien as the team will face.

nevada plays to an excellent home court, winning 21 of their last 22 home games and currenting sporting an 11 game wac home win streak. 6'10'' kevin pinkney will return to the wolfpack lineup tonight after missing thursday's game with a slight ankle sprain. with pinkney in the lineup, nevada is one of the few teams that can match up height-wise with hawaii. all things considered, i see a strong situation for the wolfpack to win by dd, and i'll be making this one a stronger than average play.


portland st -7: always should be a little more cautious when conference play begins, but see too much of a shooting rdgr here with the home team. weber st can't put the ball in the hole - their shooting 36.6% on the road this year, and 35% over their last three. meanwhile portland state is shooting 49% for the year, 51.5% at home, and comes into tonight with double revenge from last year.


might have one or two more later. glta
 

RIGHT SIDE

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GL!! Agree with both sides....I wouldn't be surprised if the Nevada game was a bit closer than people expect, but Wolfpack "should" take care of them at home.....
 

loophole

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well, hold the phone. i see that portland st is now -6-, so maybe no need to get that one down early.
 

gridman

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FYI - agree with your analysis of the Hawaii game. Hawaii still trying to find itself and has a bunch of newbies. Your assessment of Nev, road travel and the altitude factor is right on. Yet, advise caution as this is the first time Hawaii has had a bench. Coach Wallace has been able to go 10 deep hence players could be more "rested". Personally, staying away as I do believe this Hawaii team could be something special. Could be wrong on this but just hate going against a team I cheer for at home.
Good luck.
GM
 

loophole

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thanks guys.

and thanks gridman for the local input.


adding one more:


boise +7-: these flatlands to the mountains road trips are tough in the wac and mwc - utep has never won in boise either. i know boise is shorthanded in the post, but maybe gainous being a little lame will offset that.
 
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