saturday ncaa basketball .........

gman2

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im like a kid in a candy store with these bracket buster games. i'll be very, very disappointed if this isnt a solid day for me.

going big on these:

cleveland state vikings over
niagara purple eagles (+6)
kent state flashes (pk)

...and then tossing a few bucks on these:

wisconsin-milwaukee panthers (+1)
utep miners (+6.5)

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i think theres a lot of value in the cleveland state total. central michigan played a string of unders while nelson was out of the lineup. now that he's back, the chips are scoring more but still giving up a lot of points too. cleveland state didnt even try to play defense in last year's bracket buster vs. eastern michigan, allowing emu to drop 87 pts on 'em. vikes love to get out and run when the opposition allows it, and cmu will certainly be acquiescent. even though its a step up in class from the horizon to the mac, the vikes likely will be looking forward to playing a team they should be able to score on consistently. cmu doesnt resemble any of the good defenses in the horizon that csu has faced this season.

on paper, akron and niagara will be an absolute track meet. but i dont like how this game is scheduled for akron. zips will be playing their 3rd game in 6 days and niagara certainly is not gonna be walking the ball up the floor. really think the outcome of this game is a coinflip and the six points is just too much to lay on the final leg of a 3-in-6. also dont like the fact that akron is shooting more 3s than FTs by a wide margin the last three games. (vs. kent...18 3s and 5 FTs attempted) (vs toledo....22 3s and 24 FTs attempted) (vs.ohio...20 3s and 4 FTs attempted)
akron has to get to the line more frequently against niagara because the eagles live at the stripe (shooting almost 28 FTs a game on the season)

if i had to pick only one game to play on saturday, it would be kent state. yes, ksu has been ridiculously up and down this year while southern illinois has been a model of consistency. but kent simply does not lose big games at home. thats been a staple of their program for years now. for kent to be in a pick'em spot on that floor is almost absurd. ive got a lot of respect for the missouri valley, but think kent is a little more battle-tested than siu. both programs have played in big games and neither is awed by the espn cameras. should be a good game, but simply cannot see kent state losing on this floor to southern illinois.
 
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spang

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I already played the CSU/CMU game over in my initial gut play phase. I also like CMU to cover the 1 in that game. Probably the game that caught my eye the most was Miami O - 2 vs. the Shockers who have come back to earth after their outrageous start.

As far as the Niagara tilt goes, i guess it will boil down to the Zips ability to slow down the Eagles and dictate tempo. I do know that it will be a fun game to observe, and that the Zips have handled their MAAC opponents well in recent memory.
 

Garrett

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I on board with niagara and still looking at kent st. those are gonna be two great games! gl
 

johnnyb.

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g-man
i was in el paso all week with work, caught an interview with coach thomason on local sports station. in the interview he said if pacific won the game they should get the wac title, since they've beat 3 teams in that conference all ready. secondly, utep stayed in northern cal. after their win in san jose st.
basically comment by thomason was taken as insult in el paso and by staying in area, should help their game on saturday.
love the miners +6.5, good luck
 

Toto

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Gman, witnessed an unbelievable 2nd half by Creighton Wed. nt at Wichita. They made 16 of 19 field shots to break the alltime MVC record for shooting in a half, 84%. Considering all the great teams and players over the last 60 yrs. (the big O, Unseld, Bird, Hawkins, etc.) it was amazing!!! Don't like Wichita's chances tom @ Miami Oh who hasn't lost at home yet. Also, heard Wichita coach Turgeon say the one place nobody wanted to go for Bracketbusters was Hawaii. I think it's a tough spot for UW-Mil. Hawaii 12-1 @ home. GL Toto
 

gman2

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stomie:

i had buffalo on my list initially but scratched it because i dont trust their defense 3,000 miles away from home. bulls just not good on the defensive end and that wont cut it in cali. they probably have more talent than fresno but think that it will ultimately be their defense that lets them down in crunch time.
 

Beebs

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GMAN,
what number are you basing Cleveland St. over on?
thanks
 

gman2

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beebs:

i edited my original post but it opened at 144.5 and i said i was gonna wait because i thought it would come down a bit. well i was wrong in that regard cuz it went up to 146. that said, i still like the play and even though i shoulda grabbed the 144.5, still think were looking at a gm in the 150s.
 

spang

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Actually Pinny dropped a 141' at the opening gun yesterday, I jumped on it.


18-Feb-05 11:00am
19-Feb-05 Basketball
Total Cleveland State/Central Michigan (O 141.5) for Game -105
 

vyrus858

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GL Gman...im with you on Niagra and im gonna join you on UTEP, wanna see if the line goes up...we got 10 hours to find out lol
 

spang

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I have thought about tonights game a lot. You and everybody else here seems to love Niagara tonight, and for what appear to be very solid reasons. However after Akrons slaughter of OU at the Convo' Wednesday night, I have really no reason to believe that Keith won't have the Ziips ready to fire again. Remember that the Zips can go 12 deep, so tired legs may not be as much a factor as one may think. I played a bit against Akron at OU simply based on the scheduling angle, but I won't make that mistake again as my respect for Keith Dambrot is growing with each passing game.

Hope Akron wins by 5 tonight, Good luck
 
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