Tonight is the night Illinois loses......
- Thread starter maverick2112
- Start date
I am a big Illini fan and I think you may be right. I was one of the only persons in this forum on Illinois against Wisky and actually correctly predicted a 10 point win for the Illini. I think Paul Davis could have a big day in the paint and if he starts off good that will open the outside shot for MSU. However, if the Illini start off a get a early lead MSU will not be able to catch them. Its going to all come down to the tempo of the 1st five minutes. I have not capped this game extensively but I said about 6 weeks ago that if Illinois wins this game they go undefeated into the tourney.
this is going to be one HELL of a game to cap...basically the super bowl #2 of the week, coin flip..hope you get it bro
Yeah it will be tough. I am 9-1 cappping the Illini this year. I dont post too often inthe forum but last week against Wisky I warned everyone to play the Illini but everyone wanted Wisky. I wish Illinois would have played sluggish and had a let down against Minny last Saturday but they shot almost 70% in the first half and the game was over at half. That is the thing about this team, most of their games are over at halftime. And if they are ever down in the 2nd half (only twice this year) they have the experience as all 5 starter have started almost every game for the last 3 years. If they loose tomorrow it will happen in the final minute. My guess is the line will be Illinois -1.5. That is going to be pretty tough. I need to look at the teams that State has struggled with, thier style of play to assess where they can best be attacked. Illinois is vulnerable against a dominate big man and sometimes dont defend the three ball that well. Illinios plays great team defense and creates a lot of turnovers but occasionally they dont defend deep enough out on the perimeter. Chriss Hill could have a big game tomorrow, especially is Davis gets off to a good start. I will try to post tomorrow when I come to a conclusion. I most likely will put a nickle on Illinois when the line comes out on my online account and then will have the opportunity to buy it back from my local at a better number. My local adjusts almost all favorites a point or two and Illinois usually gets a 2 or 3 point bump. If the line opens at 1 or 2 I will take the Illini and assume that by gametime it will have moved up to 3 or 4 with the public push and my local will make it 6 or 7 and I will have a 4 or 5 point middle I can hit.
pt1gard said:
I see it at Illinois -1.5 right now but I think it will go down to a pick or even MSU -1............MSU's record at home the last 5 or 6 yrs is fantastic.....
PtGD..........Have you played any futures in college hoops this yr?? I was going to put some on Louisville at 32-1 lat week and today I see they are 19-1
. I have to agree with Fab on this one. I like Illinois by 10 again in this one. Michigan St, hasn't played much tough competion besides Duke and Wisconsin and both of those games they lost. No doubt it will be a close game though, but I just think Illinois will put away in the end again. Izzo was on a local radio station here yesterday and he stated he is going to run with the Illini and not change his gameplan. thats gonna be a bad move in my opinoin.
:iagree:
Going with the Illini tonight, they handled the doubts at Wisconsin well and it will be no different tonight. MSU will not be the team to disrupt Illinois' undefeated season.
Best of luck to everyone!
Going with the Illini tonight, they handled the doubts at Wisconsin well and it will be no different tonight. MSU will not be the team to disrupt Illinois' undefeated season.
Best of luck to everyone!
Alright,
I think I have made my decision and I am taking Illinois -1. As I look at MSU's losses to Duke, GW and Wisconsin I note the following statistic:
Opponents 3 point shooting:
Duke 11-20 55%
GW 9-14 65%
Wisky 12-28 43%
These teams 3-point shooting % on the season are:
Duke 37.8%
GW 39.0%
Wisky 38.8%
Illinois is 40.1%, so just a bit better. The teams MSU has struggled with are those teams that shoot the 3 ball well and Illinois is that team. The only difference is Illinois is on the road and Duke/Wisky were home and GW was a nuetral site. Illinois three point shooting on the road this year is 40.2%.
Small play on the Illini as it may come down to the final few minutes and their experience will be a large factor.
I think I have made my decision and I am taking Illinois -1. As I look at MSU's losses to Duke, GW and Wisconsin I note the following statistic:
Opponents 3 point shooting:
Duke 11-20 55%
GW 9-14 65%
Wisky 12-28 43%
These teams 3-point shooting % on the season are:
Duke 37.8%
GW 39.0%
Wisky 38.8%
Illinois is 40.1%, so just a bit better. The teams MSU has struggled with are those teams that shoot the 3 ball well and Illinois is that team. The only difference is Illinois is on the road and Duke/Wisky were home and GW was a nuetral site. Illinois three point shooting on the road this year is 40.2%.
Small play on the Illini as it may come down to the final few minutes and their experience will be a large factor.
