Final SB Analysis and Pick

tubbysmith

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all the 'experts' surely can't be wrong. philly is just going to roll over for the patriots. :rolleyes: people are quickly forgetting the one thing that can have the most tremendous effect on the outcome of a game: MOTIVATION.

just as new england felt disrespected at certain points this season, nobody is feeling that way more than the philadelphia eagles are right now.

and why shouldn't they be? with virtually everyone and their parakeet all but handing the lombardi trophy to the patriots, the eagles find themselves in a position the patriots have used so many times before to light a fire under their asses.

UNDERDOG. NO CHANCE. GREATEST SHOW ON TURF. REMEMBER? DEJA VU, baby.

try this one on: ripe for the picking. remember that? take a hike, vanderjagoff. freddie mitchell? let's not even GO there. i'm glad he probably got a big time scolding for running his mouth and was silenced while there was still time for his comments to be somewhat dissolved from the patriots' minds.

if new england is the offensive juggernaut people say they are, how did they score a PALTRY 20 points against that soft Indy D? i had indy in that one and knew i was suckered the minute i saw the snow flying. oh, they scored 40-some against pitt, you say? they were handed a good portion of those points and gained some more after it was long decided. pitt packed that game in before halftime. they choked on their own vomit. they were PETRIFIED. THE KNEW IT WAS OVER BECAUSE THEY LET IT BE OVER.
dillion had a few nice runs after the damage was already done and pitt looked beaten. they really, really looked deflated, like a team that KNEW it just wasn't meant to be on that particular night.

now don't get me wrong, new england won those games and they deserved to win those games. but, like a day when you're pulling in a largemouth every other cast and your thumb is shredded raw from catching so many, the conditions have to be just right...and they were for new england. in can't possibly hurt that they're a great team like they are. but i just see some things going phillys way. some non-handicappable variables that people just don't expect.

the philly defense is going to BRING it and bring it LARGE. they absolutely have to in order to win this. one of mr. brady's weaknesses is his immobility. they guy can't scramble. he usually gets rid of the ball quickly but holds on for extended periods at times, or makes an ill-advised throw when pressured. that is the KEY to rattling tom brady. you MUST get pressure on him and i truly believe that the eagles can.

miami did it to him, and so did pittsburgh. unfortunately pittsburgh could not get that pressure on him when it counted the second time around because mr. bellichick made some great adjustments.

that is why i absolutely love the matchup of kearse vs. uhhhh..what his name again? kearse is reborn with philly and has been waiting his whole life for a chance like this. he will impress. philly is going to have 8 men up front with trotter anchoring to stop mr. dillon while dawkins, sheppard and company take care of the rest. i see brady throwing at least one INT in this game.

on offense they are going to keep new england guessing and westbrook is going to get his yards, no question. westbrook led the league in yards-per-touch with 1515 total yards for an average of 6.1 EVERY TIME HE TOUCHED THE BALL. so please don't say new england is going to silence him. philadelphia is 22-1 over the last two seasons when westbrook touches the ball at least 10 times.

new england will try to blitz mcnabb and that's where they will get burned and we finally see that secondary give up some yards in large chunks.. if they sit back and wait for mcnabb and company to make mistakes and give them hand-outs, they will be sorely dissapointed. mcnabb will have so many options, it's really going to come down to the decisions he makes. here's hoping he can take the agony of 3 championship losses and channel it into one hell of a football game.

ps:

PHILADELPHIA DOES NOT NEED TERRELL OWENS TO BEAT NEW ENGLAND. Brian Westbrook is far more important to this team with all things considered (TO injury, hobbled, decoy, who knows) and people don't seem to be grasping that concept.. he will be a key to this game and i even expect to see him return a few punts as well to give the special teams some added spark.

i want to tell everyone on this board, regardless of your side, that you have my utmost respect and these are just my opinions. i wish everyone the best of luck and best of times on super-bowl sunday and may everyone stay safe, enjoy the game, and KEEP THE NEST EGG under the matress! (especially if you are laying the 7, har-har)

eagles +7.5 primary
eagles +238 ml secondary

god bless,

tubby
 
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dukie

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mcnabb will have so many options? can you explain this statement, beyond westbrook I dont see any
 

tubbysmith

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keep talking it up boys :) i love the in-depth points you bring up as to why you think new england is going to blow philly out :)
 

tubbysmith

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dillon will be STOPPED and brady is either going to be eating sod for supper or running for his life. :)
 

MrChristo

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Sexlexia...
if new england is the offensive juggernaut people say they are, how did they score a PALTRY 20 points against that soft Indy D?

Because they played run, run, tick, tick ball to keep Manning off the field.
Could they have scored 40 and allowed Indi to get into a high paced shoot-out? Of course they could.

You didn't mention that they have scored less than 20 only once all season...av. over 26.
 

Blitz

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tubbysmith said:
one of mr. brady's weaknesses is his immobility. they guy can't scramble. he usually gets rid of the ball quickly but holds on for extended periods at times, or makes an ill-advised throw when pressured. that is the KEY to rattling tom brady. you MUST get pressure on him and i truly believe that the eagles can.

tubby

If this is what you think of Tom Brady, you know nothing about him my friend. Brady is very "Mobile", is he a great running QB? No, but there is a difference. He moves around in the pocket as good as anybody in the game...But explaining this to you is probably useless, because going by your previous posts in the playoffs, you obviously have some kind of bias against the Patriots...
 

tubbysmith

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Blitz said:
If this is what you think of Tom Brady, you know nothing about him my friend. Brady is very "Mobile", is he a great running QB? No, but there is a difference. He moves around in the pocket as good as anybody in the game...But explaining this to you is probably useless, because going by your previous posts in the playoffs, you obviously have some kind of bias against the Patriots...

i picked against them once against indy, THAT was a mistake :) that puts me to 1-1 with the eagles win over atlanta. indy is a finesse team and was clearly out of thier element. half the league could have beat indy in that weather :142smilie

with so many on the patriots, and i mean SO MANY, there has to be a little doubt creeping in by now for the new england players. i respect your new england team but i feel this is going to be closer than alot of people think.

anways good luck blitz.
 

dukie

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First of all, I did not say that NE was going to blow philly out. Instead I was asking you a ? on one of the opinions you had. I respect your opinions of the game but you have an obvious bias against the pats that is causing these opinions. Motivation will be a non-factor. NE always shows up ready to play. If anything they have more factors in the motivation area, some of these are the death of Bradys Grandmother and the last game for their o&d coordinators. Beating the #1 offensive team (colts) twice and the #1 defensive team Pitt in their house you say the conditions had to be just right. Some of those conditions might of been a good game plan and being able to execute it. Against the colts they hit them hard on d and ran the ball down their throats with time consuming drives. Against Pitt they stopped them early (remember 4&1) and took advantage of a blitzing D. They got early lead and took Pitt out of their game plan. How did philly get here? They played a weak nfc schedule and beat 2 dome teams in the playoffs. Talk about "CONDITIONS BEING JUST RIGHT". As far as the game goes NE offense is to balanced if philly brings it big time theywill get burned by draws,screens, wr screens ect. If they put 8 in the box the pats will go over the top. The key is Dillon and they ability of the NE offense to keep Philly on their heels because all the OPTIONS they have. NE d will not do alot of blitzing but instead will take westbrook out of the game and make mcnabb beat them. I think it will be a good game, but the Pats have to much and will win.
 

Axle

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Brady is really an o.k. QB...only a 2-time Superbowl MVP....I'll take the Pats thank you. :clap:
 

COYOTEBLUE

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LONDON ONT CANADA
I GUESS THERE ARE FOUR OPTIONS ON THE OUTCOME OF THIS GAME ...

1. PHILLY WINS A CLOSE ONE
2. NEW ENGLAND WINS A CLOSE ONE
3. PHILLY BLOWS OUT NE
4. NE BLOWS OUT PHILLY

PERSONALLY I AM HOPING FOR PHILLY ... BUT

1 IS A POSSIBLITY
2 IS A POSSIBILITY
3 I DONT BELIEVE CAN HAPPEN
4 IS A POSSIBILITY

THAT MAKES IT 2 TO 1 FOR NEW ENGLAND TO WIN ... SADLY ...

HOPING PHILLY CAN KEEP IT CLOSE FOR A CHANCE AT THE END ... NOT BETTING BUT NEW ENGLAND -7 WOULD SEEM TO BE THE PERCENTAGE PLAY ...

GOOD LUCK ALL IN YOUR PICKS :mj14:
 

tubbysmith

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just have a feeling this will be an exciting, big play-filled game, one of the more memorable super bowls of recent years. lets just all enjoy it and try to go easy on the guaccamole and bean dip. :)

gl all
 

gjn23

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keep it coming tubby

you had indy
you had pit
you have philly

love NE!
 

tubbysmith

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Congrats to everyone on Philly +7! I will take the backdoor cover anyday! god bless! night!

tubby
 

gjn23

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congrats even though most of your analysis turned out wrong you cashed the ticket and that's all that matters.

damn backdoor, saw it coming as soon as ne went 3-out and punted after the TO with 5 mins left.
 
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