Play-off Wk. 2

[MrChristo]

Push on the Minni/GB total last week....lucky, I guess, in the sense that I got a good early number...but more unlucky with 2 missed FG's and Minni not kicking one at the end....anyway.....


Philli/Minni under 48.5

These teams met in Wk. 2 and the final score was 27-16.
The Philli offense is much less dynamic with Owens not playing. Minni run defense played well last week and should be able to contain the Philli offense to reasonable yardage and score.
Minni 'high powered' offense has only played 3 solid defenses all season...scoring 16 @ Philli, 14 @ Chicago and 18 @ Washington (8 coming in the last lpay of the game). Before the last round in which Philli played a 2nd/3rd string team, they have allowed 17, 16, 8, 10, 6, 17 and 7 at home! Moss will also not be at 100% which will limit Minnesota's offense.

Philli also an amazing 4-13 under after a bye...0-5 last 3 years!

Indi @ NE under 51.5

League: 6-35 under (Av. score 33.4) home 3- fav off a BYE!

1-21 under (Av. score 31.6) since 1997!!!

Love this trend, and will play it even in the finals.

NE 3-10 under last 13 play-off games also.

Only 1 Indi road game has gone over this number all season!!...That was @ KC.

Indi flying in the dome, hopefully they don't fare as well out in the cold against a solid NE defense.

Good Luck as always gang.

 

[gardenweasel]

i have to say,i was thinking the same thing.....

this is a watershed moment in madjacks history.....mr c. and myself in total agreement.....

an olive branch is extended by gardenweasel to mr c...(at least during this weekends playoff games....lol)

best of luck...

 

[baby johnson]

played em both already

gl

 

[60 SEC ASSASSIN]

GL with both totals MrC. Not much of a total player but i do like em both.

Any thoughts on the STL/ATL total? I like the over but I am curious on what you think on it. I see lots of points being scored in it. They scored a combined 51 back in week 2 and the Rams offense was not clicking back then. Thanks in advance

 

[GM]

Good luck this weekend Chris. I'm going to give that Philly under some consideration, you make some valid points.

As for the other game....well, I think I have enough action on it already. LOL But good luck on that one too.

 

[bombercoops]

Was leaning on both of these unders also christo before I read your post. GL with em' mate and hope the new year is travelling well for you down there in tassie!

 

[MrChristo]

i have to say,i was thinking the same thing.....

this is a watershed moment in madjacks history.....mr c. and myself in total agreement.....

an olive branch is extended by gardenweasel to mr c...(at least during this weekends playoff games....lol)

best of luck...

:142lmao: :142lmao:

And just when I thought this world couldn't possibly get any stranger....

Hopefully it's a good sign when these two great minds think alike, gw! :toast:

ASSASSIN...I hate Atlanta games!! Think I'm 0-4 on them this year, and just can't get a read on them at all!
I'd tend to agree that there should be some points. St. L. rushed for 30 yards on only 15 tries in the first meeting, you'd have to think they comes out throwing in this one. (Although this is Martz we are guessing at!!)
But really, no great idea on this game, sorry mate.

Pretty sure we're on the same boat anyway, GM. I'd be very surprised if Indi won and the game still stayed under, so we'll both be keen on the Pat's D to have a big game.

:topic: ....Bit over 4 weeks until pre-season kicks off, bomber! Hoping the Doggies can get over Sydney in Rd. 1 so I get to see them down here live the week after....on second thoughts... :cursin:

 

[bombercoops]

LOL! Eade will be good for you guys and I'm looking forward to our discussion in the 'off the wall' thread pretty soon.
Agree with you on Atlanta games. Seems hard to get a read on them as it depends so much on Vick's peformance on the day.

 

[RexBudler]

gl to you this weekend

 

[trolln4walii]

GL this week MrC. Nice info, hitchin' a ride with ya on both

 

[MrChristo]

Jets @ Pittsburgh under 35

Have liked this one from the start, but all week have been thinking it's a sucker line....I mean, line opens @ 34.5, rises to 35....The last meeting the line closed @ 35 and the score was 17-6 with a late 'trick' TD!....Just seemed like the books were begging for under $$....
...BUT!!!....I've just looked at a concensus site and see over 70% of people on the over!!?? :scared:
What the ??????

I'll quite happily go against that with some logic (and a bit of gut feel. )

Both teams are run first, throw when necessary. Both teams play solid defense, esp. run D.
Last weeks game in SD was 17-17 in regulation....Pits run more often than SD....gain less per rush....allow less per rush....allow way less pass yards...throw for less yards....score less and allow less.

First meeting was 17-6....15 FD's each...less than 4 ypr each...27 total completed passes @ less than 6.5 y/pass.

Jets have av'd only 16.4 ppg on the road...and if we take out the 29 at St. L, and 34 the first game @ SD, that goes down to 12.8!!

Steelers have allowed 13 ppg at home all season, and are 1-4 under when the total is 35 or less...Jets are 1-4 under this season as dogs....yet 70% of people on the over??...Can someone tell me my logic chip isn't fried here??

Like I said, it does seem a little too obvious a play, but seeing so many on the over makes me feel a whole lot better.

 

[ajoytoy]

gl this weekend Mr. C!