championship games.....

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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won a few bucks again last week but have to stay away from my small teaser bets......

7*u 42 atl/phil........took this sunday evening. but like this with any number over 38, since by my estimation the combined score should be about 36.

i'm looking for a tough defensive game in cold,probably snowy philly. philly is 12-5 under the total and atlanta is 11-6 under this year.

good luck.
 
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Blackman

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Aug 31, 2003
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Like it as well. I think the Eagle defense is coming on and let's face it Andy Reid gets very tight with his play calling in these big games. Play makes a lot of sense, best of luck.
 

Blackman

Winghead
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Aug 31, 2003
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Snow also looks like it will be a factor, and winds could reach 25 mph at game time. Don't like either QB in that spot, another reason this should go under.
 

AR182

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although i like philly i'm not taking them in the nfc game since i don't want to lay points because of possible bad weather.i'll just stay with my under bet.


here are a few angles & syatems that some might find interesting..........

teams that score 35 or more points in their divisional playoffl round win (atlanta) are 0-9 ats on the road in the conference championship round.

teams that score more than 35 points in any playoff victory of 7 points or more are 4-14-1 ats on the road when not getting 10 points or more (including the colts last week).

play against any playoff dog off of a 7+point playoff win in which they outrushed their opponent by more than 100 yards.
since 1984 ats is 17-5(77.3%)..................play against atlanta.

dome teams are 9-28 su & 12-23-1 ats outdoors during the post season.

here is some info on the n.e./pitt. game........

in his nfl career, bill belichek teams have held every playoff opponent to 14< points at home while his playoff teams have yielded an average of 23 ppg on the road with every opponent scoring at least 17 points. bill cowher is 36-6-2 ats (85.7%) in his career as a dog in games in which the steelers score 17> points.

the pats are 3-15 su & 4-14 ats on the road vs. .888 > opposition, including 1-8 su & 0-9 ats in non-divisional games.

road playoff teams who allowed 6< points in their previous game are 5-20 su & 6-18-1 ats, including 1-10 su & 2-9 ats if they scored 20< in that same game.

home dogs in the nfl playoffs are 14-5 su & 15-4 ats since 1980, including 7-0 ats when getting 3> points.


i hope some have found this interesting.

good luck.
 
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