Feel very strongly that North Caro-5 and under 157 are the plays in that game.Carolina did barely enough to win against 10 and 11 point dogs,winning by 1 and 6 respectively.They have covered only once against the opening number out of their four tournament games so far,29 being the number in the first game vs Oakland.Mich St played at a very high level last weekend to say the least,covering against Duke and Kentucky,going over over against each of these defensive minded teams,and the OD game in the first weekend as well.An awful lot of good play was used up by MSU last weekend.They really exceeded expectations two games in a row against great competition.MSU is 3-1 ATS in their four tournament games so far,only failing as a 9 point fav vs ODU.North Carolina is over ripe to play a great game in this tournament,and they will come Saturday.Mich St is ripe to play a less than great game,especiallly offensively,and thats whats gonna happen to them next.Both of these teams have gone over three of their four tourney games to date.They will go under Saturday,especially MSU will struggle offensively in an impressive cover for Ncaro.In the first game I also like the favorite,Illini-2- or -3.Both the Illini and Lville are 2-2 ATS tourney to date,and 2-2 vs the over/under tourney to date,so no large edge there like there is in the NCaro/MSU game.I show Illini 5 points better and going to the final game,where they'll lose ATS vs the Tarheels,maybe ml too.I am playing NCaro-5(-15) in a two teamer with the under 157, for a large amount and am playing those two in a three teamer with the Illini-2-(-15) for half of that.Am playing a four teamer with the two favorites and the first half unders in each game u 74- Carolina,u 68- in the Illini game.Good luck
