Going anti-public and taking AFC/NFC Under 66 - analysis inside

Save It

Registered User
Forum Member
Jun 21, 2004
1,722
2
0
WI
Updated 2005 record:
NFL Playoffs: 5-2 +$2,400
NCAA Basketball: 29-20 +$3,230
NBA: 6-6 +$40
January Record: 25-17 +$4,000
February Record: 15-11 +$1,670
Overall record: 40-28 59% +$5,670

Hey guys - looking to keep a good day going today, and making a small play on the AFC/NFC under 66 tonight...every where i read/look i see about 90% on the OVER...yes the last 2 years have been high scoring - still i think it is unrealistic to expect 100+ points to be scored in this contest..

The Pro Bowl has only gone over 66 points in 3 of the last 15 years - that means 80% of the time the game would be under 66! I'll lean on these percentages...also overlooked i believe is it is not like these defenses don't want to play and show people why they are in the pro bowl. Maybe they won't blitz - but they sure as hell don't want to be shown up by the WR's...also there will be a fair share of running plays to keep the clock moving - and I think they will not rush too many plays - there will not be much sense of urgency to score quickly...

I am not saying there won't be points scored...however I like taking the under knowing a 37-28, 40-21, 31-28, 35-20 type of score would be a cover...i don't see both teams scoring at will every drive...i figure we need to see a few stalled drives - i'd rather force these teams to play to perfection and score alot - i don't see that happening - again i'm not going nuts over the play - making a $220 to win $200 wager on it - these games are more unpredictable and i believe you should never risk too much of your bankroll on all-star or pro-bowl type games...

Public's mind is fresh off of the 100+ points put up last year, sure maybe it will happen, my money says it doesn't...go anti-public - play the under...

GL guys...

The play:

AFC/NFL under 66
Risking $220 to win $200
 

Save It

Registered User
Forum Member
Jun 21, 2004
1,722
2
0
WI
Going under in the 2nd half - not counting out game to still go under...see more running & less potent passing attacks out there

AFC/NFC under 33.5
Risking $110 to win $100

GL!
 

TheCooler

Registered
Forum Member
Jun 15, 2004
1,515
3
0
you should thank the gambling gods that adam "automatic" vinateri missed that chip shot. NICE CALL ! I know alot of people got screwed tonight.
 

Save It

Registered User
Forum Member
Jun 21, 2004
1,722
2
0
WI
Cash 'em! Sometimes it really pays to wait and get the best possible line - public went nuts on this over and drove the line up to 66 - just enough for the cover...2H under comes through as well - capping off a solid day of 3-0 +$800 w/ NFL & CBB...back to hitting exactly 60% in the 70 plays made this season...let's keep it rolling

Congrats to those who also got in on the over early and cashed as well - I am sure there are many here who did...

What a crazy game - but like i said - i'll never make a game like this a major play because of all the unpredictability - like if you take into account basically 1 TD was given to the AFC & a penalty basically gave another TD - this game would have gone way under...and then Vinateri & Akers both missing easy FG's (especially Vin's last one - i was extremely happy to see that!)...what a crazy game!

Sad to see the NFL season end, but another winning season and that's what counts!

GL guys - and let's make next NFL season another winning one - until then - CBB is where it is at!

Updated 2005 record:
NFL: 7-2 +$2,700
NCAA Basketball: 29-20 +$3,230
NBA: 6-6 +$40
January Record: 25-17 +$4,000
February Record: 17-11 +$1,970
Overall record: 42-28 60% +$5,970
 

Save It

Registered User
Forum Member
Jun 21, 2004
1,722
2
0
WI
Hey Surfer - congrats to you as well - glad to see you were on the right side - gl to you in the future!
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top