Saturday plays

Nickelback

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Starting with a big one:

Texas A&M +7 BIG over Oklahoma State

I don't care how good OSU is, laying 7 on the road to a team that shoots over 50% at home is dangerous. I have a feeling A&M wins this straight up so the ML wouldn't be a bad look.

Nova -4 over Cuse above average

Why is Nova favored by this many?

Pitt -5.5 over Notre Dame average

Hoping for an Irish letdown



More to come
 

Nickelback

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System play of the year?????

For the several years that I've been tracking the unranked home favorite system, I have never seen the home team have to lay this many points:

Utah State -6.5 over Pacific BIG
 

Garrett

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I also starting my Sat. with Nova. They're really gonna stretch that zone with those shooters.
 

mcity

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I agree with the utah state play.....when I saw that line, I almost fell out of my chair......the money is going pour in on pacific one would think.....they are 19-2 on the year, just popped into the top 25, and they just demolished a sad idaho team last night that will be fresh in bettors minds.....add it all up and it looks like a great spot to go against pacific.....good luck!! :mj14:
 

gman2

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actually, i dont think people are gonna be rushing to get down on pacific like youd expect. i think even the casual bettor knows that utah state has been the dominant team in this conference for quite some time now and that they are an excellent home team. thats a real tough game. can see both usu in a 10+ pt win.... but can also see pacific outright. playing in utah in the 2nd leg of the 72-hr back-to-back is not gonna be easy for UofP. think the line is pretty accurate. and dont think theres gonna be a lopsided consensus on either side of that game. will probably be evenly split.

definitely like the villanova play. probably gonna tail there.
 

kickserv

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kickserv is going to take Tex AM at +7.5.......good luck to us...thanks for the tip....!!
 

Garrett

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Let's wait for utah st. go down to 5.5.
Public will be on undefeated Pacific(conference)
 

The Big Tease

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I honestly do not know what to make of these Pacific lines lately......it is almost like Vegas doesnt want to believe that this is a solid team. They have been throwing lines between 2-6 on the road for these guys the last month and a half, and they keep covering!! And now they are dogs to a team that they are clearly better than IMHO. Utah State plays great at home, but I think that is all they have going for them here. In my opinion, Pacific is a team that teams are going to have to lok out for in March......I think they are a bonafide Sweet 16 team. They could drop one here....but I am not sure I would place my money on it. I think the better VALUE play is to take Pacific on the moneyline and try and cash a ticket at about 2-1 odds. I am a big proponent of these types of systems, but I have been burned on it before too, by over analyzing the game......I dont think I am ready to lay chalk in this game. Just my opinion, good luck to ya!!!
 

UT-Longhorn

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like the plays nickel, just a bit of info though regarding this system......

Just a note from previous seasons

02-03 season after Feb. 16th record 1 & 9
03-04 season after Feb. 16th record 4 & 9

so im going to tread lightly after this weekend on this system and hope it doesnt fall thru the floor as in years past......
 

DRHARDFOUR

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anyone here from Dr. Maddog about ATS picks vs. his dog Max.

good stuff Max has been hot!
 

The Big Tease

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I am all for contrarian ways of gambling, but Pacific is getting 8.5 now at 5Dimes......that is just pure insanity. I had to do a little research because this has me baffled.

It seems to me without getting into details.....linesmakers have viewed Utah State as the better team all year, so this really is not a surprise. I personally, contend that Utah State is second rate to Pacific, so it is hard for me not to load up on Pacific in this game. I know better and will probably cry afterward, but I may have to put my balls on the line here
 
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