one ncaa play for tuesday .......

gman2

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east tennessee state (+5)
east tennessee state moneyline (+180)

its taken almost two months, but etsu is finally starting to show at least some signs of life. for awhile, they didnt even remotely resemble the squad from last year. a few injuries and graduation can will do that. but there was no reason for them to be struggling as much as they were (and still are) when youve got a player of smith's caliber.

heres why i think etsu is starting to play better:

i think its because tim smith is taking LESS shots.

to start the season, he was trying to carry the team on his shoulders, and he was attempting 20+ shots a game and nobody else was getting involved. for awhile, i believe he had more turnovers than assists which is godawful. just looking now, and hes got a 64/57 A/TO ratio. nowhere near what it should be, but hes actually improved on it recently. and with the speed he plays at, some turnovers at inevitable.

the last few games, he's only taking 13 or 14 shots a game and is getting the ball to his teammates a helluva lot more.

i really dont think the north side of the conference is all that tough. with a win here, etsu gets a chance to really make up some ground with a game at chattanooga on saturday. thats gonna be a far tougher game than this one. im not sure if etsu can hang in that game, but theres no doubt they are capable of winning tonight and i think they should get this one. greensboro isnt a particularly disciplined team and they turn it over a ton and dont shoot the ball well from the stripe of from 3pt range. its a winnable game for etsu.
 

Rcxslam

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hey Gman, you know I have a great deal of respect for you opinion, but you might want to reconsider...considering NC is 7-0 at home vs St 1-6 on rd...NC has also held opposition to 37% fg on their homecourt while tenn is giving up over 87 pts a game on over 50% shooting...
 

Irish

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Nice write up, best of luck to you tonight.

Cheers
Irish
 

gman2

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as far as bowling green goes.....

its no secret that i dont think theyre nearly as good as their record would indicate. but the thing is, theyve got the best coach in the mac in my opinion. his teams just play hard every damn night. obviously if youre part of the bob knight tree, thats to be expected. dakich is getting a ton out of very little this season. reimold and almanson are decent, but nothing great and dakich is getting the max out of both of them. i would be all over ball state if bowling green had won on saturday against western michigan. but im probably gonna pass it now. i do think ball state is the right side, however. maybe something will come up at halftime and i can get some value on the cards. i think a lot of people underestimate ball state sometimes. theyve never been a real popular 'mac betting team' but theyre a solid team with some real athletes and they have one of the better home court edges in the conference. could be wrong, but i believe they lead the mac in attendance. im still leery of bowling green on the road. they caught a break when bowler didnt play for eastern michigan in their road game last week. but falcs still havent been truly tested away from home. all in all, i am not touching this one, but i do think ball state wins by 6-8 points.
 

Pujo21

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yo g'man baby... THAT LINE IS GOING THRU CONCRETE WALLS..

UP TO 7 1/2 oly........

Murray may win but it's going to be OVERTIME JOB or get out the nailbiters..... 7 1/2 has reached the limit .

GOOD LUCK ...I'M CRASHING THIS ONE FOR A NICE FEW BUCKS
 

gman2

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Jalen45 said:
no way east tenn covers this spread.

gl though

im all ears to a counterpoint or a pro-greensboro argument. otherwise, its not helpin much.
 

vinnie

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Here
Pujo21 said:
yo g'man baby... THAT LINE IS GOING THRU CONCRETE WALLS..

UP TO 7 1/2 oly........

Murray may win but it's going to be OVERTIME JOB or get out the nailbiters..... 7 1/2 has reached the limit .

GOOD LUCK ...I'M CRASHING THIS ONE FOR A NICE FEW BUCKS

wrong game but sharp money hit Murry St @ 6.5 ;)
 

Pujo21

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VYRUS with all due respect...it's up to 8 points.....





you will have fun laying thise poits ...MURRAY the TAYLOr is dead in the shark infested waters.....



G'MAN SHOULD MAKE THIS THE GOY.... BEDNARIK WILL BE STANDING OVER THE GIFF.....murray may win but when you wake up TENN will covey ...and when G'Man Talks you bettter listen
 

vinnie

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Here
here maybe you can understand this :142lmao:


729 East Tennessee St
730 NC Greensboro -5
731 Murray State -8?
732 Tennessee Martin
 

Clem D

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Gman I try not to read other peoples threads until I make my plays as not to get influenced. Lets hope we are onto something good luck. I'm gonna play the ml also.
 

Jalen45

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in the northeast
Originally Posted by Jalen45
no way east tenn covers this spread.

gl though


im all ears to a counterpoint or a pro-greensboro argument. otherwise, its not helpin much




-----i didnt think i needed a write up on this one. just didnt think this game would be close at all, and itsnot looking to close right now.
 

gman2

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Jalen45 said:
Originally Posted by Jalen45
no way east tenn covers this spread.

gl though


im all ears to a counterpoint or a pro-greensboro argument. otherwise, its not helpin much




-----i didnt think i needed a write up on this one. just didnt think this game would be close at all, and itsnot looking to close right now.
:shrug: :confused:
 

JCoverS

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Granted they had played noone, but that gawdy 26 point average margin of victory at home for UNCG, coupled with the line coming out at a meager -5 (in relative terms) really steered my attention toward ETSU. But when one of the sharpest tools in the MadJack toolshed likes it on top of that.....I follow. Thanks for the winner, gman! Sorry you didn't get that ML, as well.

-JC
 
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