NJ is a depleted team now, those previous 2 wins have less of a meaning. Atlanta has been playing better ball, especially at home recently. They took care of Charlotte, blew out Milwaukee and lost to Sacramento by just 3 in their 3 home games this month.
V. Carter now has the pressure of scoring 25+ every game and I don't think he body and skills now will allow him to be successful. And for the offense he does bring it is usually negated by his poor defensive effort. If I'm not mistaken though he has a great history of big games in Atlanta...